Archive | 2021
TopoCLIM: Rapid topography-based downscaling of regional climate model output in complex terrain v.1.0
Abstract
This study describes and evaluates a new downscaling scheme that specifically addresses the need for hillslope scale atmospheric forcing timeseries for modeling the local impact of regional climate change projections on the land surface in complex terrain. The method has a global scope in that it does not rely directly on surface observations and is able to generate the full suite of model forcing variables required for hydrological and land surface modeling at hourly timesteps. It achieves this by utilising the previously published TopoSCALE scheme (Fiddes and Gruber, 2014) to generate synthetic observations of 5 current climate at the hillslope scale, while accounting for a broad range of surface-atmosphere interactions. These synthetic observations are then used to debias (downscale) CORDEX climate variables using the quantile mapping method. A further temporal disaggregation step produces sub-daily fields. This approach has the advantages of other empirical-statistical methods, namely speed of use, while avoiding the need for ground data, which is often limited. It is therefore a suitable method for a wide range of remote regions where ground data is absent, incomplete, or not of sufficient length. The approach is evaluated 10 using a network of high elevation stations across the Swiss Alps and a test application of modelling climate change impacts on Alpine snow cover is given.