Global, regional and national burden of gout, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES\nThe burden of gout has been increasing globally. However, little is known about the global, regional and national distribution and time trend of this disease. We present a comprehensive analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017 on gout burden estimates for 195 countries or territories between 1990 and 2017.\n\n\nMETHODS\nAge-standardized prevalence and disability-adjusted life-years of gout were reported between 1990 and 2017 in 195 countries and territories, and associations between these estimates and sociodemographic index (SDI) were further explored. Total and annual percent change between 1990 and 2017 were calculated to quantify the time trends of gout burden.\n\n\nRESULTS\nAge-standardized prevalence rates (95% uncertainty interval) per 100 000 persons were 790.90 (706.10-881.90) and 253.49 (225.69-284.02) in 2017 in males and females, respectively. The annual percent change in age-standardized prevalence (males, 0.22%; females, 0.38%) and disability-adjusted life-years (males, 0.21%; females, 0.38%) of gout increased every year from 1990 to 2017, globally. The highest increase was detected in high-SDI countries, especially in high-income North America. A non-linear association was observed between burden of gout and SDI, with the lowest estimates of gout burden when SDI value was about 0.6. High BMI was the leading risk factor for the burden of gout.\n\n\nCONCLUSION\nThese study results suggest a globally rising trajectory of gout burden between 1990 and 2017. More effective interventions, such as detailed and intensive dietary managements and other prevention strategies for reducing obesity, should be carried out to reverse this trend, especially in females and high-SDI countries.