The association between gaseous pollutants and non-accidental mortality: a time series study

Abstract

To evaluate the effects of gaseous pollutants (SO2, NO2) on non-accidental mortality of residents in Hefei city, we collected non-accidental deaths, air pollutants and meteorological data of Hefei city from 2014 to 2017. After controlling confounding factors with Poisson generalized additive model, we analyzed the relationship between air pollutants and non-accidental mortality and used subgroup analysis to identify susceptible groups. The number of non-accidental deaths during the study period was 42,116, with an average of 28.83 per day. The average concentrations of SO2 and NO2 were 16.08 μg/m3 and 39.10 μg/m3, respectively. In the single-pollutant model, every 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2 and NO2 concentrations was significantly associated with non-accidental mortality, and there was a significant lag effect. SO2 increased the risk of non-accidental death by 4.93% (95% CI: 1.94%\u2009~\u20098.00%) at lag0–3. In addition, male, the elderly, non-elderly and low-education people were more susceptible (P\u2009<\u20090.05). NO2 increased the risk of non-accidental death by 2.11% (95% CI: 1.18%\u2009~\u20093.05%) at lag0–1 and had an effect on all subgroups (P\u2009<\u20090.05). For every 10 μg/m3 increase in SO2 and NO2, the two-pollutant model showed that the risk of non-accidental death, respectively, increased by 3.34% (95% CI: 0.29%\u2009~\u20096.50%) and 1.82% (95% CI: 0.85%\u2009~\u20092.79%), suggesting that the effect was weakened. Our study suggested that SO2 and NO2 were associated with non-accidental mortality, and there were lag effects. Therefore, environmental management should be strengthened and health protection education should be carried out for different groups.