Adam A. Ali

Control of the multimillennial wildfire size in boreal North America by spring climatic conditions

Wildfire activity in North American boreal forests increased during the last decades of the 20th century, partly owing to ongoing human-caused climatic changes. How these changes affect regional fire regimes (annual area burned, seasonality, and number, size, and severity of fires) remains uncertain as data available to explore fire–climate–vegetation interactions have limited temporal depth. Here we present a Holocene reconstruction of fire regime, combining lacustrine charcoal analyses with past drought and fire-season length simulations to elucidate the mechanisms linking long-term fire regime and climatic changes. We decomposed fire regime into fire frequency (FF) and biomass burned (BB) and recombined these into a new index to assess fire size (FS) fluctuations. Results indicated that an earlier termination of the fire season, due to decreasing summer radiative insolation and increasing precipitation over the last 7.0 ky, induced a sharp decrease in FF and BB ca. 3.0 kyBP toward the present. In contrast, a progressive increase of FS was recorded, which is most likely related to a gradual increase in temperatures during the spring fire season. Continuing climatic warming could lead to a change in the fire regime toward larger spring wildfires in eastern boreal North America.

Spatial Variability of Fire History in Subalpine Forests: From Natural to Cultural Regimes

Abstract: The goal of this study was to determine the effect of local and large-scale processes on fire frequency during the postglacial period in a subalpine ecosystem (Alps, France). Large-scale processes should produce homogeneous distribution of fire-free intervals and synchronicity of fire series, and dominance of local-scale processes, such as those triggered by differences in relief, slope aspect, human history, etc. should create heterogeneous fire regimes. Four ponds and peat were sampled at different elevations and exposures. Sedimentary charcoal was used as a fire proxy, and plant macroremains were used as a vegetation proxy. Synchronicity analysis was based on a transformed Ripleys K-function. Similar fire-free intervals during the early Holocene suggest that fire regimes were controlled at that time by large-scale natural processes such as climate and vegetation patterns and establishment. No fire was reconstructed before 9000 y cal BP. Infrequent fires occurred following establishment of the subalpine bio-climate belt. However, local-scale processes have dominated the pattern of fire intervals during the late Holocene, with more fires at lower elevation and on south-facing slopes. Although altitude, topography, and slope aspect certainly drove between-site differences during the early Holocene, these differences disappeared during the late Holocene, when fire frequency was related not to ecological features of the natural landscape but likely to human population density and activities, e.g., need for pastures (woody fuel suppression). Fires were certainly controlled at first by climate and vegetation (Pinus cembra), but human practices have affected the fire regime for centuries. A new fire epoch might result from both the current global warming and on-going land-use abandonment, which has led to a significant fuel build-up in the Alps. Nomenclature: Tutin et al., 1968–1993.

Vegetation limits the impact of a warm climate on boreal wildfires

Strategic introduction of less flammable broadleaf vegetation into landscapes was suggested as a management strategy for decreasing the risk of boreal wildfires projected under climatic change. However, the realization and strength of this offsetting effect in an actual environment remain to be demonstrated. Here we combined paleoecological data, global climate models and wildfire modelling to assess regional fire frequency (RegFF, i.e. the number of fires through time) in boreal forests as it relates to tree species composition and climate over millennial time-scales. Lacustrine charcoals from northern landscapes of eastern boreal Canada indicate that RegFF during the mid-Holocene (6000-3000 yr ago) was significantly higher than pre-industrial RegFF (AD c. 1750). In southern landscapes, RegFF was not significantly higher than the pre-industrial RegFF in spite of the declining drought severity. The modelling experiment indicates that the high fire risk brought about by a warmer and drier climate in the south during the mid-Holocene was offset by a higher broadleaf component. Our data highlight an important function for broadleaf vegetation in determining boreal RegFF in a warmer climate. We estimate that its feedback may be large enough to offset the projected climate change impacts on drought conditions.

