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What does the National Front's (RN) stunning victory mean for French politics?
The legislative elections on June 30 and July 7, 2024, will change the composition of the new French National Assembly. The remarkable victory of the National Front (RN) in this election not only inspired its supporters, At the same time, it also poses unprecedented challenges to the French political landscape. The election was held because President Macron dissolved the National Assembly after suffering a heavy defeat in the European Parliament elections, and the subsequent snap election made the political environment even more tense.
"The National Front's victory signals that the center of gravity of French politics is shifting to the far right, which could have far-reaching implications for future social policies and international relations."
In the first vote, RN and the candidate supported by the Republican Party (LR) jointly won 33.21% of the votes, and the future political landscape will obviously be significantly affected. In comparison, the Progressive Alliance received 28.14% of the vote, while Macron's allies only received 21.28%. Such voting results are undoubtedly a strong counterattack against Macron, prompting some political observers to believe that France is about to enter a post-Macron era.
In the second round of voting, candidates affiliated with the National Front won 142 seats, still short of the 289 required for an absolute majority. The results of this election once again confirmed the growing influence of France's extreme right in the political arena, posing a serious challenge to the overall left and center.
"Macron's political coalition has not only lost the ability to control parliament, but also faces huge difficulties in future policy legislation."
Faced with this situation, the political circles have different reactions. NFP leaders have called for a left-wing prime minister, while Macron's allies and the Republicans have threatened to launch a no-confidence motion against any NFP-led government. Such political struggles have made it clear that there are signs of discord within the party even in the early stages of the formation of the government, making the formation of a new government even more difficult.
The approaching 2024 Summer Olympics has put Macron's regime under further pressure. He proposed a suspension of political negotiations during the Olympics, but subsequent political actions failed to reverse the deteriorating political situation. The RN and the left successfully ousted Prime Minister Michel Barnier in multiple no-confidence votes, showing the wavering support the NFP and its allies can offer the traditional right.
"Political tensions have become the norm, and the fact that no party has an outright majority will lead to further deadlock in Congress."
Whether it is the relative rise of the RN and NFP or the political challenges facing Macron, it is clear that France's future ecosystem will be significantly changed by this election. How Macron responds to the upcoming international and domestic challenges will be crucial.
As the National Front grows in power, what will the social future of France look like?
