Anastase Dzudie

Readmission and death after an acute heart failure event: predictors and outcomes in sub-Saharan Africa: results from the THESUS-HF registry

AIMS Contrary to elderly patients with ischaemic-related acute heart failure (AHF) typically enrolled in North American and European registries, patients enrolled in the sub-Saharan Africa Survey of Heart Failure (THESUS-HF) were middle-aged with AHF due primarily to non-ischaemic causes. We sought to describe factors prognostic of re-admission and death in this developing population. METHODS AND RESULTS Prognostic models were developed from data collected on 1006 patients enrolled in THESUS-HF, a prospective registry of AHF patients in 12 hospitals in nine sub-Saharan African countries, mostly in Nigeria, Uganda, and South Africa. The main predictors of 60-day re-admission or death in a model excluding the geographic region were a history of malignancy and severe lung disease, admission systolic blood pressure, heart rate and signs of congestion (rales), kidney function (BUN), and echocardiographic ejection fraction. In a model including region, the Southern region had a higher risk. Age and admission sodium levels were not prognostic. Predictors of 180-day mortality included malignancy, severe lung disease, smoking history, systolic blood pressure, heart rate, and symptoms and signs of congestion (orthopnoea, peripheral oedema and rales) at admission, kidney dysfunction (BUN), anaemia, and HIV positivity. Discrimination was low for all models, similar to models for European and North American patients, suggesting that the main factors contributing to adverse outcomes are still unknown. CONCLUSION Despite the differences in age and disease characteristics, the main predictors for 6 months mortality and combined 60 days re-admission and death are largely similar in sub-Saharan Africa as in the rest of the world, with some exceptions such as the association of the HIV status with mortality.

Rationale and design of the Pan African Pulmonary hypertension Cohort (PAPUCO) study: implementing a contemporary registry on pulmonary hypertension in Africa

Introduction Pulmonary hypertension (PH) is a devastating, progressive disease with increasingly debilitating symptoms and usually shortened overall life expectancy due to a narrowing of the pulmonary vasculature and consecutive right heart failure. Little is known about PH in Africa, but limited reports suggest that PH is more prevalent in Africa compared with developed countries due to the high prevalence of risk factors in the region. Methods and analysis A multinational multicentre registry-type cohort study was established and tailored to resource-constraint settings to describe disease presentation, disease severity and aetiologies of PH, comorbidities, diagnostic and therapeutic management, and the natural course of PH in Africa. PH will be diagnosed by specialist cardiologists using echocardiography (right ventricular systolic pressure >35 mm Hg, absence of pulmonary stenosis and acute right heart failure), usually accompanied by shortness of breath, fatigue, peripheral oedema and other cardiovascular symptoms, ECG and chest X-ray changes in keeping with PH as per guidelines (European Society of Cardiology and European Respiratory Society (ESC/ERS) guidelines). Additional investigations such as a CT scan, a ventilation/perfusion scan or right heart catheterisation will be performed at the discretion of the treating physician. Functional tests include a 6 min walk test and the Karnofsky Performance Score. The WHO classification system for PH will be applied to describe the different aetiologies of PH. Several substudies have been implemented within the registry to investigate specific types of PH and their outcome at up to 24 months. Data will be analysed by an independent institution following a data analyse plan. Ethics and dissemination All local ethics committees of the participating centres approved the protocol. The data will be disseminated through peer-reviewed journals at national and international conferences and public events at local care providers.

Prevalence and determinants of undiagnosed diabetes in an urban sub-Saharan African population.

AIMS To report the prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes and its determinants among adults Cameroonian urban dwellers. METHODS On May 17th 2011, a community-based combined screening for diabetes and hypertension was conducted simultaneously in four major Cameroonian cities. Adult participants were invited through mass media. Fasting blood glucose was measured in capillary blood. RESULTS Of the 2120 respondents, 1591 (52% being men) received a fasting glucose test. The median age was 43.7 years, and 64.2% were overweight or obese. The sex-specific age adjusted prevalence (for men and women) were 10.1% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 8.1-12.1%) and 11.2% (95%CI: 9.1-13.3%) for any diabetes, and 4.6% (95%CI: 2.6-6.6%) and 5.1% (95%CI: 3.0-7.2%) for screened-detected diabetes, respectively. The prevalence of diabetes increased with increasing age in men and women (all p ≤ 0.001 for linear trend). Older age (p<0.001), region of residence (p<0.001), excessive alcohol intake (p=0.02) were significantly associated with screened-detected diabetes, while physical inactivity, body mass index, and high waist girth were not significantly associated with the same outcome. CONCLUSIONS Prevalence of undiagnosed diabetes is very high among Cameroonian urban dwellers, indicating a potentially huge impact of screening for diabetes, thus the need for more proactive policies of early detection of the disease.

