Featured Researches

Mathematical Finance

Classifying Financial Markets up to Isomorphism

Two markets should be considered isomorphic if they are financially indistinguishable. We define a notion of isomorphism for financial markets in both discrete and continuous time. We then seek to identify the distinct isomorphism classes, that is to classify markets. We classify complete one-period markets. We define an invariant of continuous time complete markets which we call the absolute market price of risk. This invariant plays a role analogous to the curvature in Riemannian geometry. We classify markets when the absolute market price of risk is deterministic. We show that, in general, markets with non-trivial automorphism groups admit mutual fund theorems. We prove a number of such theorems.

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Mathematical Finance

Clearing prices under margin calls and the short squeeze

In this paper, we propose a clearing model for prices in a financial markets due to margin calls on short sold assets. In doing so, we construct an explicit formulation for the prices that would result immediately following asset purchases and a margin call. The key result of this work is the determination of a threshold short interest ratio which, if exceeded, results in the discontinuity of the clearing prices due to a feedback loop. This model and threshold short interest ratio is then compared with data from early 2021 to consider the observed price movements of GameStop, AMC, and Naked Brand which have been targeted for a short squeeze by retail investors and, prominently, by the online community r/WallStreetBets.

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Mathematical Finance

Closed Quantum Black-Scholes: Quantum Drift and the Heisenberg Equation of Motion

In this article we model a financial derivative price as an observable on the market state function. We apply geometric techniques to integrating the Heisenberg Equation of Motion. We illustrate how the non-commutative nature of the model introduces quantum interference effects that can act as either a drag or a boost on the resulting return. The ultimate objective is to investigate the nature of quantum drift in the Accardi-Boukas quantum Black-Scholes framework which involves modelling the financial market as a quantum observable, and introduces randomness through the Hudson-Parthasarathy quantum stochastic calculus. In particular we aim to differentiate randomness that is introduced through external noise (quantum stochastic calculus) and randomness that is fundamental to a quantum system (Heisenberg Equation of Motion).

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Mathematical Finance

Closed-form Solutions for an Explicit Modern Ideal Tontine with Bequest Motive

In this paper I extend the work of Bernhardt and Donnelly (2019) dealing with modern explicit tontines, as a way of providing income under a specified bequest motive, from a defined contribution pension pot. A key feature of the present paper is that it relaxes the assumption of fixed proportions invested in tontine and bequest accounts. In making the bequest proportion an additional control function I obtain, hitherto unavailable, closed-form solutions for the fractional consumption rate, wealth, bequest amount, and bequest proportion under a constant relative risk averse utility. I show that the optimal bequest proportion is the product of the optimum fractional consumption rate and an exponentiated bequest parameter. I show that under certain circumstances, such as a very high bequest motive, a life-cycle utility maximisation strategy will necessitate negative mortality credits analogous to a member paying life insurance premiums. Typical scenarios are explored using UK Office of National Statistics life tables.

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Mathematical Finance

Closed-form approximations with respect to the mixing solution for option pricing under stochastic volatility

We consider closed-form approximations for European put option prices within the Heston and GARCH diffusion stochastic volatility models with time-dependent parameters. Our methodology involves writing the put option price as an expectation of a Black-Scholes formula and performing a second-order Taylor expansion around the mean of its argument. The difficulties then faced are simplifying a number of expectations induced by the Taylor expansion. Under the assumption of piecewise-constant parameters, we derive closed-form pricing formulas and devise a fast calibration scheme. Furthermore, we perform a numerical error and sensitivity analysis to investigate the quality of our approximation and show that the errors are well within the acceptable range for application purposes. Lastly, we derive bounds on the remainder term generated by the Taylor expansion.

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Mathematical Finance

Combined Mutiplicative-Heston Model for Stochastic Volatility

We consider a model of stochastic volatility which combines features of the multiplicative model for large volatilities and of the Heston model for small volatilities. The steady-state distribution in this model is a Beta Prime and is characterized by the power-law behavior at both large and small volatilities. We discuss the reasoning behind using this model as well as consequences for our recent analyses of distributions of stock returns and realized volatility.

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Mathematical Finance

Common Decomposition of Correlated Brownian Motions and its Financial Applications

In this paper, we develop a theory of common decomposition for two correlated Brownian motions, in which, by using change of time method, the correlated Brownian motions are represented by a triplet of processes, (X,Y,T) , where X and Y are independent Brownian motions. We show the equivalent conditions for the triplet being independent. We discuss the connection and difference of the common decomposition with the local correlation model. Indicated by the discussion, we propose a new method for constructing correlated Brownian motions which performs very well in simulation. For applications, we use these very general results for pricing two-factor financial derivatives whose payoffs rely very much on the correlations of underlyings. And in addition, with the help of numerical method, we also make a discussion of the pricing deviation when substituting a constant correlation model for a general one.

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Mathematical Finance

Comparative Study of Two Extensions of Heston Stochastic Volatility Model

In the option valuation literature, the shortcomings of one factor stochastic volatility models have traditionally been addressed by adding jumps to the stock price process. An alternate approach in the context of option pricing and calibration of implied volatility is the addition of a few other factors to the volatility process. This paper contemplates two extensions of the Heston stochastic volatility model. Out of which, one considers the addition of jumps to the stock price process (a stochastic volatility jump diffusion model) and another considers an additional stochastic volatility factor varying at a different time scale (a multiscale stochastic volatility model). An empirical analysis is carried out on the market data of options with different strike prices and maturities, to compare the pricing performance of these models and to capture their implied volatility fit. The unknown parameters of these models are calibrated using the non-linear least square optimization. It has been found that the multiscale stochastic volatility model performs better than the Heston stochastic volatility model and the stochastic volatility jump diffusion model for the data set under consideration.

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Mathematical Finance

Complete and competitive financial markets in a complex world

We investigate the possibility of completing financial markets in a model with no exogenous probability measure and market imperfections. A necessary and sufficient condition is obtained for such extension to be possible.

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Mathematical Finance

Computation of systemic risk measures: a mixed-integer linear programming approach

Systemic risk is concerned with the instability of a financial system whose members are interdependent in the sense that the failure of a few institutions may trigger a chain of defaults throughout the system. Recently, several systemic risk measures are proposed in the literature that are used to determine capital requirements for the members subject to joint risk considerations. We address the problem of computing systemic risk measures for systems with sophisticated clearing mechanisms. In particular, we consider the Eisenberg-Noe network model and the Rogers-Veraart network model, where the former one is extended to the case where operating cash flows in the system are unrestricted in sign. We propose novel mixed-integer linear programming problems that can be used to compute clearing vectors for these models. Due to the binary variables in these problems, the corresponding (set-valued) systemic risk measures fail to have convex values in general. We associate nonconvex vector optimization problems to these systemic risk measures and provide theoretical results related to the weighted-sum and minimum step-length scalarizations of these problems under the extended Eisenberg-Noe and Rogers-Veraart models. We test the proposed formulations on computational examples and perform sensitivity analyses with respect to some model-specific and structural parameters.

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