Airlane Pereira Alencar

Effect of 10-Valent Pneumococcal Vaccine on Pneumonia among Children, Brazil

Pneumonia is most problematic for children in developing countries. In 2010, Brazil introduced a 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) to its National Immunization Program. To assess the vaccine’s effectiveness for preventing pneumonia, we analyzed rates of hospitalization among children 2–24 months of age who had pneumonia from all causes from January 2005 through August 2011. We used data from the National Hospitalization Information System to conduct an interrupted time-series analysis for 5 cities in Brazil that had good data quality and high PCV10 vaccination coverage. Of the 197,975 hospitalizations analyzed, 30% were for pneumonia. Significant declines in hospitalizations for pneumonia were noted in Belo Horizonte (28.7%), Curitiba (23.3%), and Recife (27.4%) but not in São Paulo and Porto Alegre. However, in the latter 2 cities, vaccination coverage was less than that in the former 3. Overall, 1 year after introduction of PCV10, hospitalizations of children for pneumonia were reduced.

Tendência de mortalidade do câncer de pulmão, traquéia e brônquios no Brasil, 1980-2003

OBJECTIVE: To describe the mortality trends for lung cancer, cancer of the trachea, and bronchial cancer in relation to gender and age brackets in Brazil. METHODS: Data related to mortality between 1980 and 2003 were collected from the Brazilian Mortality Database. A trend analysis of mortality was carried out, nationwide and in selected states, using the LOWESS technique for rate smoothing and model adjustments. RESULTS: In Brazil, the standardized mortality rate for lung cancer, cancer of the trachea, and bronchial cancer increased from 7.21/100,000 inhabitants in 1980 to 9.36/100,000 inhabitants in 2003. Specific mortality rates decreased in males in the 30-49 and 50-59 age brackets. In the 60-69 age bracket, the rates for males increased from 1980 to 1995 and declined thereafter. There was a trend toward higher mortality rates in males over 70, as well as in females over 30, throughout the period evaluated. CONCLUSIONS: The decrease in the mortality rates in younger males might have resulted from recent national interventions aimed at reducing the prevalence of smoking and reducing exposure in younger cohorts. High mortality rates in older populations remained constant due to prior tobacco use. Increased mortality rates in females are a worldwide trend and are attributable to the recent increase in smoking prevalence in females.

Análise de séries temporais da mortalidade por doenças isquêmicas do coração e cerebrovasculares, nas cinco regiões do Brasil, no período de 1981 a 2001

OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to evaluate the trends of ischemic and cerebrovascular death risk in the five regions--Midwest, Northeast, North, Southeast and South--of Brazil from 1981 to 2001. METHODS Data on mortality due to cerebrovascular and coronary heart diseases in the five regions of Brazil were obtained from the Brazilian Ministry of Health. The data source was the SIM--Sistema de Informações sobre Mortalidade (System of Information on Mortality), from the Department of Health Information Analysis. The population estimates were obtained from the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) census of 1991 and 2000, and population estimates of 1996, all from DATASUS. The codes used in this study were International Classification of Diseases ICD-9 430-438 and ICD-10 I60-I69 for cerebrovascular diseases and ICD-9 410-414 and ICD-10 I21-I25 for ischemic disease. Statistical analysis was carried out by adjusted linear models. RESULTS There was a decline trend in death rates due to cerebrovascular disease at all age ranges and in both sexes in the South, Southwest, and Midwest regions. Additionally, death rates due to ischemic heart disease declined in the South and Southwest regions. There was a stabilization of the death risk in the Midwest and an increase in the Northeast region. CONCLUSION The risk of death due to cerebrovascular and ischemic heart diseases declined in the Southwest and South, which are the more developed regions of Brazil, whereas the risk increased in the less developed ones, mainly in the Northeast region.

Early and One-Year Stroke Case Fatality in Sao Paulo, Brazil: Applying the World Health Organization’s Stroke STEPS

Case fatality rate is considered a main determinant of stroke mortality trends. We applied the World Health Organizations Stroke STEPS to identify case fatality rates in a community hospital in Brazil. We evaluated all patients with first-ever stroke seeking acute care at the hospitals emergency ward between April 2006 and December 2008 to verify early and late case fatality according to stroke subtype. We used years of formal education as a surrogate for socioeconomic status. Of 430 first-ever stroke events, 365 (84.9%) were ischemic and 65 (15.1%) were intracerebral hemorrhage. After 1 year, we adjudicated 108 deaths (86 ischemic; 22 hemorrhagic). Age-adjusted case fatality rates for ischemic stroke and intracerebral hemorrhage were 6.0% v 19.8% at 10 days, 10.6% v 22.1% at 28 days, 17.6% v 29.1% at 6 months, and 21.0% v 31.5% at 1 year. Illiteracy or no formal education was a predictor of death at 6 months (odds ratio [OR], 4.31; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.34-13.91) and 1 year (OR, 4.21; 95% CI, 1.45-12.28) in patients with ischemic stroke, as well as at 6 months (OR, 3.19; 95% CI, 1.17-8.70) and 1 year (OR, 3.30; 95% CI, 1.30-8.45) for all stroke patients. Other variables, including previous cardiovascular risk factors and acute medical care, did not change this association to a statistically significant degree. In conclusion, case fatality, particularly up to 6 months, was higher in hemorrhagic stroke, and lack of formal education was associated with increased stroke mortality.

