Serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer at virological remission predicts hepatocellular carcinoma and death in chronic hepatitis B related cirrhosis.

Abstract

BACKGROUND\nTo investigate serum Mac-2-binding protein glycosylation isomer (M2BPGi) levels in predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality at virological remission (VR, HBV DNA <20 IU/mL) following antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis.\n\n\nMETHODS\nThis retrospective cohort study included patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis undergoing long-term antiviral therapy. Serum M2BPGi levels were quantified and multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to identify risk predictors for HCC and death.\n\n\nRESULTS\nA total of 126 and 145 patients were included in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. The mean age was 56, and the mean M2BPGi level was 1.86 cut-off index (COI) in the derivation cohort. After adjustment for confounders, a higher M2BPGi level at VR significantly predicted HCC (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.58, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.19-2.10, P=0.002) and death (HR: 2.17, 95% CI: 1.02-4.62, P=0.044). The M2BPGi ≥3 COI significantly increased the risk of HCC and death in the derivation and validation cohorts. Serial M2BPGi levels declined significantly (P=0.0001) in non-HCC patients only, and remained significantly lower than those who developed HCC afterwards (P=0.039).\n\n\nCONCLUSIONS\nSerum M2BPGi levels at antiviral therapy-induced VR predict HCC development and death in patients with CHB-related Child-Pugh A cirrhosis.