Affan Irfan

Utility of Absolute and Relative Changes in Cardiac Troponin Concentrations in the Early Diagnosis of Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background— Current guidelines for the diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), among other criteria, also require a rise and/or fall in cardiac troponin (cTn) levels. It is unknown whether absolute or relative changes in cTn have higher diagnostic accuracy and should therefore be preferred. Methods and Results— In a prospective, observational, multicenter study, we analyzed the diagnostic accuracy of absolute (&Dgr;) and relative (&Dgr;%) changes in cTn in 836 patients presenting to the emergency department with symptoms suggestive of AMI. Blood samples for the determination of high-sensitive cTn T and cTn I ultra were collected at presentation and after 1 and 2 hours in a blinded fashion. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for diagnosing AMI was significantly higher for 2-hour absolute (&Dgr;) versus 2-hour relative (&Dgr;%) cTn changes (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [95% confidence interval], high-sensitivity cTn T: 0.95 [0.92 to 0.98] versus 0.76 [0.70 to 0.83], P<0.001; cTn I ultra: 0.95 [0.91 to 0.99] versus 0.72 [0.66 to 0.79], P<0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve–derived cutoff value for 2-hour absolute (&Dgr;) change was 0.007 &mgr;g/L for high-sensitivity cTn T and 0.020 &mgr;g/L for cTn I ultra (both cutoff levels are half of the 99th percentile of the respective cTn assay). Absolute changes were superior to relative changes in patients with both low and elevated baseline cTn levels. Conclusions— Absolute changes of cTn levels have a significantly higher diagnostic accuracy for AMI than relative changes, and seem therefore to be the preferred criteria to distinguish AMI from other causes of cTn elevations. Clinical Trial Registration— URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00470587.

Determinants of High-Sensitivity Troponin T Among Patients with a Noncardiac Cause of Chest Pain

BACKGROUND It is unknown to what extent noncardiac causes, including renal dysfunction, may contribute to high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T levels. METHODS In an observational international multicenter study, we enrolled consecutive patients presenting with acute chest pain to the emergency department. Of 1181 patients enrolled, 572 were adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists to have a noncardiac cause of chest pain. Multiple linear regression analyses were used to determine the important predictors of log-transformed high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to assess the prognostic significance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T>0.014 μg/L (99th percentile). RESULTS A total of 88 patients (15%) had high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T>0.014 μg/L. Less than 50% of cardiac troponins could be explained by known cardiac or noncardiac diseases. In decreasing order of importance, age, estimated glomerular filtration rate, hypertension, previous myocardial infarction, and chronic kidney disease (adjusted r(2) 0.44) emerged as significant factors in linear regression analysis to predict high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T. High-sensitivity cardiac troponin T was best explained by a linear curve with age as ≤0.014 μg/L. Patients with high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T levels>0.014 μg/L were at increased risk for all-cause mortality (hazard ratio 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 0.8-10.6; P=.02) during follow-up. CONCLUSION Among the known covariates, age and not renal dysfunction is the most important determinant of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T. Because known cardiac and noncardiac factors, including renal dysfunction, explain less than 50% of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T levels among patients with a noncardiac cause of chest pain, unknown or underestimated cardiac involvement during the acute presenting condition seems to be the major cause of elevated high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T.

Right ventricular dysfunction as an echocardiographic prognostic factor in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism: a meta-analysis

BackgroundWe investigated whether right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) as assessed by echocardiogram can be used as a prognostic factor in hemodynamically stable patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Short-term mortality has been investigated only in small studies and the results have been controversial.MethodsA PubMed search was conducted using two keywords, “pulmonary embolism” and “echocardiogram”, for articles published between January 1st 1998 and December 31st 2011. Out of 991 articles, after careful review, we found 12 articles that investigated the implications of RVD as assessed by echocardiogram in predicting short-term mortality for hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE. We conducted a meta-analysis of these data to identify whether the presence of RVD increased short-term mortality.ResultsAmong 3283 hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE, 1223 patients (37.3%) had RVD, as assessed by echocardiogram, while 2060 patients (62.7%) had normal right ventricular function. Short-term mortality was reported in 167 (13.7%) out of 1223 patients with RVD and in 134 (6.5%) out of 2060 patients without RVD. Hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE who had RVD as assessed by echocardiogram had a 2.29-fold increase in short-term mortality (odds ratio 2.29, 95% confidence interval 1.61-3.26) compared with patients without RVD.ConclusionsIn hemodynamically stable patients with acute PE, RVD as assessed by echocardiogram increases short-term mortality by 2.29 times. Consideration should be given to obtaining echocardiogram to identify high-risk patients even if they are hemodynamically stable.

