Alexander Schekotov

Criticality features in ULF magnetic fields prior to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake

The criticality of ULF (Ultra-low-frequency) magnetic variations is investigated for the 2011 March 11 Tohoku earthquake (EQ) by natural time analysis. For this attempt, some ULF parameters were considered: (1) Fh (horizontal magnetic field), (2) Fz (vertical magnetic field), and (3) Dh (inverse of horizontal magnetic field). The first two parameters refer to the ULF radiation, while the last parameter refers to another ULF effect of ionospheric signature. Nighttime (L.T. = 3 am ± 2 hours) data at Kakioka (KAK) were used, and the power of each quantity at a particular frequency band of 0.03–0.05 Hz was averaged for nighttime hours. The analysis results indicate that Fh fulfilled all criticality conditions on March 3–5, 2011, and that the additional parameter, Dh reached also a criticality on March 6 or 7. In conclusion, criticality has reached in the pre-EQ fracture region a few days to one week before the main shock of the Tohoku EQ.

The lower ionospheric perturbation as a precursor to the 11 March 2011 Japan earthquake

It is found that clear lower ionospheric perturbations appeared as a precursor to the 11 March 2011 Japan earthquake. This study is based on the observation of two completely different phenomena: (1) subionospheric very low frequency/low frequency propagation anomaly on the NLK (Seattle, USA) – Chofu propagation path, and (2) depression of magnetospheric ultra low frequency emissions observed on the ground (Kakioka, etc.). But, both effects are suggested to be interpreted by a unified phenomenon of seismo-lower ionospheric perturbation because they occurred on the days of 5 and 6 March, 2011.

The origin of spectral resonance structures of the ionospheric Alfvén resonator. Single high‐altitude reflection or resonant cavity excitation?

A common view is that spectral maxima in observed spectral resonance structures (SRS) of ionospheric Alfven resonator (IAR) at frequencies f<5 Hz are the signature of resonance frequencies of the IAR. We have studied not only spectra but also waveforms of magnetic fluctuations at IAR frequencies registered at Moshiri station (Japan) and have found that there exist two kinds of signals. The dominant type of signal is a pair of pulses which is caused by an initial exciting impulse and accompanied by a single reflection from the top boundary of the IAR. In the absence of reflection from the lower ionosphere, such signals are not resonant and hence are not caused by IAR excitation. The minority of cases are trains of three or more pulses separated by a nearly constant time interval reflected from both IAR boundaries. We have found that different kinds of signals in time domain may correspond to similar comb-shaped Fourier spectra. So different kinds of signals in time domain practically cannot be distinguished on the basis of their Fourier spectra. We have calculated waveforms and SRS structures of the magnetic field oscillations generated by a model lightning discharge and IAR resonant frequencies. Calculated IAR resonance frequencies can be in disagreement with those of spectral maxima of pulse trains. Then, an analysis of signal waveforms in time domain is highly required to estimate IAR resonance frequencies.

On the precursors to the 2011 Tohoku earthquake: crustal movements and electromagnetic signatures

We compare the precursory behaviour of crustal movements with electromagnetic signatures for the 2011 off the Pacific Coast of Tohoku earthquake. First, we present the Global Positioning System (GPS) data on the co-seismic variations and pre-seismic precursors (medium-term, short-term and imminent precursors). Then, we will review recently published results on electromagnetic precursors, including mainly short-term subionospheric very low frequency (VLF)/LF propagation anomaly, ultralow frequency (ULF) magnetic field depression and ULF/extremely low frequency (ELF) atmospheric radiation. Finally, we examine the relationship between the crustal movements and electromagnetic phenomena. We conclude that at least short-term electromagnetic precursors are closely correlated in time with the corresponding crustal movements. This seems to provide evidence on the link between lithospheric and electromagnetic processes. Some discussions will be given on the possible mechanism of this link.

On the ionospheric perturbation for the 1995 Kobe earthquake: revisited

The presence of seismo-lower ionospheric perturbation for the Kobe earthquake (EQ) has been revisited with a relatively new phenomenon of ULF (ultra-low-frequency) magnetic field depression effect. By using the ULF data in Japan only at Kakioka belonging to Japan Meteorological Agency (because data from Memambetsu and Kanoya were not available), we have found that a very clear ULF depression was observed at Kakioka on 14 January 1995. A comparison with our former result on subionospheric VLF (very low frequency) propagation anomaly indicates that the occurrence of ULF depression exhibits a temporal coincidence (synchronization) with that of subionospheric VLF anomaly. This may be acceptable because the ULF depression can be explained in terms of enhanced absorption of magnetospheric ULF waves through the disturbed lower ionosphere prior to an EQ. The result of ULF magnetic field depression in this paper is likely to provide a further support to the presence of the lower ionospheric perturbation before the Kobe EQ.