Low Impact of Traditional Risk Factors on Carotid Intima-Media Thickness The ELSA-Brasil Cohort

Objective—There is little information about how much traditional cardiovascular risk factors explain common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) variance. We aimed to study to which extent CCA-IMT values are determined by traditional risk factors and which commonly used measurements of blood pressure, glucose metabolism, lipid profile, and adiposity contribute the most to this determination in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) cohort baseline. Approach and Results—We analyzed 9792 individuals with complete data and CCA-IMT measurements. We built multiple linear regression models using mean left and right CCA-IMT as the dependent variable. All models were stratified by sex. We also analyzed individuals stratified by 10-year coronary heart disease risk and, in separate, those with no traditional risk factors. Main models’ R2 varied between 0.141 and 0.373. The major part of the explained variance in CCA-IMT was because of age and race. Indicators of blood pressure, lipid profile, and adiposity that most frequently composed the best models were pulse pressure, low-density lipoprotein/high-density lipoprotein ratio, and neck circumference. The association between neck circumference and CCA-IMT persisted significant even after further adjustment for vessel sizes and body mass index. Indicators of glucose metabolism had smaller contribution. Conclusions—We found that >60% of CCA-IMT were not explained by demographic and traditional cardiovascular risk factors, which highlights the need to study novel risk factors. Pulse pressure, low-density lipoprotein/high-density lipoprotein ratio, and neck circumference were the most consistent contributors.

Qualidade das informações registradas nas declarações de óbito fetal em São Paulo, SP

OBJETIVO: Avaliar a qualidade da informacao registrada nas declaracoes de obito fetal. METODOS: Estudo documental com 710 obitos fetais em hospitais de Sao Paulo, SP, no primeiro semestre de 2008, registrados na base unificada de obitos da Fundacao Sistema Estadual de Analise de Dados e da Secretaria de Estado da Saude de Sao Paulo. Foi analisada a completitude das variaveis das declaracoes de obito fetal emitidas por hospitais e Servico de Verificacao de Obitos. Os registros das declaracoes de obito de uma amostra de 212 obitos fetais de hospitais do Sistema Unico de Saude foram comparados com os dados dos prontuarios e do registro do Servico de Verificacao de Obitos. RESULTADOS: Dentre as declaracoes de obito, 75% foram emitidas pelo Servico de Verificacao de Obitos, mais frequente nos hospitais do Sistema Unico de Saude (78%). A completitude das variaveis das declaracoes de obito emitidas pelos hospitais foi mais elevada e foi maior nos hospitais nao pertencentes ao Sistema Unico de Saude. Houve maior completitude, concordância e sensibilidade nas declaracoes de obito emitidas pelos hospitais. Houve baixa concordância e elevada especificidade para as variaveis relativas as caracteristicas maternas. Maior registro das variaveis sexo, peso ao nascer e duracao da gestacao foi observada nas declaracoes emitidas no Servico de Verificacao de Obitos. A autopsia nao resultou em aprimoramento da indicacao das causas de morte: a morte fetal nao especificada representou 65,7% e a hipoxia intrauterina, 24,3%, enquanto nas declaracoes emitidas pelos hospitais foi de 18,1% e 41,7%, respectivamente. CONCLUSOES: E necessario aprimorar a completitude e a indicacao das causas de morte dos obitos fetais. A elevada proporcao de autopsias nao melhorou a qualidade da informacao e a indicacao das causas de morte. A qualidade das informacoes geradas de autopsias depende do acesso as informacoes hospitalares.OBJECTIVE To evaluate the quality of information registered on fetal death certificates. METHODS Records were reviewed from 710 fetal deaths registered in the consolidated database of deaths from the State System for Data Analysis and the São Paulo State Secretary of Health, for deaths in São Paulo municipality (Southeastern Brazil) during the first semester of 2008. Completeness was analyzed for variables on fetal death certificates issued by hospitals and autopsy service. The death certificates from a sub-sample of 212 fetal deaths in hospitals of the National Unified Health System (public) were compared to medical records and to the records from Coroners Office. RESULTS Among death certificates, 75% were issues by Coroners Office, with a greater frequency in public hospitals (78%). Completeness of variables on death certificates issued by hospitals was higher among non-public hospitals. There was greater completeness, agreement and sensitivity in death certificates issued by hospitals. There was low agreement and high specificity for variables related to maternal characteristics. Increased reporting of gender, birth weight and gestational age was observed in certificates issued by Coroners Office. Autopsies did not result in improved ascertainment of cause of death, with 65.7% identified as unspecified fetal death as 24.3% as intrauterine hypoxia, while death certificates by hospitals reported 18.1% as unspecified and 41.7% as intrauterine hypoxia. CONCLUSIONS Completeness and the ascertainment of cause of fetal death need to be improved. The high proportion of autopsies did not improve information and ascertainment of cause of death. The quality of information generated by autopsies depends on access to hospital records.