Early Diagnosis of Myocardial Infarction Using Absolute and Relative Changes in Cardiac Troponin Concentrations

BACKGROUND Absolute changes in high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) seem to have higher diagnostic accuracy in the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction compared with relative changes. It is unknown whether the same applies to high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-cTnI) assays and whether the combination of absolute and relative change might further increase accuracy. METHODS In a prospective, international multicenter study, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin (hs-cTn) was measured with 3 novel assays (hs-cTnT, Roche Diagnostics Corp, Indianapolis, Ind; hs-cTnI, Beckman Coulter Inc, Brea, Calif; hs-cTnI, Siemens, Munich, Germany) in a blinded fashion at presentation and after 1 and 2 hours in a blinded fashion in 830 unselected patients with suspected acute myocardial infarction. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. RESULTS The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for diagnosing acute myocardial infarction was significantly higher for 1- and 2-hour absolute versus relative hs-cTn changes for all 3 assays (P < .001). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the combination of 2-hour absolute and relative change (hs-cTnT 0.98 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 0.97-0.99]; hs-cTnI, Beckman Coulter Inc, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.96-0.99]; hs-cTnI, Siemens, 0.96 [95% CI, 0.93-0.99]) were high and provided some benefit compared with the use of absolute change alone for hs-cTnT, but not for the hs-cTnI assays. Reclassification analysis confirmed the superiority of absolute changes versus relative changes. CONCLUSIONS Absolute changes seem to be the preferred metrics for both hs-cTnT and hs-cTnI in the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction. The combination of absolute and relative changes provides a small added value for hs-cTnT, but not for hs-cTnI.

Use of Neutrophil Count in Early Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of AMI

BACKGROUND Neutrophils are rapidly released into the circulation upon acute stress such as trauma or acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We hypothesized that neutrophil count might provide incremental value in the early diagnosis and risk stratification of AMI. METHODS We conducted a prospective observational multicenter study to examine the diagnostic accuracy of the combination of neutrophil count and cardiac troponin T from 1125 consecutive patients who presented to the Emergency Department with symptoms suggestive of acute myocardial infarction. The final diagnosis was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. RESULTS Neutrophil count was higher in patients with acute myocardial infarction compared with other diagnoses (median 6.7 vs. 5.0×10(9)/L, respectively, P <.001). The accuracy of the neutrophil count for diagnosing acute myocardial infarction, quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.69, which was significantly lower than that of cardiac troponin T (AUC 0.89, P <.001). The combination of the neutrophil count and cardiac troponin T did not improve the early diagnosis of acute myocardial infarction versus cardiac troponin T alone (P=.79). The prognostic accuracy of neutrophil count for death and AMI was significantly lower than that of cardiac troponin T. However, patients in the highest tertile of neutrophil count had a significantly increased risk of death and AMI at 90 and 360 days compared with patients in the lowest tertile (hazard ratios 2.47 [95% confidence interval, 1.63-3.72] and 2.28 [95% confidence interval, 1.55-3.36], respectively). CONCLUSION The neutrophil count does not improve the early diagnosis of AMI in patients presenting with chest pain but identifies patients at increased risk of death.

