A Comparative Study of Using Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Networks for Predicting Availability in Bike Sharing Schemes

Abstract

Accurately forecasting transportation demand is crucial for efficient urban traffic guidance, control and management. One solution to enhance the level of prediction accuracy is to leverage graph convolutional networks (GCN), a neural network based modelling approach with the ability to process data contained in graph based structures. As a powerful extension of GCN, a spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (ST-GCN) aims to capture the relationship of data contained in the graphical nodes across both spatial and temporal dimensions, which presents a novel deep learning paradigm for the analysis of complex time-series data that also involves spatial information as present in transportation use cases. In this paper, we present an Attention-based ST-GCN (AST-GCN) for predicting the number of available bikes in bike-sharing systems in cities, where the attention-based mechanism is introduced to further improve the performance of an ST-GCN. Furthermore, we also discuss the impacts of different modelling methods of adjacency matrices on the proposed architecture. Our experimental results are presented using two real-world datasets, Dublinbikes and NYC-Citi Bike, to illustrate the efficacy of our proposed model which outperforms the majority of existing approaches.