Resilience of the boreal forest in response to Holocene fire-frequency changes assessed by pollen diversity and population dynamics

The hypothesis that changes in fire frequency control the long-term dynamics of boreal forests is tested on the basis of paleodata. Sites with different wildfire histories at the regional scale should exhibit different vegetation trajectories. Mean fire intervals and vegetation reconstructions are based respectively on sedimentary charcoal and pollen from two small lakes, one in the Mixedwood boreal forests and the second in the Coniferous boreal forests. The pollen-inferred vegetation exhibits different trajectories of boreal forest dynamics after afforestation, whereas mean fire intervals have no significant or a delayed impact on the pollen data, either in terms of diversity or trajectories. These boreal forests appear resilient to changes in fire regimes, although subtle modifications can be highlighted. Vegetation compositions have converged during the last 1200 years with the decrease in mean fire intervals, owing to an increasing abundance of boreal species at the southern site (Mixedwood), whereas changes are less pronounced at the northern site (Coniferous). Although wildfire is a natural property of boreal ecosystems, this study does not support the hypothesis that changes in mean fire intervals are the key process controlling long-term vegetation transformation. Fluctuations in mean fire intervals alone do not explain the historical and current distribution of vegetation, but they may have accelerated the climatic process of borealisation, likely resulting from orbital forcing.

Multi-millennial fire frequency and tree abundance differ between xeric and mesic boreal forests in central Canada

Summary 1. Macroscopic sedimentary charcoal and plant macroremains from two lakes, 50 km apart, in north-western Ontario, Canada, were analysed to investigate fire frequency and tree abundance in the central boreal forest. These records were used to examine the controls over the long-term fire regime, and vegetative dynamics associated with fire return intervals (FRIs). 2. There were 52 fire events at Lake Ben (surrounded by a xeric landscape) between 10 174 calibrated years before present (cal. year BP) and the present with an average FRI of 186 years with values oscillating between 40 and 820 years. Forty-three fire events were recorded at Lake Small (surrounded by a mesic landscape) between 9972 cal. year BP and the present with an average FRI of 229 years and a range of 60–660 years. FRIs at Lake Small decreased significantly after c. 4500 cal. year BP, whereas at Lake Ben FRIs remained similar throughout the Holocene. Different FRI distributions and independence in the occurrence of fire events were detected between 10 000 and 4500 cal. year BP for the two sites. Between 4500 cal. year BP and the present, similar FRIs were observed, but fires continued to occur independently. 3. Longer FRIs resulted in declining abundance of Larix laricina in both landscapes. Longer FRIs resulted in a decline in the abundance of Picea mariana in the xeric landscape, but a marginal increase in the mesic landscape. Abundances of Pinus banksiana, Pinus strobus and Betula papyrifera were unrelated to FRI, underlying that these species maintain their local abundance irrespective of fire frequency. 4. Synthesis. Our results show contrasting fire regime dynamics between a xeric and mesic landscape in central boreal forests, Canada. These results highlight the influence of local factors as important drivers of fire frequency at centennial to millennial scales. Local site factors, especially soil moisture, need to be incorporated into predictive models of vegetation response to climate change.

Regional paleofire regimes affected by non-uniform climate, vegetation and human drivers

Climate, vegetation and humans act on biomass burning at different spatial and temporal scales. In this study, we used a dense network of sedimentary charcoal records from eastern Canada to reconstruct regional biomass burning history over the last 7000 years at the scale of four potential vegetation types: open coniferous forest/tundra, boreal coniferous forest, boreal mixedwood forest and temperate forest. The biomass burning trajectories were compared with regional climate trends reconstructed from general circulation models, tree biomass reconstructed from pollen series, and human population densities. We found that non-uniform climate, vegetation and human drivers acted on regional biomass burning history. In the open coniferous forest/tundra and dense coniferous forest, the regional biomass burning was primarily shaped by gradual establishment of less climate-conducive burning conditions over 5000 years. In the mixed boreal forest an increasing relative proportion of flammable conifers in landscapes since 2000 BP contributed to maintaining biomass burning constant despite climatic conditions less favourable to fires. In the temperate forest, biomass burning was uncoupled with climatic conditions and the main driver was seemingly vegetation until European colonization, i.e. 300 BP. Tree biomass and thus fuel accumulation modulated fire activity, an indication that biomass burning is fuel-dependent and notably upon long-term co-dominance shifts between conifers and broadleaf trees.