Low Impact of Traditional Risk Factors on Carotid Intima-Media Thickness

Objective—There is little information about how much traditional cardiovascular risk factors explain common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) variance. We aimed to study to which extent CCA-IMT values are determined by traditional risk factors and which commonly used measurements of blood pressure, glucose metabolism, lipid profile, and adiposity contribute the most to this determination in the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) cohort baseline. Approach and Results—We analyzed 9792 individuals with complete data and CCA-IMT measurements. We built multiple linear regression models using mean left and right CCA-IMT as the dependent variable. All models were stratified by sex. We also analyzed individuals stratified by 10-year coronary heart disease risk and, in separate, those with no traditional risk factors. Main models’ R2 varied between 0.141 and 0.373. The major part of the explained variance in CCA-IMT was because of age and race. Indicators of blood pressure, lipid profile, and adiposity that most frequently composed the best models were pulse pressure, low-density lipoprotein/high-density lipoprotein ratio, and neck circumference. The association between neck circumference and CCA-IMT persisted significant even after further adjustment for vessel sizes and body mass index. Indicators of glucose metabolism had smaller contribution. Conclusions—We found that >60% of CCA-IMT were not explained by demographic and traditional cardiovascular risk factors, which highlights the need to study novel risk factors. Pulse pressure, low-density lipoprotein/high-density lipoprotein ratio, and neck circumference were the most consistent contributors.

Income and heart disease mortality trends in Sao Paulo, Brazil, 1996 to 2010

BACKGROUND Reductions in heart disease mortality rates are variable according to socioeconomic status. METHODS We performed a time trend analysis of all heart diseases (all circulatory diseases, except rheumatic, cerebrovascular, and aortic diseases) comparing three different household income levels (high, middle, and low) in the city of Sao Paulo from 1996 to 2010. RESULTS A total of 197,770 deaths were attributed to heart diseases; 62% of them were due to coronary diseases. The rate of death due to heart diseases declined for the city as a whole. The annual percent change (APC) and 95% confidence intervals for men living in the high, middle and low income areas were -4.1 (-4.5 to -3.8), -3.0 (-3.5 to -2.6), and -2.5 (-2.8 to -2.1), respectively. The decline in death rate was greatest among men in the wealthiest area. The trend rates of women living in the high-income area had one joinpoint; APC was -4.4 (-4.8 to -3.9) from 1996-2005 and -2.6 (-3.8 to -1.4) from 2005-2010. Middle and low income areas had an APC of -3.6 (-4.1 to -3.1) and -3.0 (-3.2 to -2.7) from 1996-2010, respectively. During the last 5years of observation, there was a gradient of the decline of the risk of death, faster for people living in the wealthiest area and slower for people living in the more deprived neighborhoods. CONCLUSION Reduction in deaths due to heart diseases is greatest for men and women living in the wealthiest neighborhoods.

Early neonatal mortality according to level of hospital complexity in Greater Metropolitan São Paulo, Brazil

The aim of this study was to analyze the profile of newborns, mothers, and early neonatal mortality according to the hospitals complexity and affiliation (or lack thereof) with the Unified National Health System (SUS) in Greater Metropolitan São Paulo, Brazil. The study was based on data for live births, deaths, and hospital registries. Factor and cluster analysis were used to obtain the typology of hospital complexity and user profile. The SUS treats more high-risk newborns and mothers with low schooling, insufficient prenatal care, and teenage mothers. The probability of early neonatal death was 5.6 live births (65% higher in the SUS), with no significant differences by level of hospital complexity, except those with extremely high (SUS) and medium (non-SUS) complexity. The difference in early neonatal mortality between the two systems was smaller in the group of newborns with birth weight < 1,500g (22%), but the rate was 131% higher in the SUS for newborns > 2,500g. There was a concentration of high-risk births in the SUS, but the difference in early neonatal mortality between SUS and non-SUS hospitals was smaller in this group of newborns. New studies are needed to elucidate the high mortality rate among newborns with birth weight > 2,500g in the SUS.

Burden of influenza-associated deaths in the Americas, 2002–2008

Influenza disease is a vaccine‐preventable cause of morbidity and mortality. The Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) region has invested in influenza vaccines, but few estimates of influenza burden exist to justify these investments. We estimated influenza‐associated deaths for 35 PAHO countries during 2002–2008.