Alan S. Coates

Prognostic value of quality-of-life scores during chemotherapy for advanced breast cancer. Australian New Zealand Breast Cancer Trials Group.

PURPOSE We observed that quality-of-life (QL) scores, collected to evaluate treatment in a randomized trial in advanced breast cancer, predicted survival duration. This report explores the prognostic associations between QL and survival in more detail. PATIENTS AND METHODS In a randomized clinical trial comparing intermittent and continuous therapy policies for patients with advanced breast cancer, QL was measured by linear analog self-assessment (LASA) and the Quality-of-Life Index (QLI). Baseline scores and subsequent changes were included in statistical models of survival duration, with and without other prognostic factors. RESULTS Physician assessment of QLI and patient LASA scores for physical well-being (PWB), mood, nausea and vomiting, appetite, and overall QL (but not pain) at the commencement of treatment were significant predictors of subsequent survival. Scores for PWB and QLI were independent of other prognostic factors. Changes in scores were also prognostically important. Both baseline and change in scores for PWB, mood, pain, and QLI after the first three treatment cycles, but before an arbitrary 180-day time point, were significantly predictive of survival beyond that time. Both QLI and PWB were prognostically independent of tumor response. Although QL improvement was correlated with tumor response, continuous therapy yielded significantly better QL scores, even in nonresponders. CONCLUSION These findings support the validity of the simple QL measures used in the trial. They are compatible with the simple explanation that patients perceive disease progression before it is clinically evident, but also with a causal relationship between QL and survival duration.

Prognostic impact of amenorrhoea after adjuvant chemotherapy in premenopausal breast cancer patients with axillary node involvement: results of the international Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG) trial VI

Adjuvant chemotherapy-induced amenorrhoea has been shown to be associated with reduced relapses and improved survival for premenopausal breast cancer patients. Amenorrhoea was, therefore, studied to define features of chemotherapy (i.e. duration and timing) and disease-related factors which are associated with its treatment effects. We reviewed data from IBCSG Trial VI, in which accrual was between July 1986 and April 1993. 1196 of the 1475 eligible patients (81%) were evaluable for this analysis. The median follow-up was 60 months. Women who experienced amenorrhoea had a significantly better disease-free survival (DFS) than those who did not (P = 0.0004), although the magnitude of the effect was reduced when adjusted for other prognostic factors (P = 0.09). The largest treatment effect associated with amenorrhoea was seen in patients assigned to receive only three initial CMF courses (5-yr DFS: 67% versus 49%, no amenorrhoea; hazard ratio, 0.55; 95% confidence interval, 0.38 to 0.81; P = 0.002). DFS differences between amenorrhoea categories were larger for patients with ER/PR positive tumours (hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% confidence interval, 0.53 to 0.80; P = 0.0001). Furthermore, patients whose menses returned after brief amenorrhoea had a DFS similar to those whose menses ceased and did not recover (hazard ratio, 1.10; 95% confidence interval, 0.75 to 1.62; P = 0.63). The effects associated with a permanent or temporary chemotherapy-induced amenorrhoea are especially significant for node-positive breast cancer patients who receive a suboptimal duration of CMF chemotherapy. Cessation of menses, even for a limited time period after diagnosis of breast cancer, might be beneficial and should be prospectively investigated, especially in patients with oestrogen receptor-positive primaries.

Prognostic value of quality of life scores in a trial of chemotherapy with or without interferon in patients with metastatic malignant melanoma

In a multi-centre randomised clinical trial comparing dacarbazine (DTIC) plus recombinant interferon-alfa2a (IFN) versus DTIC alone for patients with metastatic malignant melanoma, aspects of quality of life (QL) were measured prospectively by patients using linear analogue self assessment (LASA) scales including the GLQ-8 and by doctors using Spitzers QL Index. QL scores and performance status at the time of randomisation were available for 152 of 170 eligible patients. These scores carried significant prognostic information. In univariate analyses, Spitzer QL Index assessed by the doctor and LASA scores for physical wellbeing (PWB), mood, pain, appetite, nausea and vomiting, GLQ-8 total and overall QL were significant (P < 0.01) predictors of subsequent survival. QL Index and LASA scales for mood, appetite, and overall QL remained independently significant (all P < 0.05) in multivariate models allowing for significant prognostic factors other than QL (liver metastases and performance status). These findings closely parallel those in patients with metastatic breast cancer. They add further validity to the QL Index and LASA scores, provide the first evidence of the prognostic significance of the GLQ-8, and argue strongly for the routine assessment of QL in future therapy trials.

