A. Papaioannou

LONGITUDINAL PROPERTIES OF A WIDESPREAD SOLAR ENERGETIC PARTICLE EVENT ON 2014 FEBRUARY 25: EVOLUTION OF THE ASSOCIATED CME SHOCK

We investigate the solar phenomena associated with the origin of the solar energetic particle (SEP) event observed on 2014 February 25 by a number of spacecraft distributed in the inner heliosphere over a broad range of heliolongitudes. These include spacecraft located near Earth; the twin Solar TErrestrial RElations Observatory spacecraft, STEREO-A and STEREO-B, located at ∼1 au from the Sun 153° west and 160° east of Earth, respectively; the MErcury Surface Space ENvironment GEochemistry and Ranging mission (at 0.40 au and 31° west of Earth); and the Juno spacecraft (at 2.11 au and 48° east of Earth). Although the footpoints of the field lines nominally connecting the Sun with STEREO-A, STEREO-B and near-Earth spacecraft were quite distant from each other, an intense high-energy SEP event with Fe-rich prompt components was observed at these three locations. The extent of the extreme-ultraviolet wave associated with the solar eruption generating the SEP event was very limited in longitude. However, the white-light shock accompanying the associated coronal mass ejection extended over a broad range of longitudes. As the shock propagated into interplanetary space it extended over at least ∼190° in longitude. The release of the SEPs observed at different longitudes occurred when the portion of the shock magnetically connected to each spacecraft was already at relatively high altitudes (2 Re above the solar surface). The expansion of the shock in the extended corona, as opposite to near the solar surface, determined the SEP injection and SEP intensity-time profiles at different longitudes.

Optimizing the real-time ground level enhancement alert system based on neutron monitor measurements: Introducing GLE Alert Plus

Whenever a significant intensity increase is being recorded by at least three neutron monitor stations in real-time mode, a ground level enhancement (GLE) event is marked and an automated alert is issued. Although, the physical concept of the algorithm is solid and has efficiently worked in a number of cases, the availability of real-time data is still an open issue and makes timely GLE alerts quite challenging. In this work we present the optimization of the GLE alert that has been set into operation since 2006 at the Athens Neutron Monitor Station. This upgrade has led to GLE Alert Plus, which is currently based upon the Neutron Monitor Database (NMDB). We have determined the critical values per station allowing us to issue reliable GLE alerts close to the initiation of the event while at the same time we keep the false alert rate at low levels. Furthermore, we have managed to treat the problem of data availability, introducing the Go-Back-N algorithm. A total of 13 GLE events have been marked from January 2000 to December 2012. GLE Alert Plus issued an alert for 12 events. These alert times are compared to the alert times of GOES Space Weather Prediction Center and Solar Energetic Particle forecaster of the University of Malaga (UMASEP). In all cases GLE Alert Plus precedes the GOES alert by ≈8–52 min. The comparison with UMASEP demonstrated a remarkably good agreement. Real-time GLE alerts by GLE Alert Plus may be retrieved by http://cosray.phys.uoa.gr/gle_alert_plus.html, http://www.nmdb.eu, and http://swe.ssa.esa.int/web/guest/space-radiation. An automated GLE alert email notification system is also available to interested users.

A Novel Forecasting System for Solar Particle Events and Flares (FORSPEF)

Solar Energetic Particles (SEPs) result from intense solar eruptive events such as solar flares and coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and pose a significant threat for both personnel and infrastructure in space conditions. In this work, we present FORSPEF (Forecasting Solar Particle Events and Flares), a novel dual system, designed to perform forecasting of SEPs based on forecasting of solar flares, as well as independent SEP nowcasting. An overview of flare and SEP forecasting methods of choice is presented. Concerning SEP events, we make use for the first time of the newly re-calibrated GOES proton data within the energy range 6.0-243 MeV and we build our statistics on an extensive time interval that includes roughly 3 solar cycles (1984-2013). A new comprehensive catalogue of SEP events based on these data has been compiled including solar associations in terms of flare (magnitude, location) and CME (width, velocity) characteristics.

