Decision-Making and Planning Method for Autonomous Vehicles Based on Motivation and Risk Assessment

Abstract

In order to improve the real-time and computational efficiency of autonomous vehicles’ decision-making process, this paper draws on the decision-making behavior of human drivers with the motivation as the core and proposes a decision-making and planning method based on motivation and risk assessment. On the one hand, it analyzes and determines the motivations that cause the driving state to change for decision-making and planning. On the other hand, on the basis of the lateral trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles, the longitudinal trajectory propensity prediction of different drivers is added to construct a risk assessment model that can reflect risk of the future time domain. Based on this, the motivation-based decision method is mapped into the risk assessment model, and a cost function is established to decouple the path and speed, so that the geometry and speed can be flexibly adjusted according to environmental risks. The simulation results show that the proposed method can effectively make driving behavior decisions and plan the trajectory in real time according to the current environment, which can improve the computational efficiency of the decision-making process and guarantee the safety at the same time.