Cost-effectiveness of Helicobacter pylori test and eradication versus upper gastrointestinal series versus endoscopy for gastric cancer mortality and outcomes in high prevalence countries

Abstract

Abstract Background: The latest version of Japanese guidelines for effective secondary prevention of gastric cancer recommend upper gastrointestinal series (UGI) and endoscopy in adults 50 years of age and older. A Helicobacter pylori antibody test and eradication (H. pylori screening) reduces gastric cancer risk. Objective: This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of H. pylori screening, compared to UGI and endoscopy in high prevalence countries. Methods: We developed decision trees with Markov models using a healthcare payer perspective and a lifetime horizon. Targeted populations were hypothetical cohorts of asymptomatic individuals at the age of 50, 60, 70 and 80 years. We calculated per-person costs and effectiveness with discounting at a fixed annual rate of 3% and compared incremental cost-effectiveness ratios. Results: H. pylori screening was cost-saving and more cost-effective for individuals at the age of 50, 60, 70, and 80 than UGI and endoscopy. One-way and multiway sensitivity analyses showed the robustness of the cost-effectiveness results. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses using Monte-Carlo simulation for 10,000 trials demonstrated that H. pylori screening was cost-effective 100% of the time at a willingness-to-pay level of US$50,000/QALY gained. Conclusions: H. pylori screening for the adults 50 years of age and older could be cost-effective compared to UGI and endoscopy in high prevalence countries. The main reasons for the superiority of H. pylori screening are that an H. pylori antibody test has a higher sensitivity and specificity than UGI and endoscopy and the benefits to reduce gastric cancer incidence and mortality.