Quantitative Finance

We consider the l1-regularized Markowitz model, where a l1-penalty term is added to the objective function of the classical mean-variance one to stabilize the solution process, promoting sparsity in the solution. The l1-penalty term can also be interpreted in terms of short sales, on which several financial markets have posed restrictions. The choice of the regularization parameter plays a key role to obtain optimal portfolios that meet the financial requirements. We propose an updating rule for the regularization parameter in Bregman iteration to control both the sparsity and the number of short positions. We show that the modified scheme preserves the properties of the original one. Numerical tests are reported, which show the effectiveness of the approach.

There is a great number of factors to take into account when building and managing an investment portfolio. It is widely believed that a proper set-up of the portfolio combined with a good, robust management strategy is the key to successful investment. In this paper, we aim at an analysis of two aspects that may have an impact on investment performance: diversity of assets and inclusion of cash in the portfolio. We also propose two new management strategies based on the MACD and RSI factors known from technical analysis. Monte Carlo simulations within the Heston model of a market are used to perform numerical experiments.

In this paper, we implement three state-of-art continuous reinforcement learning algorithms, Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG), Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and Policy Gradient (PG)in portfolio management. All of them are widely-used in game playing and robot control. What's more, PPO has appealing theoretical propeties which is hopefully potential in portfolio management. We present the performances of them under different settings, including different learning rates, objective functions, feature combinations, in order to provide insights for parameters tuning, features selection and data preparation. We also conduct intensive experiments in China Stock market and show that PG is more desirable in financial market than DDPG and PPO, although both of them are more advanced. What's more, we propose a so called Adversarial Training method and show that it can greatly improve the training efficiency and significantly promote average daily return and sharpe ratio in back test. Based on this new modification, our experiments results show that our agent based on Policy Gradient can outperform UCRP.

This paper considers method of creation of an advisor and indicator based on the spectral stochastic analysis model, both with linear and non-linear approximation. The problem of entrance to one or another trade position is solved on the basis of combined analysis of dynamics of quotations of all currency pairs, what allows to actively hedge open positions.

Markowitz' celebrated optimal portfolio theory generally fails to deliver out-of-sample diversification. In this note, we propose a new portfolio construction strategy based on symmetry arguments only, leading to "Eigenrisk Parity" portfolios that achieve equal realized risk on all the principal components of the covariance matrix. This holds true for any other definition of uncorrelated factors. We then specialize our general formula to the most agnostic case where the indicators of future returns are assumed to be uncorrelated and of equal variance. This "Agnostic Risk Parity" (AGP) portfolio minimizes unknown-unknown risks generated by over-optimistic hedging of the different bets. AGP is shown to fare quite well when applied to standard technical strategies such as trend following.

We give an algorithm and source code for a cryptoasset statistical arbitrage alpha based on a mean-reversion effect driven by the leading momentum factor in cryptoasset returns discussed in this https URL. Using empirical data, we identify the cross-section of cryptoassets for which this altcoin-Bitcoin arbitrage alpha is significant and discuss it in the context of liquidity considerations as well as its implications for cryptoasset trading.

In this paper we present an evolutionary optimization approach to solve the risk parity portfolio selection problem. While there exist convex optimization approaches to solve this problem when long-only portfolios are considered, the optimization problem becomes non-trivial in the long-short case. To solve this problem, we propose a genetic algorithm as well as a local search heuristic. This algorithmic framework is able to compute solutions successfully. Numerical results using real-world data substantiate the practicability of the approach presented in this paper.

A continuous-time consumption-investment model with constraint is considered for a small investor whose decisions are the consumption rate and the allocation of wealth to a risk-free and a risky asset with logarithmic Brownian motion fluctuations. The consumption rate is subject to an upper bound constraint which linearly depends on the investor's wealth and bankruptcy is prohibited. The investor's objective is to maximize total expected discounted utility of consumption over an infinite trading horizon. It is shown that the value function is (second order) smooth everywhere but a unique possibility of (known) exception point and the optimal consumption-investment strategy is provided in a closed feedback form of wealth, which in contrast to the existing work does not involve the value function. According to this model, an investor should take the same optimal investment strategy as in Merton's model regardless his financial situation. By contrast, the optimal consumption strategy does depend on the investor's financial situation: he should use a similar consumption strategy as in Merton's model when he is in a bad situation, and consume as much as possible when he is in a good situation.

This work presents an approximate solution of the portfolio choice problem for the investor with a power utility function and the predictable returns. Assuming that asset returns follow the vector autoregressive process with the normally distributed error terms (what is a popular choice in financial literature to model the return path) it comes up with the fact that portfolio gross returns appear to be normally distributed as a linear combination of normal variables. As it was shown, the log-normal distribution seems to be a good proxy of the normal distribution in case if the standard deviation of the last one is way much smaller than the mean. Thus, this fact is exploited to derive the optimal weights. Besides, the paper provides a simulation study comparing the derived result to the well-know numerical solution obtained by using a Taylor series expansion of the value function.

In the framework of an incomplete financial market where the stock price dynamics are modeled by a continuous semimartingale (not necessarily Markovian) an explicit second-order expansion formula for the power investor's value function - seen as a function of the underlying market price of risk process - is provided. This allows us to provide first-order approximations of the optimal primal and dual controls. Two specific calibrated numerical examples illustrating the accuracy of the method are also given.