Cerebral metastases from malignant melanoma

A retrospective study was undertaken of factors affecting survival in 129 patients with cerebral metastases from malignant melanoma referred to the Department of Radiation Oncology from June 1982 to January 1990. Their ages ranged from 19 to 83 years and the time interval from diagnosis of the primary tumour to development of cerebral metastases ranged from one month to 17 years. Cerebral metastases were apparently solitary in 59 (46%) and multiple in 70 (54%) patients respectively. Craniotomy with resection of tumour was performed in 49 patients, of whom 24 had a solitary cerebral metastasis as the only evidence of disease. Most patients (94%) received a course of radiotherapy. Median survival of the whole group after detection of cerebral metastases was 5 months (range less than 1-87+). Univariate analysis indicated that a solitary cerebral metastasis, absence of extracranial disease and tumour resection predicted improved survival, but only surgical intervention was of independent prognostic significance in a multivariate analysis. The effect of cranial irradiation on survival could not be assessed, but the dose of radiation did not influence survival. Of the 10 patients who survived for more than 2 years, eight had total resection of a solitary cerebral metastasis.

Effect of systemic adjuvant treatment on first sites of breast cancer relapse

Adjuvant systemic treatment for resectable breast cancer changes the natural history of the disease but provides only a small and delayed effect on survival. Evaluation of the types of first relapse avoided by available treatments may explain why effects on mortality are small and appear late during follow-up. In randomised clinical trials done by the International Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG) between 1978 and 1985, 2108 patients with node-positive disease received more-effective treatments (6 or more cycles of cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, fluorouracil and prednisone; with or without tamoxifen, or tamoxifen and prednisone alone), and 722 patients received less-effective treatments (no treatment or a single cycle of chemotherapy). 3 main categories of first site of relapse were defined and evaluated by cumulative incidence analysis: local or regional, and distant soft tissue, bone, and viscera. The more-effective treatments reduced the cumulative incidence of first relapse in local or regional and distant soft tissue sites at 10 years from 36% to 18% (p = 0.0001); first relapse in bone and viscera was not altered by the more-effective treatments. These results were similar for premenopausal and postmenopausal women, and for patients with oestrogen-receptor-positive or oestrogen-receptor-negative tumours. Adjuvant systemic treatments in current use improve patient outcome mainly by reducing the incidence of first local or regional and distant soft-tissue relapses, while first recurrences in bone or viscera are influenced much less. More intensive treatments at present being tested in clinical trials might affect bone and visceral relapses and have a greater and earlier influence on survival.

Survival of patients with visceral metastatic melanoma from an occult primary lesion: A retrospective matched cohort study

BACKGROUND Malignant melanoma presents as metastatic disease without an apparent primary in about 4% of cases. These are referred to as occult primary melanoma (OPM). It is not known whether these represent de novo malignant transformation in non-cutaneous sites or the disappearance of an unrecognised primary, perhaps on an immunological basis. We hypothesised that OPM might have a superior prognosis compared to patients with similar disease extent from a known primary lesion (KPM). PATIENTS AND METHODS We performed a retrospective cohort survival study of 146 patients with OPM and visceral metastases treated at the Sydney Melanoma Unit between 1983 and 1996. A control group of patients with KPM was matched for age, sex and site of visceral metastases. Survival was measured from the date of diagnosis of visceral metastases. RESULTS Patients with OPM had a median survival of 233 days, significantly longer than the 176 days for those with KPM (P = 0.024; logrank test). Multivariate analysis allowing for simultaneous or prior involvement of lymph nodes, subcutaneous tissues or bone, and site of visceral involvement showed a significantly superior survival for OPM (hazard ratio (HR): 0.72; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.55-0.93). A small part of the effect was explained by treatment, but models allowing for this still showed a significantly longer survival. CONCLUSIONS Survival was longer in OPM patients. This may reflect an intrinsically superior host-tumour interaction.

Combination therapy with methotrexate and 5-fluorouracil: a prospective randomized clinical trial of order of administration.

Because of biochemical and tissue culture evidence casting doubt on the physiologic relevance of reported synergy afforded by sequential administration of methotrexate (MTX) followed by 5-fluorouracil (5-FU), a randomized controlled clinical trial was conducted in 108 patients with advanced cancer, including 70 with squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the head and neck, nine with SCC of other primary sites, 24 with colorectal, and five with gastric adenocarcinomas. Patients were randomized to receive weekly therapy consisting of MTX followed one hour later by 5-FU, or 5-FU followed one hour later by MTX. There was a trend to higher tumor response rates in patients treated with MTX before 5-FU (45% v 33% overall; 65% v 39% in patients with previously untreated head and neck cancer), but these differences were not significant, either by chi-square test or by multivariate stepwise logistic regression. The trend in survival favoring the reverse sequence of 5-FU before MTX was not significant in univariate analyses. Stepwise multivariate Cox model analysis showed that Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status at study entry was the major prognostic factor for survival (P less than 0.001), but among the 70 patients with head and neck cancer, the sequence of drug administration was the only other significant prognostic factor for survival, and favored the sequence of 5-FU followed by MTX (P less than 0.025).

