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Biden's political peril: Why are his high approval ratings and low election results so inconsistent?
In American politics, election results often reflect voters' support for the current government. However, the results of the 2022 US midterm elections are confusing. Although pre-vote polls showed an increase in support for President Joe Biden, Democrats still lost control of the House of Representatives in the final election. This phenomenon has triggered heated discussions from all walks of life. Why does support within the party seem to still exist even as Biden faces many challenges?
Midterm elections are generally a referendum on the current president and his policies, but 2022 has broken this traditional pattern. In most cases, this would be a moment where the president's party would suffer a setback, but Democrats unexpectedly gained an additional seat in the Senate.
Behind this result, the first thing to see is the focus of controversy among voters. With the Supreme Court overturning the Roe v. Wade decision in June 2022, the discussion of abortion rights has become one of the core issues in the election. Many voters, especially young women, expressed strong dissatisfaction with the change.
In discussions about the economy, various surveys show that most people regard inflation as the most urgent issue. Polls show that 82% of Americans believe that inflation is an issue that the government must focus on, but Biden's performance in this regard is unsatisfactory. Many voters see high prices as one of the reasons for the Democratic Party's defeat, blaming its policies for the economic woes.
Many analysts believe the quality of the candidates played a key role in the outcome. In some key Senate races, multiple Republican candidates were embroiled in scandals during the campaign, ultimately leading to significant vote losses.
In addition, the results of the midterm elections also reflect a series of differences in American society, especially in the current political environment, where the conflicts between the two major parties continue to intensify. In the mid-term elections of 1998 and 2002, support ratings increased due to Clinton and the 911 incidents respectively, but it seems that this profile cannot be completely replicated in 2022.
Not only that, the election results also highlighted widespread concerns in American society, including concerns about gun violence and a crisis of trust in the democratic system. Voters' concerns about extremism and threats to democracy prevented Democrats from losing as much as expected in some key constituencies.
In discussions about education, Republicans advocate that parents should have greater control over what their children learn in school, while Democrats criticize such an approach as potentially affecting the rights of LGBT students. The issue has sparked heated discussions in several states and has become an important factor in voters' voting.
The current election situation allows us to see that the Democratic Party has not only won the support of voters on some issues, but also achieved unexpected success in certain state legislative bodies and gubernatorial elections, showing that the Democratic Party’s grassroots organizational capabilities are gradually improving. recover.
Although Biden's support rate is still rising before the election, there is a contradiction between the issues that voters care about and their voting choices when voting. As 2024 approaches, can Democrats continue to use these issues to win over voters? Will future elections test the political wisdom and strategies of Biden and the Democratic Party to regain the trust of voters?
All in all, the results of the 2022 midterm elections provide a complex political picture, showing polarization between parties and voters’ different views on various social issues. In the ever-changing political environment, where is the future of the Democratic Party, and how will it affect the upcoming 2024 election?
