Featured Researches

General Economics

Classifying economics for the common good: Connecting sustainable development goals to JEL codes

How does economics research help in solving societal challenges? This brief note sheds additional light on this question by providing ways to connect Journal of Economic Literature (JEL) codes and Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations. These simple linkages illustrate that the themes of SDGs have corresponding JEL classification codes. As the mappings presented here are necessarily imperfect and incomplete, there is plenty of room for improvements. In an ideal world, there would be a JEL classification system for SDGs, a separate JEL code for each of the 17 SDGs.

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General Economics

Classifying ecosystem disservices and comparing their effects with ecosystem services in Beijing, China

To completely understand the effects of urban ecosystems, the effects of ecosystem disservices should be considered along with the ecosystem services and require more research attention. In this study, we tried to better understand its formation through the use of cascade flowchart and classification systems and compare their effects with ecosystem services. It is vitally important to differentiate final and intermediate ecosystem disservices for understanding the negative effects of the ecosystem on human well-being. The proposed functional classification of EDS (i.e. provisioning, regulating and cultural EDS) should also help better bridging EDS and ES studies. In addition, we used Beijing as a case study area to value the EDS caused by urban ecosystems and compare the findings with ES values. The results suggested that although EDS caused great financial loss the potential economic gain from ecosystem services still significantly outweigh the loss. Our study only sheds light on valuating the net effects of urban ecosystems. In the future, we believe that EDS valuation should be at least equally considered in ecosystem valuation studies to create more comprehensive and sustainable development policies, land use proposals and management plans.

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General Economics

Coastal Flood Risk in the Mortgage Market: Storm Surge Models' Predictions vs. Flood Insurance Maps

Prior literature has argued that flood insurance maps may not capture the extent of flood risk. This paper performs a granular assessment of coastal flood risk in the mortgage market by using physical simulations of hurricane storm surge heights instead of using FEMA's flood insurance maps. Matching neighborhood-level predicted storm surge heights with mortgage files suggests that coastal flood risk may be large: originations and securitizations in storm surge areas have been rising sharply since 2012, while they remain stable when using flood insurance maps. Every year, more than 50 billion dollars of originations occur in storm surge areas outside of insurance floodplains. The share of agency mortgages increases in storm surge areas, yet remains stable in the flood insurance 100-year floodplain. Mortgages in storm surge areas are more likely to be complex: non-fully amortizing features such as interest-only or adjustable rates. Households may also be more vulnerable in storm surge areas: median household income is lower, the share of African Americans and Hispanics is substantially higher, the share of individuals with health coverage is lower. Price-to-rent ratios are declining in storm surge areas while they are increasing in flood insurance areas. This paper suggests that uncovering future financial flood risk requires scientific models that are independent of the flood insurance mapping process.

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General Economics

Combining distributive ethics and causal Inference to make trade-offs between austerity and population health

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) provides financial assistance to its member-countries in economic turmoil, but requires at the same time that these countries reform their public policies. In several contexts, these reforms are at odds with population health. While researchers have empirically analyzed the consequences of these reforms on health, no analysis exist on identifying fair tradeoffs between consequences on population health and economic outcomes. Our article analyzes and identifies the principles governing these tradeoffs. First, this article reviews existing policy-evaluation studies, which show, on balance, that IMF policies frequently cause adverse effects on child health and material standards in the pursuit of macroeconmic improvement. Second, this article discusses four theories in distributive ethics (maximization, egalitarianianism, prioritarianiasm, and sufficientarianism) to identify which is the most compatible with the core mission of the IMF, that is, improved macroeconomics (Articles of Agreement) while at the same time balancing consequences on health. Using a distributive-ethics analyses of IMF polices, we argue that sufficientarianism is the most compatible theory. Third, this article offer a qualitative rearticulation of the Articles of Agreement, and formalize sufficientarian principles in the language of causal inference. We also offer a framework on how to empirically measure, from observational data, the extent that IMF policies trade off fairly between population health and economic outcomes. We conclude with policy recommendations and suggestions for future research.