Medroxyprogesterone acetate addition or substitution for tamoxifen in advanced tamoxifen-resistant breast cancer: a phase III randomized trial. Australian-New Zealand Breast Cancer Trials Group.

PURPOSE To determine whether a strategy of adding medroxyprogesterone acetate (MPA) to tamoxifen (TAM) is superior to the substitution of MPA for TAM among women with advanced breast cancer and disease progressing on TAM. To assess the patterns or response and subsequent progression in sites and tissues according to prior involvement and treatment. PATIENTS AND METHODS Two-hundred-fifteen postmenopausal women with advanced breast cancer progressing on TAM after receiving TAM for at least six months were randomized: 109 to add MPA 500 mg/day orally (TAM + MPA), and 106 to stop TAM and to substitute MPA. RESULTS There were no significant differences between the groups with respect to complete plus partial response rates: TAM + MPA 10%, MPA 9%, median time to progression TAM + MPA 3.0 months, MPA 4.5 months, or median overall survival, TAM + MPA 17.2 months, MPA 18.4 months. In a multivariate model, prognostic factors significant for a shorter time to disease progression were worse for performance status, involvement of more than one tissue, prior radiotherapy, and shorter time from recurrence after primary therapy to randomization. Adjusting for these factors, treatment with TAM + MPA was associated with a higher relative risk for disease progression, with a hazards ratio of 1.31, but this was not significant (95% confidence interval, 0.98 to 1.74; P = .067). However, in an exploratory analysis, the time to disease progression, among patients with progesterone receptor positive (PR+) tumors, was 6.3 months with MPA versus 2.9 months with TAM + MPA, with a hazards ratio of 1.92 (95% confidence interval, 1.12 to 3.32; P = .02). There was a significant interaction, P = .04, between PR status and treatment, indicating an advantage to treatment substitution for those who have PR+ tumors. Tumor response occurred in 14% of assessed metastatic sites. Subsequent progression occurred in a new tissue alone in 13% of patients, in both new and previously involved (old) tissues in 76%, and in old tissues only in 11%. In 23% of patients, progression occurred only at a new site, in 50% at both old and new sites, and in 27% only at old sites. No significant differences in the patterns of response or progression were seen in the different treatment groups. CONCLUSION Among women with breast cancer whose disease is progressing after at least six months of treatment with TAM, there is no advantage to maintaining TAM when MPA is to be given. An overall effect of treatment on the pattern of failure at old sites or at new sites or tissues cannot be discerned.

Prognostic implications of quality of life

Quality of life (QL) scores are slowly becoming more common in reports of cancer clinical trials, but even when they do appear they are generally used as outcome measures to compare different treatment policies. It is the purpose of this paper to show that such scores are also useful as prognostic indicators for survival duration, and that in this role they may outperform conventional predictors such as performance status and tumor response category. The evidence comes from studies in several adult solid tumors, and may therefore be of general relevance.

Retreating recurrent breast cancer with the same CMF-containing regimen used as adjuvant therapy

Breast cancer metastases appearing soon after adjuvant chemotherapy (within 12 months of its completion) are usually resistant to retreatment with the same cytotoxic agents, while relapses occurring later (beyond 12 months) regress when rechallenged with the same agents, showing similar response rates observed in non-pretreated patients with advanced disease. The International Breast Cancer Study Group (IBCSG) prospectively explored the efficacy of retreatment for patients upon relapse using the same therapy administered during the adjuvant programme. 87 patients previously treated with an adjuvant CMF (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, 5-fluorouracil) combination chemotherapy (with or without the addition of low-dose prednisone and tamoxifen), who had measurable first breast cancer relapse, usually after at least 6 months of completion of the adjuvant treatment, were treated with CMF. Pretreatment consisted of 1-3 CMF courses in 27 patients and 4 or more courses in 60 patients. 17 patients were retreated with additional tamoxifen or had tamoxifen stopped at relapse. The data of these patients are shown separately. 47 of the 86 fully evaluable patients (55%) had an objective response, which was complete in 25 (29%). The dominant metastatic type and the number of involved sites were the most important factors influencing response to retreatment. Patients with soft tissue metastases had a high response rate (36/52, 69%) compared with those who had visceral involvement (9/24, 38%) or those with bony disease (2/10, 20%) (P = 0.002). In conclusion, response rates to retreatment with CMF were similar to those expected in a non-pretreated population. The patterns of relapse and the number of metastatic sites were the most important factors predicting response to retreatment, while treatment-free interval (usually longer than 6 months due to the study design) did not influence response rates. This study supports the hypothetic effectiveness of late reintroduction of adjuvant cytotoxic therapy (prior to evidence of systemic relapse), upon which several current trials are based.