In today's society, whether it is policy changes, business developments or the implementation of new measures, the impact of economic events is everywhere. An Economic Impact Analysis (EIA) is a tool designed to assess the specific impact of a specific event on the economy, whether in a community or the world at large. This analysis typically assesses changes in business revenues, profits, personal wages and job opportunities.
Economic impact analysis is not only a collection of data, but also a profound insight into possible future consequences.
An economic event can be the implementation of a new policy, the launch of a major project, or even the existence of a specific business organization. Such analyzes are often conducted when the public expresses concerns about the potential impacts of a proposal. Economic impact analysis typically measures or estimates changes in economic activity between two scenarios: one assuming an economic event occurs and one assuming it does not, a so-called counterfactual.
In addition to the type of impact, economic impact analysis often estimates the source of the impact. Each impact can be broken down into different components based on the factors causing the impact. Direct impact is the result of the amount of money initially spent by the business or institution being studied in the study area. This includes funds used to pay wages, purchase materials, and other operating expenses.
Initial spending resulting from the direct impact will create additional activity in the local economy.
As the initial impact expands, so does the indirect impact, which is the result of transactions between businesses as a result of the direct impact. The increase in personal income due to direct and indirect effects, which leads to an increase in household expenditures on local businesses, is called induced influence.
Economic impact analysis typically uses two methods to determine impact. The first is the input-output model, which uses inter-industry data to analyze how the impact of one industry affects other industries. Another approach is economic simulation models, which are more complex and take into account future economic and demographic changes.
The purpose of these models is to provide more accurate forecasts and analyzes that can help planners better understand the interconnections between economic activities.
Economic impact analysis is closely related to other similar studies, but they differ in focus and methodology. Economic impact analysis only covers specific types of economic activity, whereas certain social impacts, such as safety and pollution, may be analyzed as part of a social impact assessment. Especially in the environmental impact assessment process, economic impact analysis is often performed as an integral part.
Economic impact analysis is also frequently used in transportation planning. Many transportation agencies, including the U.S. Department of Transportation, publish relevant guidance and standards on how to use economic impact analysis in transportation planning projects. These analyzes help assess the impact of economic development projects, such as real estate developments and the opening and closing of businesses.
Through economic impact analysis, communities can become more supportive of these projects and secure necessary funding and tax incentives.
In addition, economic impact analyzes are often developed in conjunction with proposed legislative or normative changes to provide a complete understanding of the economic impact of government actions. This kind of analysis not only helps to further understand the impact of policies, but also promotes communication and cooperation with all sectors of society.
Economic impact analysis is an important tool that provides policymakers and businesses with insights into economic activity. However, in a rapidly changing global environment, do we really fully understand the wide-ranging impacts behind these events?