Using effective predictions in the field of rural physical production of Gilan province using research research

Abstract

In terms of practical purpose and nature, the present study is based on new methods of future science, research, analysis and exploration, which has been done by using a combination of quantitative and qualitative models. It is also a way of collecting documentary and library information. Qualitative data were prepared by open questionnaire and through interviews and review of documents and quantitative data used in this study numerically and by weighting Delphi questionnaires. Accordingly, in the first step, the influential indicators and components in this field were collected in different dimensions (economic, socio-cultural, environmental, spatial-physical, physical and historical-ancient). After collecting the data and identifying the initial variables within the Delphi model, 37 questionnaires were distributed exclusively between the executive elites of Gilan province and the academic (statistical population of the research), who had sufficient expertise and experience on tourism issues. According to the results of Mikmak s output, based on the quantitative results of experts, the physical physical condition in Gilan province is somewhat stable in Gilan province, and the current situation in the community-based physical system may not change in the near future. Finally, considering the high score of direct and indirect impact, the ten key key factors in the future of rural physical development of Gilan province can be considered as such, based on this, the existence of welfare factors, facilities, income, climate, antiquity and weaving the most. Direct impact and the presence of climate, markets, roughness, tourism, proper use have had the most indirect impact