Release timescales of solar energetic particles in the low corona

Aims. We present a systematic study of the timing and duration of the release processes of near-relativistic (NR; >50 keV) electrons in the low corona. Methods. We analyze seven well-observed events using in situ measurements by both the ACE and Wind spacecraft and context electromagnetic observations in soft X-rays, radio, hard X-rays and white light. We make use of velocity dispersion analysis to estimate the release time of the first arriving electrons and compare with the results obtained by using a simulation-based approach, taking interplanetary transport effects into account to unfold the NR electron release time history from in situ measurements. Results. The NR electrons observed in interplanetary space appear to be released during either short ( 2h ) periods. The observation of NR electron events showing beamed pitch-angle distributions (PADs) during several hours is the clearest observational signature of sustained release in the corona. On the other hand, the in situ observation of PADs isotropizing in less than a couple of hours is a clear signature of a prompt release of electrons in the low corona. Short release episodes appear to originate in solar flares, in coincidence with the timing of the observed type III radio bursts. Magnetic connectivity plays an important role. Only type III radio bursts reaching the local plasma line measured at 1 AU are found to be related with an associated release episode in the low corona. Other type III bursts may also have a release of NR electrons associated with them, but these electrons do not reach L1. Long release episodes appear associated with signatures of long acceleration processes in the low corona (long decay of the soft X-ray emission, type IV radio bursts, and time-extended microwave emission). Type II radio bursts are reported for most of the events and do not provide a clear discrimination between short and long release timescales.

SEPServer catalogues of solar energetic particle events at 1 AU based on STEREO recordings: 2007–2012

The Solar Terrestrial Relations Observatory (STEREO) recordings provide an unprecedented opportunity to study the evolution of solar energetic particle (SEP) events from different observation points in the heliosphere, allowing one to identify the effects of the properties of the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) and solar wind structures on the interplanetary transport and acceleration of SEPs. Two catalogues based on STEREO recordings, have been compiled as a part of the SEPServer project, a three-year collaborative effort of eleven European partners funded under the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Union (FP7/SPACE). In particular, two instruments on board STEREO have been used to identify all SEP events observed within the descending phase of solar cycle 23 and the rising phase of solar cycle 24 from 2007 to 2012, namely: the Low Energy Telescope (LET) and the Solar Electron Proton Telescope (SEPT). A scan of STEREO/LET protons within the energy range 6–10 MeV has been performed for each of the two STEREO spacecraft. We have tracked all enhancements that have been observed above the background level of this particular channel and cross-checked with available lists of interplanetary coronal mass ejections (ICMEs), stream interaction regions (SIRs), and shocks, as well as with the reported events in literature. Furthermore, parallel scanning of the STEREO near relativistic electrons has been performed in order to pinpoint the presence (or absence) of an electron event in the energy range of 55–85 keV, for all of the aforementioned proton events included in our lists. We provide the onset and peak time as well as the peak value of all events for both protons and electrons, the relevant solar associations in terms of electromagnetic emissions, soft and hard X-rays (SXRs and HXRs). Finally, a subset of events with clear recordings at both STEREO spacecraft is presented together with the parent solar events of these multispacecraft SEP events.

Space weather forecasting at the new Athens center: the recent extreme events of January 2005

From the beginning of this year a new data analysis center [Athens Neutron Monitor Data Processing (ANMODAP) Center] is operated in Athens University producing a real-time prediction of space weather phenomena. At this moment there has been a multi-sided use of twenty-three neutron monitors providing real-time data on the Internet. Moreover, interplanetary space parameters data from Geostationary Orbiting Environmental Satellite and Advanced Composition Explorer (ACE) satellite are also collected in this center. The ANMODAP Center in real-time is of high potential interest, as it is expected to give alerts for ground level enhancements (GLEs) of solar cosmic rays (CRs) and geomagnetic storms and therefore to provide crucial information for Space Weather applications. Forecasting of the last GLE and the geomagnetic variations of CRs on January 2005, is presented.