Stroke admission and case-fatality in an urban medical unit in sub-Saharan Africa: A fourteen year trend study from 1999 to 2012

BACKGROUND Data on recent stroke trends in the context of rapidly deteriorating risk profile of populations within Africa is very limited. We investigated the admission trend for stroke and related outcomes in a major referral hospital in Cameroon. METHODS Admission and discharge registries, and patient files for the period 1999-2012 of the medical department of the Yaoundé Central Hospital were reviewed for evidence of admission for stroke, and outcomes during hospitalization. Trajectories of case-fatality and risk factors over time were assessed, with adjustment for confounders using logistic regression models. RESULTS Of the 28,239 medical admissions registered during the study period, 1688 (6.0%) were due to stroke. This proportion ranged from 2.5% in 1999-2000 to 13.1% in 2011-2012 overall and similarly in men and women. Mean age, alcohol consumption and history of stroke varied across years (all p ≤ 0.006). Computed tomography confirmed that stroke increased from 34.4% in 1999-2000 to 84.2% in 2011-2012, while the length of stay decreased from 21 to 10 days (both p<0.0001 for linear trend). Case-fatality rate increased from 14.4% to 22.4%. The adjusted odd ratio (95% CI) 2011-2012 vs. 1999-2000 was 2.93 (1.40-6.13), p<0.0001 for the linear trend across years. The unadjusted relative risk of death from stroke patients vs. general admissions was 0.95 (0.87-1.05) overall, 0.82 (0.71-0.94) in men and 1.08 (0.95-1.23) in women. CONCLUSION During the last decade and a half, stroke admissions and case-fatality have increased in the study setting, reflecting in part the inadequate coping capacity of the health care system.

Coincidence of diabetes mellitus and hypertension in a semi-urban Cameroonian population: a cross-sectional study

BackgroundHypertension and diabetes mellitus are increasingly common in population within Africa. We determined the rate of coincident diabetes and hypertension and assessed the levels of co-awareness, treatment and control in a semi-urban population in Cameroon.MethodsA total of 1702 adults (967 women) self-selected from the community were consecutively recruited in Bafoussam (West region of Cameroon) during November 2012. Existing diabetes and hypertension and treatments were investigated and blood pressure and fasting blood glucose measured. Multinomial logistic regressions models were used to investigate the determinants of prevalent diabetes and hypertension.ResultsAge-standardized prevalence rates (95% confidence intervals) men vs. women were 40.4% (34.7 to 46.1) and 23.8% (20.4 to 27.2) for hypertension alone; 3.3% (1.5 to 5.1) and 5.6% (3.5 to 7.7) for diabetes alone; and 3.9% (2.6 to 5.2) and 5.0% (3.5 to 6.5) for hypertension and diabetes. The age-standardized awareness, treatment and control rates for hypertension alone were 6.5%, 86.4% and 37.2% for men, and 24.3%, 52.1% and 51.6% in women. Equivalent figures for diabetes alone were 35.4%, 65.6% and 23.1% in men and 26.4%, 75.5% and 33.7% in women; and those for hypertension and diabetes were 86.6%, 3.3% and 0% in men, and 74.7%, 22.6% and 0% in women. Sex, age and adiposity were the main determinants of the three conditions.ConclusionsCoincident diabetes and hypertension is as high as diabetes alone in this population, driven by sex, age and adiposity. Awareness, treatment and control remain unacceptably low.

Efficiency of an intervention package for arterial hypertension comprising telemanagement in a Cameroonian rural setting: The TELEMED-CAM study.

Introduction Sub-Saharan Africa has a disproportionate burden of disease and an extreme shortage of health workforce. Therefore, adequate care for emerging chronic diseases can be very challenging. We implemented and evaluated the effectiveness of an intervention package comprising telecare as a mean for improving the outcomes of care for hypertension in Rural Sub-Saharan Africa. Methods The study involved a telemedicine center based at the Yaounde General Hospital (5 cardiologists) in the Capital city of Cameroon, and 30 remote rural health centers within the vicinity of Yaoundé (20 centers (103 patients) in the usual care group, and 10 centers (165 patients) in the intervention groups). The total duration of the intervention was 24 weeks. Results Participants in the intervention group had higher baseline systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressure, and included fewer individuals with diabetes than those in the usual care group (all p < 0.01). Otherwise, the baseline profile was mostly similar between the two groups. During follow-up, more participants in the intervention groups achieved optimal BP control, driven primarily by greater improvement of BP control among High risk participants (hypertension stage III) in the intervention group. Conclusion An intervention package comprising tele-support to general practitioners and nurses is effective in improving the management and outcome of care for hypertension in rural underserved populations. This can potentially help in addressing the shortage of trained health workforce for chronic disease management in some settings. However context-specific approaches and cost-effectiveness data are needed to improve the application of telemedicine for chronic disease management in resource-limited settings.