How Safe Is the Outpatient Management of Patients with Acute Chest Pain and Mildly Increased Cardiac Troponin Concentrations

BACKGROUND The appropriate management of patients discharged from the emergency department (ED) with increased high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) but normal or borderline-high conventional cardiac troponin concentrations is unknown. METHODS We investigated 643 consecutive ED patients with acute chest pain who had been discharged for outpatient management after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) had been ruled out by serial measurements of conventional cardiac troponin. hs-cTnT was measured blindly, and we calculated the rates of all-cause mortality (primary endpoint) and subsequent AMI (secondary endpoint) at 30, 90, and 360 days. RESULTS hs-cTnT concentrations were increased (>14 ng/L) in 114 patients (18%) but <30 ng/L in 95% of these patients. Of those 114 patients, 96 (84%) had an adjudicated noncoronary cause of chest pain. Thirty-day mortality (95% CI) was 0.9% (0.1%-6.1%), 90-day mortality was 2.7% (0.9%-8.1%), and 360-day mortality was 5.2% (2.2%-11.9%) in patients with increased hs-cTnT; respective rates (95% CI) of AMI were 0.0%, 1.9% (0.5%-7.2%), and 7.6% (3.7%-15.3%). Increased hs-cTnT was associated with increased mortality and AMI at 90 days (P = 0.006 and P = 0.081, respectively) and 360 days (P = 0.001 for both). CONCLUSIONS hs-cTnT is a strong prognosticator of intermediate and long-term mortality and AMI in low-risk patients discharged from the ED after AMI has been ruled out. The relatively low rate of 30-day events may suggest that patients without acute coronary syndrome and small increases in cardiac troponin are in need of further investigations and treatments, but not necessarily immediate hospitalization.

Patients with acute coronary syndrome and normal high-sensitivity troponin.

BACKGROUND Failure to identify patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is a serious clinical problem. The incidence, characteristics, and outcome of ACS patients with normal high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) levels at presentation are unknown. METHODS In a prospective multicenter study, hs-cTnT was determined in a blinded fashion in 1181 consecutive patients presenting with acute chest pain to the emergency department. The final diagnosis of ACS was adjudicated by 2 independent cardiologists. Patients were followed for 12 months. RESULTS ACS was the adjudicated diagnosis in 351 patients (30%), including 187 patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and 164 patients with unstable angina (UA). At presentation, hs-cTnT was normal (<.014 ug/L) in 112 ACS patients (32%), including 11 patients (6%) with AMI and 101 patients (62%) with UA (P <.001). Multivariable analysis revealed previous statin treatment, younger age, preserved renal function, and the absence of ST deviation on the electrocardiogram as independently associated with normal hs-cTnT levels. Mortality rates in ACS patients with normal hs-cTnT level were 0.0% at 30 days, 0.0% at 90 days, and 2.0% (95% confidence interval, 0.5-7.9) at 360 days, which was significantly lower than in ACS patients with elevated hs-cTnT level at presentation (17.5% at 360 days, P <.001). Conversely, AMI rates at 360 days was higher in ACS patients with normal versus elevated hs-cTnT levels (P=.004). CONCLUSION Almost one third of ACS patients have normal hs-cTnT levels at presentation, mostly patients with UA. ACS patients with normal hs-cTnT have a very low mortality, but an increased rate of AMI during the subsequent 360 days.

Pathophysiology of Lower Extremity Edema in Acute Heart Failure Revisited

BACKGROUND The pathophysiology and key determinants of lower extremity edema in patients with acute heart failure are poorly investigated. METHODS We prospectively enrolled 279 unselected patients presenting to the Emergency Department with acute heart failure. Lower extremity edema was quantified at predefined locations. Left ventricular ejection fraction, central venous pressure quantifying right ventricular failure, biomarkers to quantify hemodynamic cardiac stress (B-type natriuretic peptide), and the activity of the arginine-vasopressin system (copeptin) also were recorded. RESULTS Lower extremity edema was present in 218 (78%) patients and limited to the ankle in 22%, reaching the lower leg in 40%, reaching the upper leg in 11%, and was generalized (anasarca) in 3% of patients. Patients in the 4 strata according to the presence and extent of lower leg edema had comparable systolic blood pressure, left ventricular ejection fraction, central venous pressure, and B-type natriuretic peptide levels, as well as copeptin and glomerular filtration rate (P=NS for all). The duration of dyspnea preceding the presentation was longer in patients with more extensive edema (P=.006), while serum sodium (P=.02) and serum albumin (P=.03) was lower. CONCLUSION Central venous pressure, hemodynamic cardiac stress, left ventricular ejection fraction, and the activity of the arginine-vasopressin system do not seem to be key determinants of the presence or extent of lower extremity edema in acute heart failure.