Charcoal dispersion and deposition in boreal lakes from 3 years of monitoring: Differences between local and regional fires

To evaluate the influence of long-distance transport of charcoal particles on the detection of local wildfires from lake sediment sequences, we tracked three consecutive years of charcoal deposition into traps set within seven boreal lakes in northeastern Canada. Peaks in macroscopic charcoal accumulation (>150 µm) were linked to both local (inside the watershed) and regional wildfires. However, regional fires were characterized by higher proportions of small particles (<0.1 mm2) in charcoal assemblages. We conclude that the analysis of particle size distribution is useful to discriminate “true” local fires from regional wildfires.

Using tree-ring records to calibrate peak detection in fire reconstructions based on sedimentary charcoal records

We compared fire episodes over the past 150 years reconstructed using charcoal particles retrieved from well-dated sediment deposits from two small lakes in the eastern Canadian boreal forest, with dendrochronological reconstructions of fire events from the corresponding watersheds. Fire scars and age structure of living trees highlighted three fire events (ad 1890, 1941, and 1989). To explore the ability to detect these fire events based on sedimentary charcoal records, we explored the influence of two user-determined parameters of a widely used peak-detection algorithm (the CharAnalysis software): (1) the temporal resolution used to interpolate charcoal series and (2) the width of the smoothing window used to model background noise. The signal-to-noise index (SNI) is often used to evaluate the ability to detect peaks in sedimentary charcoal records, which can be related to fire events. SNI values >3 identify records appropriate for peak detection. Selecting standard settings in paleoecological studies (median temporal resolution of the entire sequence and 500- to 1000-year window width) yielded higher global SNI values but failed to detect most recent fire events. Instead, selecting a shorter reference period (the past ~150 years) to determine the temporal resolution to interpolate the charcoal series and a narrower smoothing window (100 years) best matched the tree-ring data despite lower SNI values (often <3.0). However, Holocene fire history differed markedly when reconstructed using different smoothing window widths (100–150 years vs >300 years). Consequently, we suggest using the smallest window width yielding a SNI >3. Practitioners must not necessarily focus on obtaining the highest possible SNI, usually related to wide smoothing windows. We also suggest that fire history reconstructions should focus on core sections presenting fairly constant sedimentation rates. Alternatively, sediments could be subsampled after age–depth models have been obtained.

Effects of vegetation zones and climatic changes on fire-induced atmospheric carbon emissions: a model based on paleodata

An original method is proposed for estimating past carbon emissions from fires in order to understand long-term changes in the biomass burning that, together with vegetation cover, act on the global carbon cycle and climate. The past carbon release resulting from paleo-fires during the Holocene is examined using a simple linear model between measured carbon emissions from modern fires and sedimentary charcoal records of biomass burning within boreal and cold temperate forests in eastern Canada (Quebec, Ontario). Direct carbon emissions are estimated for each ecozone for the present period and the fire anomaly per kilo annum (ka) v. present day (0 ka) deduced from charcoal series of 46 lakes and peats. Over the postglacial, the Taiga Shield ecozone does not match the pattern of fire history and carbon release of Boreal Shield, Atlantic Maritime, and Mixedwood Plains ecozones. This feature results from different air mass influences and the timing of vegetation dynamics. Our estimations show, first, that the contribution of the Mixedwood Plains and the Atlantic Maritime ecozones on the total carbon emissions by fires remains negligible compared with the Boreal Shield. Second, the Taiga Shield plays a key role by maintaining important carbon emissions, given it is today a lower contributor.

Subalpine Vegetation Dynamics in the Southern French Alps during the Holocene: Evidence from Plant Imprints and Charcoal Preserved in Travertine Sequences

Abstract In the Aigue Agnelle Valley (Queyras, southern French Alps), between 2200 and 2300 m a.s.l., several travertine deposits are present. Some, containing leaf imprints and pine cones, have been dated back to the early Holocene. Others containing charcoal fragments and dating back to the middle Holocene have also been found. The study of the plant imprints and charcoal within these travertines allowed us to reconstruct the vegetation dynamics of this valley. During the early Holocene (9800 B.P.), Pinus uncinata (mountain pine) was the most common tree. It was gradually replaced by Pinus cembra (arrola pine) in association with Betula (birch) and Vaccinium sp. (berry), probably as a result of climatic warming (ca. 7600 B.P.). Since ca. 5600 B.P., Pinus cembra seems to have regressed in correlation with the development of Larix decidua/Picea abies (larch/spruce) as a consequence of fire events related to climatic and/or anthropogenic factors.