Featured Researches

Pricing Of Securities

Coherent Chaos Interest Rate Models

The Wiener chaos approach to interest rate modelling arises from the observation that the pricing kernel admits a representation in terms of the conditional variance of a square-integrable random variable, which in turn admits a chaos expansion. When the expansion coefficients factorise into multiple copies of a single function, then the resulting interest rate model is called coherent, whereas a generic interest rate model will necessarily be incoherent. Coherent representations are nevertheless of fundamental importance because incoherent ones can always be expressed as a linear superposition of coherent elements. This property is exploited to derive general expressions for the pricing kernel and the associated bond price and short rate processes in the case of an n-th order chaos model for each n . The pricing formulae for bond options and swaptions are obtained in closed forms for a number of examples. An explicit representation for the pricing kernel of a generic---incoherent---model is then obtained by use of the underlying coherent elements. Finally, finite-dimensional realisations of the coherent chaos models are investigated in detail. In particular, it is shown that a class of highly tractable models can be constructed having the characteristic feature that the discount bond price is given by a piecewise flat (simple) process.

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Pricing Of Securities

Cointegrating Jumps: an Application to Energy Facilities

Based on the concept of self-decomposable random variables we discuss the application of a model for a pair of dependent Poisson processes to energy facilities. Due to the resulting structure of the jump events we can see the self-decomposability as a form of cointegration among jumps. In the context of energy facilities, the application of our approach to model power or gas dynamics and to evaluate transportation assets seen as spread options is straightforward. We study the applicability of our methodology first assuming a Merton market model with two underlying assets; in a second step we consider price dynamics driven by an exponential mean-reverting Geometric Ornstein-Uhlenbeck plus compound Poisson that are commonly used in the energy field. In this specific case we propose a price spot dynamics for each underlying that has the advantage of being treatable to find non-arbitrage conditions. In particular we can find close-form formulas for vanilla options so that the price and the Greeks of spread options can be calculated in close form using the Margrabe formula (if the strike is zero) or some other well known approximation.

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Pricing Of Securities

Comparison of the analytical approximation formula and Newton's method for solving a class of nonlinear Black-Scholes parabolic equations

Market illiquidity, feedback effects, presence of transaction costs, risk from unprotected portfolio and other nonlinear effects in PDE based option pricing models can be described by solutions to the generalized Black-Scholes parabolic equation with a diffusion term nonlinearly depending on the option price itself. Different linearization techniques such as Newton's method and analytic asymptotic approximation formula are adopted and compared for a wide class of nonlinear Black-Scholes equations including, in particular, the market illiquidity model and the risk-adjusted pricing model. Accuracy and time complexity of both numerical methods are compared. Furthermore, market quotes data was used to calibrate model parameters.

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Pricing Of Securities

Comprehensive Unified Models of Structural and Reduced Form Models for Defaultable Fixed Income Bonds (Part 1: One factor-model, Part 2:Two factors-model)

Pricing formulae for defaultable corporate bonds with discrete coupons under consideration of the government taxes in the united model of structural and reduced form models are provided. The aim of this paper is to generalize the comprehensive structural model for defaultable fixed income bonds (considered in [1]) into a comprehensive unified model of structural and reduced form models. Here we consider the one factor model and the two factor model. In the one factor model the bond holders receive the deterministic coupon at predetermined coupon dates and the face value (debt) and the coupon at the maturity as well as the effect of government taxes which are paid on the proceeds of an investment in bonds is considered under constant short rate. In the two factor model the bond holders receive the stochastic coupon (discounted value of that at the maturity) at predetermined coupon dates and the face value (debt) and the coupon at the maturity as well as the effect of government taxes which are paid on the proceeds of an investment in bonds is considered under stochastic short rate. The expected default event occurs when the equity value is not enough to pay coupon or debt at the coupon dates or maturity and unexpected default event can occur at the first jump time of a Poisson process with the given default intensity provided by a step function of time variable. We consider the model and pricing formula for equity value and using it calculate expected default barrier. Then we provide pricing model and formula for defaultable corporate bonds with discrete coupons and consider its duration and the effect of the government taxes.