Measurements of Forbush decreases at Mars: both by MSL on ground and by MAVEN in orbit

The Radiation Assessment Detector (RAD), on board Mars Science Laboratorys (MSL) Curiosity rover, has been measuring ground level particle fluxes along with the radiation dose rate at the surface of Mars since August 2012. Similar to neutron monitors at Earth, RAD sees many Forbush decreases (FDs) in the galactic cosmic ray (GCR) induced surface fluxes and dose rates. These FDs are associated with coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and/or stream/corotating interaction regions (SIRs/CIRs). Orbiting above the Martian atmosphere, the Mars Atmosphere and Volatile EvolutioN (MAVEN) spacecraft has also been monitoring space weather conditions at Mars since September 2014. The penetrating particle flux channels in the Solar Energetic Particle (SEP) instrument onboard MAVEN can also be employed to detect FDs. For the first time, we study the statistics and properties of a list of FDs observed in-situ at Mars, seen both on the surface by MSL/RAD and in orbit detected by the MAVEN/SEP instrument. Such a list of FDs can be used for studying interplanetary CME (ICME) propagation and SIR evolution through the inner heliosphere. The magnitudes of different FDs can be well-fitted by a power-law distribution. The systematic difference between the magnitudes of the FDs within and outside the Martian atmosphere may be mostly attributed to the energy-dependent modulation of the GCR particles by both the pass-by ICMEs/SIRs and the Martian atmosphere.

The first Forbush decrease of solar cycle 24

The first significant Forbush decrease of solar cycle 24 was recorded in February 18, 2011 from neutron monitors around the world. This was the result of the coronal mass ejections (CMEs) that was released from the Sun on 14 and 15 February 2011, respectively, and their interplanetary counterparts (ICME) that were prevalent in the interplanetary space in this period. We report on the global characteristics of cosmic rays during the FD such as the amplitude (A0), the decrement and the three dimensional anisotropy parameters (Ax, Ay and Az), deduced from the global survey method (GSM). We also analyze the interplanetary space solar wind data and we present the structure of the ICME as it passed through the Earth resulting in a strong Forbush decrease. We compare high time resolution neutron monitor data with multipoint space-based measurements of the interplanetary space (e.g. ACE/SWEPAM and ACE/MAG).

COSMIC RAY EVENTS RELATED TO SOLAR ACTIVITY RECORDED AT THE ATHENS NEUTRON MONITOR STATION FOR THE PERIOD 2000–2003

In this work a complete study of 359 solar flares, 111 Halo coronal mass ejections (Halo CMEs) and 45 Partial Halo events occurred from November 2000 to November 2003, is considered. This time period characterized by an unexpected activity of the Sun, was divided into 27-day intervals starting from Bartels Rotation No. 2284 (14.10.2000) to No. 2324 (25.11.2003), generating diagrams of the cosmic ray intensity data recorded at the Athens Neutron Monitor Station. On these qualitative data presented for the first time, a mapping of all available solar and interplanetary events, such as solar flares with importance C, M and X, coronal mass ejections (Halo and Partial) was done. The existence of a connection between solar flares with CMEs and the respective connection to the Forbush effects on yearly and monthly basis are discussed. The role of extreme solar events occurred in March-April 2001 and in October-November 2003 is also considered.

Calculation of the cosmic ray induced ionization for the region of Athens

A complete study of ionization induced by cosmic rays, both solar and galactic, in the atmosphere, is presented. For the computation of the cosmic ray induced ionization, the CRII model was used [1] as well its new version [2] which is extended to the upper atmosphere. In this work, this model has been applied to the entire atmosphere, i.e. from atmospheric depth 0 g/cm2, which corresponds to the upper limit of the atmosphere, to 1025 g/cm2, which corresponds to the surface. Moreover, an application has been made as a function of rigidity and latitude, from 0GV or 90° which corresponds to Polar regions, to 15GV or 0° which corresponds to Equator. Athens corresponds to 8.53GV rigidity and 38°N latitude. An application has, also, been made for the different phases of the solar cycle (maximum at the year 2000 and minimum at the year 2010), which coincides with the operational period of the cosmic ray station of the University of Athens.