Alain Moise

Unstable Angina and Progression of Coronary Atherosclerosis

We studied the progression of atherosclerotic coronary lesions in 38 patients who had previously undergone angiography and were later hospitalized for an episode of unstable angina pectoris, and in 38 matched patients with stable angina who had also undergone prior catheterization. Patients with unstable angina and those with stable angina were similar in terms of age (mean, 49 and 50 years, respectively), number of risk factors (1.5 per patient in both groups), interval between studies (mean +/- S.D., 44 +/- 31 and 35 +/- 31 months, respectively), number of diseased vessels on the first angiogram (1.52 in both groups), and initial ejection fraction (65 and 63 per cent, respectively). Progression of coronary lesions was demonstrated in 29 of the 38 patients with unstable angina, as compared with 12 of the 38 with stable angina (P less than 0.0005). Progression to 70 per cent or more stenosis was recorded in 21 of the patients with unstable angina but in only 5 of those with stable angina (P less than 0.0005). Also more frequent in the patients with unstable angina were multifocal progression (11 vs. 2, P less than 0.01) and progression of the left main or preseptal left anterior descending artery or both (9 vs. 1, P less than 0.01). Thus, we have demonstrated by angiography that unstable angina is associated with progression in the extent and severity of coronary atherosclerosis.

Comparison of clinical variables and variables derived from a limited predischarge exercise test as predictors of early and late mortality after myocardial infarction

An exercise test limited to 5 METS or 70% of age-predicted maximal heart rate was performed 1 day before hospital discharge by 225 survivors of acute myocardial infarction, all of whom were subsequently followed up for at least 5 years. The mortality rate was 11.1% during the first year, but averaged only 2.9% per year from the second to fifth year. Over the entire follow-up period, the five variables that predicted mortality by multivariate analysis were QRS score, an exercise-induced ST segment shift, previous infarction, failure to achieve target heart rate or work load and ventricular arrhythmia during the exercise test. Because mortality differed markedly before and after 1 year, Cox regression analyses were performed separately for both of these periods. The factors that were predictive of mortality during the first year were an exercise-induced ST shift (p less than 0.0001, relative risk 7.8), failure to increase systolic blood pressure by 10 mm Hg or more during exercise (p = 0.0039, relative risk 4.3) and angina in hospital 48 hours or longer after admission (p = 0.0046, relative risk 3.4). None of these three variables was predictive of mortality after 1 year. Previous infarction (p = 0.0007), QRS score (p = 0.0042) and ventricular arrhythmia during the exercise test (p = 0.016) were predictive of mortality after the first year. Thus, clinical and exercise test variables are complementary predictors of mortality after myocardial infarction. An abnormal ST segment response during an early limited exercise test and angina in the hospital are common strong predictors of mortality to 1 year, but not thereafter. Late mortality correlates with markers of poor left ventricular function.

A test for crossing receiver operating characteristic (roc) curves

The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve gives a graphical representation of sensitivity and specificity of a prediction model when varying the decision treshold on a diagnostic criterion. A classical test for comparing the overall accuracies for two models -1 and 2- is based on the difference between ROC curves areas - related to its standard error. This test is designed for the situation where ROC curve 1 caps ROC curve 2. Often both curves cross :in this paper, a new test, based on the integrated difference between the curves, is proposed to deal with this situation. In a simulation experiment, the new test was less powerful than the old test for detecting an overall superiority, but much more powerfull against the crossing alternative.

Coronary angiographic significance of left anterior fascicular block during acute myocardial infarction

The clinical and angiographic significance of isolated left anterior fascicular block occurring during the early stage of acute myocardial infarction was studied in 141 consecutive patients who underwent cardiac catheterization before hospital discharge. Left anterior fascicular block occurred in 15 of the 62 patients with an anterior wall infarction and in 13 of the 79 with an inferior infarction. None of the clinical characteristics differed among patients with or without left anterior fascicular block. The number of coronary vessels with significant stenosis, the Friesinger and the Gensini scores for severity of stenosis and the ejection fraction were also similar in the two groups. Patients with left anterior fascicular block had more severe narrowing of the coronary artery supplying the infarct zone (88 +/- 21 versus 70 +/- 35%, p less than 0.001) and tended to have less developed collateral circulation (collateral score 0.7 +/- 0.8 versus 1 +/- 0.8, p = 0.10). A significant stenosis of the left anterior descending coronary artery was found as frequently in patients with as in those without left anterior fascicular block (64 versus 65%); 29% of the patients with inferior wall infarction and left anterior fascicular block had left anterior descending coronary artery stenosis compared with 47% of the patients without this conduction disturbance (no significant difference). When the infarction was located anteriorly, a significant stenosis of the proximal segment of the left anterior descending coronary artery was present in 47% of the patients with and in 45% of the patients without left anterior fascicular block.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Is progression of coronary artery disease occurring at bouts or as a continuous process? Serial cineangiographic studies in 44 patients.

In order to assess if coronary artery disease progression occurs as a slow, continuous process or at bouts, the coronary angiograms of 44 patients catheterized three times were reviewed. A previously developed logistic model, taking into account time interval between the angiograms, age, occurrence of unstable angina, and extent score of coronary artery disease, was used to compute a probability of progression from the second to the third angiogram. Two groups of patients were considered: those with (n = 15) and those without (n = 29) progression from the first to the second angiogram (PROGRESSION 1-2). A simulation provided in each group the distribution of the expected number of patients with progression from the second to the third catheterization. In the group without PROGRESSION 1-2, the observed number of progressions from the second to the third angiogram was in agreement with the expected one. However, in the group with PROGRESSION 1-2, the progression from the second to the third angiogram was more frequent than expected (p = 0.068). These results suggest that, in many patients, coronary artery disease progression is continuous over several years.

Pathophysiology of Unstable Angina Pectoris: Clinical, Angiographic and Therapeutic Observations

The concept of unstable angina has emerged from clinical observations that patients experiencing acute myocardial infarction often report retrospectively a history of premonitory chest pain during the days, weeks or months preceeding the infaction [1–3]. This clinical concept was reinforced by further observations that when patients with the clinical pattern of increasing severity of angina were followed prospectively, a large proportion developed myocardial infarction [4–8]. The next logical step was to consider these patients as suffering a pre-infarction state. However, myocardial infarction does not occur in all patients and the term of unstable angina appears more appropriate.