Extracting historic cyclone data from coastal dune deposits in eastern Hainan Island, China

Abstract

Abstract Understanding long-term, large cyclone activity is critical for coastal management and disaster prevention and mitigation, particularly with projected rising sea level and increasing cyclone frequency and the intensity. Here we present sedimentary evidence (cyclone overwash deposits, beachrock boulders, and cyclone-induced clastic deposits) of historic large cyclone events from coastal dune deposits on eastern Hainan Island, China. Based on luminescence dating and sedimentological analysis, eight historic tropical cyclone events (at 1095\u202f±\u202f90\u202fBCE, 900–1000\u202fBCE, 975\u202f±\u202f50\u202fCE, 1720\u202f±\u202f20\u202fCE, 1740\u202f±\u202f35\u202fCE, 1790\u202f±\u202f25\u202fCE, 1850\u202f±\u202f15\u202fCE, and 1895\u202f±\u202f10\u202fCE) have been identified in this region. The elevation of the termination point of cyclone overwash deposit layers that represent the paleo-cyclone minimum wave run-up stage, in combination with knowledge of present-day cyclone events, was applied to assess the intensity of these extreme events. The intensity of these cyclone events was likely greater than that of cyclones in the local instrumental records. Furthermore, these large cyclone events correspond to historic records of devastating cyclones. Through comparison with regional and global climate records, we infer that the variability of large cyclones in the South China Sea was probably modulated by the El Nino-Southern Oscillation, western Pacific warm pool, and local sea surface temperatures over the past 3400\u202fyr. These results provide an improved understanding of long-term, extreme cyclone events and their response to climate change, thereby contributing to regional planning and coastal defense strategies.