Impact of Secondary Foot Complications on the Inpatient Department of the Diabetes Unit of Yaoundé Central Hospital

Diabetic foot ulceration and gangrene are preventable long-term complications of diabetes mellitus. This cross-sectional study was conducted to evaluate the impact of secondary foot complications on hospital admission and activities of the diabetes service of Yaoundé Central Hospital (YCH). A total of 207 patient files were included in this study, the period of which was from November 1999 to October 2000, 1 year of activity of the inpatient department of the Diabetes and Endocrine Unit of YCH. General characteristics of the patients were considered, the reason for their admission, the duration of their hospitalization in the service, and the outcome. The diabetic foot problem was the second most common cause of hospital admission in 27 (13%) patients. Secondary foot complication was the associated cause of mortality in 19.3% of cases of death (6 out of 31) in this study. The highest duration of hospitalization was recorded in patients with foot problems (29.4±5.4 days), the finding being statistically significant. Foot problems accounted for 0.25% of bed occupancy for the selected period. Five patients underwent amputation because of foot problems. A high rate of hospital discharge upon request was recorded among patients with foot problems (25% of the cases). This study suggests that diabetic foot is the second biggest cause of hospital admission in this setting; however, it is the main cause of prolonged hospital stay and bed occupancy.

Bi treatment with hydralazine/nitrates vs. placebo in Africans admitted with acute HEart Failure (BA-HEF).

Patients with acute heart failure (HF) in Africa are rarely being treated with a hydralazine/nitrates combination. Therefore the effect of this treatment was studied here.

Prognostic Significance of ECG Abnormalities for Mortality Risk in Acute Heart Failure: Insight From the Sub-Saharan Africa Survey of Heart Failure (THESUS-HF)

OBJECTIVE The aim of this study was to assess the predictive utility of 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) abnormalities among Africans with acute heart failure (HF). METHODS AND RESULTS We used the Sub-Saharan Africa Survey of Heart Failure, a multicenter prospective cohort study of 1,006 acute HF patients, and regression models to relate baseline ECG findings to all-cause mortality and readmission during a 6-month follow-up period. Of 814 ECGs available, 523 (49.0% male) were obtained within 15 days of admission, among which 97.7% showed abnormalities. Mean age was 52.0 years and median follow-up was 180 days, with 77 deaths (Kaplan-Meier 17.5%) through day 180 and 63 patients with death or readmission to day 60. QRS width, QT duration, bundle branch block, and ischemic changes were not associated with outcomes. Increasing ventricular rate was associated with increasing risk of both outcomes (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07 per 5 beats/min increase for 60-day death or readmission, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.02-1.12; P = .0047), and the presence of sinus rhythm was associated with lower risk (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.34-0.97; P = .0385). There was a strong association between survival and heart rate in patients in sinus rhythm, with heart rate >119 beats/min conveying the worst mortality risk. CONCLUSIONS ECG abnormalities are almost universal among Africans with acute HF, which may add to the immediate diagnosis of patients presenting with dyspnea. Although some ECG findings have prognostic value for risk of adverse outcomes, most of them are nonspecific and add little to the risk stratification of these patients.

Predictors of hospitalisations for heart failure and mortality in patients with pulmonary hypertension associated with left heart disease: a systematic review

Objectives Left heart disease (LHD) is the main cause of pulmonary hypertension (PH), but little is known regarding the predictors of adverse outcome of PH associated with LHD (PH-LHD). We conducted a systematic review to investigate the predictors of hospitalisations for heart failure and mortality in patients with PH-LHD. Design Systematic review. Data sources PubMed MEDLINE and SCOPUS from inception to August 2013 were searched, and citations identified via the ISI Web of Science. Study selection Studies that reported on hospitalisation and/or mortality in patients with PH-LHD were included if the age of participants was greater than 18 years and PH was diagnosed using Doppler echocardiography and/or right heart catheterisation. Two reviewers independently selected studies, assessed their quality and extracted relevant data. Results In all, 45 studies (38 from Europe and USA) were included among which 71.1% were of high quality. 39 studies were published between 2003 and 2013. The number of participants across studies ranged from 46 to 2385; the proportion of men from 21% to 91%; mean/median age from 63 to 82 years; and prevalence of PH from 7% to 83.3%. PH was consistently associated with increased mortality risk in all forms of LHD, except for aortic valve disease where findings were inconsistent. Six of the nine studies with data available on hospitalisations reported a significant adverse effect of PH on hospitalisation risk. Other predictors of adverse outcome were very broad and heterogeneous including right ventricular dysfunction, functional class, left ventricular function and presence of kidney disease. Conclusions PH is almost invariably associated with increased mortality risk in patients with LHD. However, effects on hospitalisation risk are yet to be fully characterised; while available evidence on the adverse effects of PH have been derived essentially from Caucasians.