Fuhrman nuclear grade prediction of clear cell renal cell carcinoma: influence of volume of interest delineation strategies on machine learning-based dynamic enhanced CT radiomics analysis

Abstract

To investigate the influence of different volume of interest (VOI) delineation strategies on machine learning–based predictive models for discrimination between low and high nuclear grade clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC) on dynamic contrast-enhanced CT. This study retrospectively collected 177 patients with pathologically proven ccRCC (124 low-grade; 53 high-grade). Tumor VOI was manually segmented, followed by artificially introducing uncertainties as: (i) contour-focused VOI, (ii) margin erosion of 2 or 4 mm, and (iii) margin dilation (2, 4, or 6 mm) inclusive of perirenal fat, peritumoral renal parenchyma, or both. Radiomics features were extracted from four-phase CT images (unenhanced phase (UP), corticomedullary phase (CMP), nephrographic phase (NP), excretory phase (EP)). Different combinations of four-phasic features for each VOI delineation strategy were used to build 176 classification models. The best VOI delineation strategy and superior CT phase were identified and the top-ranked features were analyzed. Features extracted from UP and EP outperformed features from other single/combined phase(s). Shape features and first-order statistics features exhibited superior discrimination. The best performance (ACC 81%, SEN 67%, SPE 87%, AUC 0.87) was achieved with radiomics features extracted from UP and EP based on contour-focused VOI. Shape and first-order features extracted from UP\u2009+\u2009EP images are better feature representations. Contour-focused VOI erosion by 2 mm or dilation by 4 mm within peritumor renal parenchyma exerts limited impact on discriminative performance. It provides a reference for segmentation tolerance in radiomics-based modeling for ccRCC nuclear grading. • Lesion delineation uncertainties are tolerated within a VOI erosion range of 2 mm or dilation range of 4 mm within peritumor renal parenchyma for radiomics-based ccRCC nuclear grading. • Radiomics features extracted from unenhanced phase and excretory phase are superior to other single/combined phase(s) at differentiating high vs low nuclear grade ccRCC. • Shape features and first-order statistics features showed superior discriminative capability compared to texture features.