Development and Assessment of a Model for Predicting Individualized Outcomes in Patients With Oropharyngeal Cancer

Abstract

Key Points Question Can a model be developed for individualized survival, locoregional recurrence, and distant metastasis prognostication for patients newly diagnosed with oropharyngeal cancer, incorporating clinical, oncologic, and imaging data? Findings In this prognostic study, model predictions for 5-year overall survival demonstrated excellent discrimination in cohort study training data for models with and without imaging variables. This model appeared to possess good calibration and well stratified patients in terms of likely outcomes among many competing events. Meaning This prognostic model and web-based application may serve as a useful tool to provide clinicians, researchers, and patients with oropharyngeal cancer robust, individualized prognostic estimations.