Estimation of Death and Recovery Rates using Covid-19 Data of Pakistan

Abstract

Objectives: The aim of this study is to estimate the recovery rate and death rate of the Covid-19 patients in Pakistan both at provincial level and at national level Methods: In the current study simple linear regression model is used to estimate the case fatality rate (CFR) and recovery rate (RR) Also, the polynomial regression model has been employed to predict the infected patients of Covid-19 across Pakistan and for all its provinces Results: The results indicate that the provinces: Punjab, Sindh, KPK and ICT have been projected to be sensitive regarding COVID-19 Conclusion: it is strongly suggested that prevention must be considered, and full attention must be provided by each citizen to follow the SOPs recommend by health department If responsible attitude will not be expressed by individuals, then there is chance of increase of COVID patients again and put the country back in struggle