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General Economics

Comments are welcome

Scholars present their new research at seminars and conferences, and send drafts to peers, hoping to receive comments and suggestions that will improve the quality of their work. Using a dataset of papers published in economics journals, this article measures how much peers' individual and collective comments improve the quality of research. Controlling for the quality of the research idea and author, I find that a one standard deviation increase in the number of peers' individual and collective comments increases the quality of the journal in which the research is published by 47%.

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General Economics

Commuting Service Platform: Concept and Analysis

We propose and investigate the concept of commuting service platforms (CSP) that leverage emerging mobility services to provide commuting services and connect directly commuters (employees) and their worksites (employers). By applying the two-sided market analysis framework, we show under what conditions a CSP may present the two-sidedness. Both the monopoly and duopoly CSPs are then analyzed. We showhowthe price allocation, i.e., the prices charged to commuters and worksites, can impact the participation and profit of the CSPs. We also add demand constraints to the duopoly model so that the participation rates ofworksites and employees are (almost) the same. With demand constraints, the competition between the two CSPs becomes less intense in general. Discussions are presented on how the results and findings in this paper may help build CSP in practice and how to develop new, CSP-based travel demand management strategies.

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General Economics

Competition among Large and Heterogeneous Small Firms

We extend the model of Parenti (2018) on large and small firms by introducing cost heterogeneity among small firms. We propose a novel necessary and sufficient condition for the existence of such a mixed market structure. Furthermore, in contrast to Parenti (2018), we show that in the presence of cost heterogeneity among small firms, trade liberalization may raise or reduce the mass of small firms in operation.

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General Economics

Competition, Politics, & Social Media

An increasing number of politicians are relying on cheaper, easier to access technologies such as online social media platforms to communicate with their constituency. These platforms present a cheap and low-barrier channel of communication to politicians, potentially intensifying political competition by allowing many to enter political races. In this study, we demonstrate that lowering costs of communication, which allows many entrants to come into a competitive market, can strengthen an incumbent's position when the newcomers compete by providing more information to the voters. We show an asymmetric bad-news-good-news effect where early negative news hurts the challengers more than the positive news benefit them, such that in aggregate, an incumbent politician's chances of winning is higher with more entrants in the market. Our findings indicate that communication through social media and other platforms can intensify competition, how-ever incumbency advantage may be strengthened rather than weakened as an outcome of higher number of entrants into a political market.

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General Economics

Competitive ride-sourcing market with a third-party integrator

Recently, some transportation service providers attempt to integrate the ride services offered by multiple independent ride-sourcing platforms, and passengers are able to request ride through such third-party integrators or connectors and receive service from any one of the platforms. This novel business model, termed as third-party platform-integration in this paper, has potentials to alleviate the cost of market fragmentation due to the demand splitting among multiple platforms. While most existing studies focus on the operation strategies for one single monopolist platform, much less is known about the competition and platform-integration as well as the implications on operation strategy and system efficiency. In this paper, we propose mathematical models to describe the ride-sourcing market with multiple competing platforms and compare system performance metrics between two market scenarios, i.e., with and without platform-integration, at Nash equilibrium as well as social optimum. We find that platform-integration can increase total realized demand and social welfare at both Nash equilibrium and social optimum, but may not necessarily generate a greater profit when vehicle supply is sufficiently large or/and market is too fragmented. We show that the market with platform-integration generally achieves greater social welfare. On one hand, the integrator in platform-integration is able to generate a thicker market and reduce matching frictions; on the other hand, multiple platforms are still competing by independently setting their prices, which help to mitigate monopoly mark-up as in the monopoly market.

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General Economics

Conflict externalization and the quest for peace: theory and case evidence from Colombia

I study the relationship between the likelihood of a violent domestic conflict and the risk that such a conflict "externalizes" (i.e. spreads to another country by creating an international dispute). I consider a situation in which a domestic conflict between a government and a rebel group has the potential to externalize. I show that the risk of externalization increases the likelihood of a peaceful outcome, but only if the government is sufficiently powerful relative to the rebels, the risk of externalization is sufficiently high, and the foreign actor who can intervene in the domestic conflict is sufficiently uninterested in material costs and benefits. I show how this model helps to understand the recent and successful peace process between the Colombian government and the country's most powerful rebel group, the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC).

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