The protective effect of club cell secretory protein (CC-16) on COPD risk and progression: a Mendelian randomisation study

Abstract

Background There are currently no robust biomarkers of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) risk or progression. Club cell secretory protein-16 (CC-16) is associated with the clinical expression of COPD. We aimed to determine if there is a causal effect of serum CC-16 level on COPD risk and/or progression using Mendelian randomisation (MR) analysis. Methods We performed a genome-wide association meta-analysis for serum CC-16 in two COPD cohorts (Lung Health Study [LHS], n=3,850 and ECLIPSE, n=1,702). We then used the CC-16-associated single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in MR analysis to estimate the causal effect of serum CC-16 on COPD risk (International COPD Genetics Consortium/UK-Biobank dataset; n=35,735 cases, n=222,076 controls) and progression (change in forced expiratory volume in 1 s [FEV1] in LHS and ECLIPSE). We also determined the associations between SNPs associated with CC-16 and gene expression using n=1,111 lung tissue samples from the Lung eQTL Study. Results We identified 7 SNPs independently associated (p<5×10−8) with serum CC-16 levels; 6 of these were novel. MR analysis suggested a protective causal effect of increased serum CC-16 on COPD risk (p=0.008) and progression (LHS only, p=0.02). Five of the SNPs were also associated with gene expression in lung tissue, including that of the CC-16-encoding gene SCGB1A1 (false discovery rate<0.1). Conclusion We have identified several novel genetic variants associated with serum CC-16 level in COPD cohorts. These genetic associations suggest a potential causal effect of serum CC-16 on COPD risk and progression. Further investigation of CC-16 as a biomarker or therapeutic target in COPD is warranted. KEY MESSAGES What is the key question? Can genetics help uncover a causal effect of serum CC-16 level on COPD risk and/or progression? What is the bottom line? There is a protective effect of genetically-increased serum CC-16 on both COPD risk and progression (as measured by change in FEV1 over time), which may be due to increased expression of the CC-16-encoding gene SCGB1A1 in the lung. Why read on? This is the first study to demonstrate a possible causal effect of serum CC-16 in people with COPD, and highlights the potential for CC-16 as a biomarker or therapeutic target.