A. S. St Leger

Factors associated with cardiac mortality in developed countries with particular reference to the consumption of wine.

Deaths from ischaemic heart-disease in 18 developed countries are not strongly associated with health-service factors such as doctor and nurse density. There is a negative association with gross national product per capita and a positive but inconsistent association with saturated and monounsaturated fat intake. The principal finding is a strong and specific negative association between ischaemic heart-disease deaths and alcohol consumption. This is shown to be wholly attributable to wine consumption.

Health service "input" and mortality "output" in developed countries.

The relationship between age-specific mortality rates and some indices of health facilities and some environmental and dietary factors has been studied in 18 developed couuntries. The indices of health care are not negatively associated with mortality, and there is a marked positive association between the prevalence of doctors and mortality in the younger age groups. No explanation of this doctor anomaly has so far been found. Gross national product per head is the principal variable which shows a consistently strong negative association with mortality.

Effects of anti-mite measures on children with mite-sensitive asthma: a controlled trial.

Mite counts and tests for mite antigen were performed on samples of dust taken from the bedding of 53 children with mite-sensitive asthma. The samples from damp houses and the beds or enuretic children had markedly more mites and mite-antigen than those from dry houses. although the predominant species was usually Dermatophagoides pteronyssinus, some of the beds in the damp houses were heavily infested with another pyroglyphid mite Euroglyphus maynei, so that this was the species found in the greatest numbers. D pteronyssinus antigen was found to be correlated broadly with the total mite count, but more antigen was present for a given number of mites in the mattresses than in the blankets. The children were randomly allocated into two groups, one of which carried out rigorous anti-mite measures. The amounts of dust and mite antigen were reduced, though not the numbers of mites. Peak flow readings were monitored in the two groups for eight weeks and a final assessment made by a paediatrician who was unaware of the allocation of each patient in the trial. No significant differences emerged in the progress of the two groups, both tending to improve. Measures designed to remove mites from bedding do not greatly benefit the majority of children with mite-sensitive asthma.

A community survey of asthmatic characteristics.

A survey was undertaken among adults aged 20-44 years in a South Wales town. Persons with a history of wheezing with breathlessness and in the absence of a cold were identified by postal questionnaires and seen at a clinic, together with a sample of subjects without these symptoms. The response rates for the first and second stages of the survey were 99.6% and 91.0% respectively, and 574 subjects were ultimately seen. Asthmatic patients (those receiving treatment within the previous year) had some airways obstruction at rest, which increased after exercise. They also had strong allergic tendencies, as shown by personal and family history, skin tests, and serum IgE levels. The ex-asthmatics (those not receiving treatment within the previous year) showed these tendencies to a lesser extent. A larger group gave a history of wheezing but stated that they had never had asthma; in their response to exercise and allergic traits they resembled the control group rather than the asthmatics, and appeared to have the features of chronic bronchitis. Asthma and chronic bronchitis would therefore seem to be distinct entities within the population studied.

A randomized controlled trial of vitamin C in the prevention and amelioration of the common cold.

A randomized controlled trial of the effect of 1 g ascorbic acid per day in the prevention of the common cold was conducted on 688 adult women. There is evidence of a small reduction by vitamin C in the mean number of chest colds, but no evidence of any effect on simple colds. The existence of a subgroup of vulnerable women in the community who benefit from vitamin C was considered but further examination of the data gives no support to this conclusion.

Circulating IgE levels in the over-seventies

In a normal population aged over 70 years the geometric mean IgE value of 30.6 u/ml was not significantly different from that obtained previously in a similar epidemiological survey of a population aged 20–44 years. However, in the older population we have noted a significant sex difference–38.6 u/ml for males against 27.2 u/ml for females–which was only apparent in the atopic subjects of the younger population. There have been some other reports that IgE levels decrease with age, and possible reasons for these differences with our own results are discussed.

Mortality and the concentration of elements in tap water in county boroughs in England and Wales.

To explain the associations of water hardness and air temperature with area differences in ischaemic heart disease mortality, samples of tap water were obtained from homes in 61 county boroughs in England and Wales, and the concentration of calcium and 12 other elements was estimated. Multiple regressions were calculated with the death rates from various causes as dependent variables and with the concentration of the elements in the tap water, mean annual temperature, mean annual rainfall, and a socioeconomic index as independent variables. The well known negative association between water hardness and ischaemic heart disease was shown to be due to calcium, and none of 12 other elements examined appeared to contribute significantly to the association. Area differences in other causes of death also showed an association with calcium. There was little association between temperature and ischaemic heart disease.

Respiratory infections and their influence on lung function in children: a multiple regression analysis.

The relationship between a history of respiratory infections (and associated variables) in children and lung function in later life was examined in a study among 228 children aged 7 to 11 years. In a multiple regression analysis only a few variables showed marked and consistent effects on lung function. Respiratory tract infections showed increasing impairment of lung function with repeated infections, but the impairment was smaller than that caused by current asthma.

Housing conditions, respiratory illness, and lung function in children in South Wales.

The hypothesis was tested that respiratory illness in children occurs more commonly in old housing than in housing built to modern standards. Three areas of housing were chosen in a South Wales valley: a recently constructed council estate with district central heating; a modern council estate heated with open coal fires; and an area of much older, traditional valley housing. Mothers reported the greatest proportion of children free of colds and sore throats during the previous 12 months in the area of traditional valley housing; mothers of children in the centrally heated estate reported the least proportion of children free of colds. Childrens lung function was best in the area of traditional valley housing and worst in the centrally heated council estate. Data on demographic indices and respiratory morbidity suggest that the inhabitants of the two council estates have comparable characteristics. Another hypothesis which may explain the findings is proposed.

Health service "input" and mortality "output" in developed countries. 1968 [historical article].

Health services in developed countries, both state and private, are based upon many common assumptions about what constitutes adequate health care. Doctors and their paramedical colleagues in different developed countries receive similar educations to more or less the same standards, and their approaches to clinical and preventive medicine are unlikely to differ in fundamental principles. However, these countries show marked differences in their mortality rates and in health costs per head. In this paper, we seek to discover some factors to explain these differences in mortality.