Has the pancreatic fistula already occurred in the operation? An intraoperative predictive factor of clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula after the distal pancreatectomy☆☆☆

Abstract

Purpose The aim of this study was to assess the predictive effect of intraoperative amylase value from pancreatic remnant on the development of clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy. Methods Patients undergoing distal pancreatectomy between June 2017 and October 2018 were studied retrospectively. The intraoperative amylase value was measured followed by drain fluid for amylase on postoperative day 3. The analysis of clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula predictors was carried out using the logistic regression. The receiver operating characteristic analysis was performed to evaluate the discriminative capacity of intraoperative amylase value as a predictive risk factor. Results The study population consisted of 40 patients. The clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula occurred in 13 patients, no grade C pancreatic fistula (PF). The intraoperative amylase value correlated significantly with clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula. An intraoperative amylase value > 3089\u202fU/L was proposed as the cut-off level to predict clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula by the receiver operating characteristic curve. The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of this level were respectively 84.6%, 88.9% and 88.5%. The multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that intraoperative amylase value and suture closure for the pancreatic stump were the significant predictive risk factors for the clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula. Conclusion The intraoperative amylase value can be early and easily measured as a predictive risk factor, which seems useful for postoperative management of clinical relevant-postoperative pancreatic fistula after distal pancreatectomy. While, the stapler closure might be a feasible way for the pancreatic transection during the operation.