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Pricing Of Securities

Computation of option greeks under hybrid stochastic volatility models via Malliavin calculus

This study introduces computation of option sensitivities (Greeks) using the Malliavin calculus under the assumption that the underlying asset and interest rate both evolve from a stochastic volatility model and a stochastic interest rate model, respectively. Therefore, it integrates the recent developments in the Malliavin calculus for the computation of Greeks: Delta, Vega, and Rho and it extends the method slightly. The main results show that Malliavin calculus allows a running Monte Carlo (MC) algorithm to present numerical implementations and to illustrate its effectiveness. The main advantage of this method is that once the algorithms are constructed, they can be used for numerous types of option, even if their payoff functions are not differentiable.

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Pricing Of Securities

Computation of second order price sensitivities in depressed markets

Risk management in financial derivative markets requires inevitably the calculation of the different price sensitivities. The literature contains an abundant amount of research works that have studied the computation of these important values. Most of these works consider the well-known Black and Scholes model where the volatility is assumed to be constant. Moreover, to our best knowledge, they compute only the first order price sensitivities. Some works that attempt to extend to markets affected by financial crisis appeared recently. However, none of these papers deal with the calculation of the price sensitivities of second order. Providing second derivatives for the underlying price sensitivities is an important issue in financial risk management because the investor can determine whether or not each source of risk is increasing at an increasing rate. In this paper, we work on the computation of second order prices sensitivities for a market under crisis. The underlying second order price sensitivities are derived explicitly. The obtained formulas are expected to improve on the accuracy of the hedging strategies during a financial crunch.

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Pricing Of Securities

Computing Greeks for Lévy Models: The Fourier Transform Approach

The computation of Greeks for exponential Lévy models are usually approached by Malliavin Calculus and other methods, as the Likelihood Ratio and the finite difference method. In this paper we obtain exact formulas for Greeks of European options based on the Lewis formula for the option value. Therefore, it is possible to obtain accurate approximations using Fast Fourier Transform. We will present an exhaustive development of Greeks for Call options. The error is shown for all Greeks in the Black-Scholes model, where Greeks can be exactly computed. Other models used in the literature are compared, such as the Merton and Variance Gamma models. The presented formulas can reach desired accuracy because our approach generates error only by approximation of the integral.

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Pricing Of Securities

Computing semiparametric bounds on the expected payments of insurance instruments via column generation

It has been recently shown that numerical semiparametric bounds on the expected payoff of fi- nancial or actuarial instruments can be computed using semidefinite programming. However, this approach has practical limitations. Here we use column generation, a classical optimization technique, to address these limitations. From column generation, it follows that practical univari- ate semiparametric bounds can be found by solving a series of linear programs. In addition to moment information, the column generation approach allows the inclusion of extra information about the random variable; for instance, unimodality and continuity, as well as the construction of corresponding worst/best-case distributions in a simple way.

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Pricing Of Securities

Computing stable numerical solutions for multidimensional American option pricing problems: a semi-discretization approach

The matter of the stability for multi-asset American option pricing problems is a present remaining challenge. In this paper a general transformation of variables allows to remove cross derivative terms reducing the stencil of the proposed numerical scheme and underlying computational cost. Solution of a such problem is constructed by starting with a semi-discretization approach followed by a full discretization using exponential time differencing and matrix quadrature rules. To the best of our knowledge the stability of the numerical solution is treated in this paper for the first time. Analysis of the time variation of the numerical solution with respect to previous time level together with the use of logarithmic norm of matrices are the basis of the stability result. Sufficient stability conditions on step sizes, that also guarantee positivity and boundedness of the solution, are found. Numerical examples for two and three asset problems justify the stability conditions and prove its competitiveness with other relevant methods.

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Pricing Of Securities

Conditional Asian Options

Conditional Asian options are recent market innovations, which offer cheaper and long-dated alternatives to regular Asian options. In contrast with payoffs from regular Asian options which are based on average asset prices, the payoffs from conditional Asian options are determined only by average prices above certain threshold. Due to the limited inclusion of prices, conditional Asian options further reduce the volatility in the payoffs than their regular counterparts and have been promoted in the market as viable hedging and risk management instruments for equity-linked life insurance products. There has been no previous academic literature on this subject and practitioners have only been known to price these products by simulations. We propose the first analytical approach to computing prices and deltas of conditional Asian options in comparison with regular Asian options. In the numerical examples, we put to the test some cost-benefit claims by practitioners. As a by-product, the work also presents some distributional properties of the occupation time and the time-integral of geometric Brownian motion during the occupation time.

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