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How can the European Meteorological Centre push data forecasts into a breakthrough in the next decade?
Over the past few decades, the European Center for Meteorology (ECMWF) has played an important role in global weather forecasting. With the rapid growth of data and the continuous advancement of technology, how ECMWF can achieve at least a ten-year prediction breakthrough in the next ten years has become the focus of heated discussions in the industry.
The core mission of ECMWF is to provide accurate global medium-term weather forecasts and conduct relevant scientific research to improve the accuracy of forecasts.
Since its establishment in 1975, ECMWF has begun to integrate meteorological resources from European countries and conduct weather predictions with high-precision meteorological modules and data assimilation systems. In line with its objectives, ECMWF wants to maximize the utilization and accuracy of its forecasts, thereby providing its member countries with reliable forecast data.
Gradually improved forecasting skills
Through continuous research and development, ECMWF has improved its forecasting skills, so that the accuracy of seven-day forecasts has reached the level of three-day forecasts forty years ago. The main reason for this improvement is its powerful numerical weather prediction (NWP) system, which relies on large amounts of satellite data and ground observations.
Through the models it operates, ECMWF not only provides short-term weather forecasts, but also makes long-term predictions of seasonal weather changes.
Forecasting models from short term to long term
ECMWF not only focuses on short-term weather forecasts, but also extends to seasonal and monthly forecasts. This series of forecasts not only has obvious impacts on agriculture, energy, public health and other fields, but also provides decision-makers with timely information so that they can respond quickly to possible natural disasters.
The impact of scientific and technological progress
With the improvement of computing power and the abundance of satellite data, ECMWF can integrate more complex data models, greatly improving the accuracy of forecasts. In addition, their new generation "Integrated Forecasting System" utilizes the execution of multiple models to achieve unprecedented levels of forecast accuracy.
It is predicted that ECMWF will continue to lead the boundaries of meteorological data science in the next decade, while providing strong support for global climate change.
Collaborate and share data
ECMWF cooperates with many European countries and international institutions to share meteorological data to further improve the accuracy of forecasts. These collaborations promote data openness and enable knowledge sharing between different institutions, thus improving overall forecasting capabilities.
Commitment to address climate change
In the context of climate change, the reanalysis work conducted by ECMWF has enabled scientists to observe climate change trends more clearly. This is critical for the development of global climate policy and corresponding emergency preparedness.
ECMWF hopes to further enhance its data-driven forecasting capabilities in the coming years to address the growing climate challenge.
Conclusion
As the center of European weather forecasting, ECMWF is continuously promoting the application and development of data technology. Advanced forecasting technology and cooperation models make it an important reference for global weather forecasting. However, as the challenges brought by climate change become increasingly severe, it remains to be seen what breakthroughs ECMWF can achieve in the next decade. It also makes people think: in the future climate challenges, can science and technology continue to contribute to our survival and survival? development support?
