In environmental science, measurements of pollutant concentrations are used to assess public health risks. As industry continues to synthesize new chemicals, regulation of these substances requires an assessment of potential hazards to protect human health and the environment. Science-based risk assessments are now seen as essential to making these decisions. This article will explore the controversy and future potential of the No Observed Adverse Effect Concentration (NOEC) and other related parameters, and provide insights into the challenges these standards pose.
The no observed adverse effect concentration (NOEC), as a risk assessment parameter, represents the concentration of a pollutant that is not harmful to the species concerned under the effect studied. NOECs are often the starting point for environmental policy. While the existence of NOECs is not very controversial, there is much disagreement about the assignment of their values. The current standard approach is to expose animals to varying concentrations of a chemical and observe the effects on their survival, growth or reproduction.
These toxicity studies usually result in a NOEC, but there are a number of authors who have strongly criticized this on statistical grounds and argue that the use of NOECs should be abandoned.
As an alternative, a concept that has been proposed is ECx, which stands for the concentration that exhibits x% of the effect (e.g., EC50 in a survival experiment means that 50% of the test animals will die at this concentration). However, the application of ECx also faces challenges for risk assessment. Any value of x other than zero may give the impression of accepting the impact, which contradicts the goal of maximizing environmental protection. Furthermore, ECx values will depend on the exposure time. With increasing exposure time, the ECx value for survival decreases until an equilibrium state is reached.
This is because these effects depend on internal concentrations and require time for the compound to penetrate the body of the test organism. However, sublethal endpoints (e.g., body size, reproductive output) may show more uncertain patterns of effects over time.
Biologically based approaches aim not only to describe observed effects but also to understand the processes underlying these effects, such as toxicokinetics, mortality, feeding, growth, and reproduction. This approach begins with describing the processes by which an organism absorbs and excretes a compound, since the effects can only be expected to occur once the compound has entered the organism. NOEC is one of its modeling parameters. Such biologically based approaches can utilize dynamic energy budget theory to integrate multiple stressors and processes active under field conditions.
The influence of these multiple stress factors is eliminated in the standard test procedure because the local environment is kept constant during the tests.
As environmental problems become increasingly serious, it is particularly important to improve risk assessment standards. Scientists are seeking more accurate assessment methods to address complex ecosystem threats. In addition to traditional NOEC and ECx, new approaches such as biological models and dynamic energy budget theory may provide us with more comprehensive insights and help us better understand the environmental impacts of chemicals. In addition, future studies may also explore the association of biodiversity, species interactions, and other ecological factors with the effects of pollutants.
Given these findings, does every scientist feel the role of NOECs in risk assessment is clear?