Systematic reviews experience major limitations in reporting absolute effects

OBJECTIVES Expressing treatment effects in relative terms yields larger numbers than expressions in absolute terms, affecting the judgment of the clinicians and patients regarding the treatment options. It is uncertain how authors of systematic reviews (SRs) absolute effect estimates are reported in. We therefore undertook a systematic survey to identify and describe the reporting and methods for calculating absolute effect estimates in SRs. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING Two reviewers independently screened title, abstract, and full text and extracted data from a sample of Cochrane and non-Cochrane SRs. We used regression analyses to examine the association between study characteristics and the reporting of absolute estimates for the most patient-important outcome. RESULTS We included 202 SRs (98 Cochrane and 104 non-Cochrane), most of which (92.1%) included standard meta-analyses including relative estimates of effect. Of the 202 SRs, 73 (36.1%) reported absolute effect estimates for the most patient-important outcome. SRs with statistically significant effects were more likely to report absolute estimates (odds ratio, 2.26; 95% confidence interval: 1.08, 4.74). The most commonly reported absolute estimates were: for each intervention, risk of adverse outcomes expressed as a percentage (41.1%); number needed to treat (26.0%); and risk for each intervention expressed as natural units or natural frequencies (24.7%). In 12.3% of the SRs that reported absolute effect estimates for both benefit and harm outcomes, harm outcomes were reported exclusively as absolute estimates. Exclusively reporting of beneficial outcomes as absolute estimates occurred in 6.8% of the SRs. CONCLUSIONS Most SRs do not report absolute effects. Those that do often report them inadequately, thus requiring users of SRs to generate their own estimates of absolute effects. For any apparently effective or harmful intervention, SR authors should report both absolute and relative estimates to optimize the interpretation of their findings.

Mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin in the early evaluation of acute chest pain patients ☆ ☆☆

BACKGROUND The purpose of this study was to investigate the utility of mid-regional pro-adrenomedullin (MR-proADM) in the early diagnosis and risk stratification of patients with acute chest pain in comparison with established and novel biomarkers and risk scores. METHODS In this prospective, observational, international, multi-center trial (APACE), MR-proADM was determined in 1179 unselected patients with acute chest pain. Patients were followed for 24 months. RESULTS MR-proADM concentrations at presentation were higher in patients with AMI (median: 0.78 nmol/l, IQR 0.60-1.13) than in patients with other diagnoses (0.64 nmol/l, IQR 0.49-0.86 nmol/l; p<0.001). The diagnostic accuracy of MR-proADM for AMI as quantified by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.66. Adding MR-proADM to hs-cTnT could not improve its diagnostic accuracy for AMI (p=0.431). Seventy-six percent of all deaths occurred in the fourth quartile of MR-proADM (>0.90 nmol/l). Adding MR-proADM to the TIMI-score (AUC 0.87) predicted 1-year mortality more accurately than the TIMI-score alone (AUC 0.82; p<0.001). Net reclassification improvement (TIMI vs. additionally MR-proADM) amounted to 0.137 (p=0.012). MR-proADM had higher prognostic accuracy as compared to hs-cTnT in patients with AMI (p=0.015) and in those without AMI (p=0.003). MR-proADM at presentation was tantamount to GRACE score and BNP as to its prognostic accuracy for mortality. The AUC for the prediction of cardiovascular events amounted to 0.63. CONCLUSIONS While MR-proADM does not have clinical utility in the early diagnosis of AMI or predicting cardiovascular events in patients with acute chest pain, it may provide prognostic value for all-cause mortality.