Andrea Burón

Breast cancer detection risk in screening mammography after a false-positive result

BACKGROUND False-positives are a major concern in breast cancer screening. However, false-positives have been little evaluated as a prognostic factor for cancer detection. Our aim was to evaluate the association of false-positive results with the cancer detection risk in subsequent screening participations over a 17-year period. METHODS This is a retrospective cohort study of 762,506 women aged 45-69 years, with at least two screening participations, who underwent 2,594,146 screening mammograms from 1990 to 2006. Multilevel discrete-time hazard models were used to estimate the adjusted odds ratios (OR) of breast cancer detection in subsequent screening participations in women with false-positive results. RESULTS False-positives involving a fine-needle aspiration cytology or a biopsy had a higher cancer detection risk than those involving additional imaging procedures alone (OR = 2.69; 95%CI: 2.28-3.16 and OR = 1.81; 95%CI: 1.70-1.94, respectively). The risk of cancer detection increased substantially if women with cytology or biopsy had a familial history of breast cancer (OR = 4.64; 95%CI: 3.23-6.66). Other factors associated with an increased cancer detection risk were age 65-69 years (OR = 1.84; 95%CI: 1.67-2.03), non-attendance at the previous screening invitation (OR = 1.26; 95%CI: 1.11-1.43), and having undergone a previous benign biopsy outside the screening program (OR = 1.24; 95%CI: 1.13-1.35). CONCLUSION Women with a false-positive test have an increased risk of cancer detection in subsequent screening participations, especially those with a false-positive result involving cytology or biopsy. Understanding the factors behind this association could provide valuable information to increase the effectiveness of breast cancer screening.

Colorectal cancer survival: Results from a hospital-based cancer registry

INTRODUCTION colorectal cancer is one of the most common malignancies in developed countries. Data on specific and 10-year survival are scarce. This study analyzes overall and disease-specific survival for patients with colorectal cancer and assesses the value of clinical factors on disease-specific survival. METHODS a retrospective cohort study of newly diagnosed invasive colorectal cancer cases diagnosed from 1992 to 2007 were identified through the Hospital del Mar Cancer Registry. Five-and 10-year survival functions were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional hazard models were used to assess prognostic factors. RESULTS a total of 2,080 patients with colorectal cancer were identified. The median age at diagnosis was 72 years and 58.5%were men. By the end of the follow-up period (December 2008), 1,225 patients had died and 68.4% of deaths were due to colorectal cancer. The 5- and 10-year cancer-specific survival rates were 55.5% (95%CI 53.9-57.9%) and 48.5% (95%CI 45.6-51.3%), respectively. The 5-year specific survival rate improved in the last period (2003-2007) (60.4%, 95%CI 55.4-65.0) compared with 1992-1997(53.4%; 95%CI 49.2-57.4) and 1998-2002 (52.0%; 95%CI 47.8-56.2). Various factors were independently associated with excess CRC mortality: male sex (HR 1.21), age at diagnosis > 75 years(HR 1.97), rectal location (HR 1.33), more advanced stages (stage IV: HR 18.54), poorly differentiated/undifferentiated tumors (HR 1.80), and admission through the emergency department (HR 1.52). CONCLUSIONS cancer-specific survival improved from 1992 to 2007. This improvement could be due to more effective treatment, since changes in stage distribution or age at diagnosis were not observed during the study period. Overall survival rates should notably improve with the implementation of a population-based colorectal cancer screening program in Spain.

Factors affecting 5- and 10-year survival of women with breast cancer: an analysis based on a public general hospital in Barcelona.

BACKGROUND Data from a long-established hospital-based cancer registry were used to analyse the relationship between clinical and organisational factors and disease-specific survival among women with primary breast cancer. METHODS 2023 women with incident invasive breast cancer diagnosed from 1992 to 2005 were identified through the Hospital del Mar Cancer Registry (Barcelona, Spain). Patients were followed until December 2008. One-, 5- and 10-year disease-specific survival rates were estimated. Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models were used to analyse death from breast cancer. RESULTS At diagnosis 70.2% of tumours were in stages I-II. During follow-up 705 deaths occurred, 58.4% specifically due to breast cancer. Five- and 10-year breast cancer specific survival rates were 83.3% and 73.7%, respectively (stage I, 97.1% and 94.0%; stage II, 88.0% and 79.4%; stage III, 70.1% and 46.3%, and stage IV, 24.5% and 6.1%, respectively). The 5-year disease-specific survival rate increased from 73.5% in 1992-1995 to 86.4% in 2001-2005 (log rank, p<0.001). Multivariate analyses showed that prognosis was less favourable for women diagnosed between 1992 and 1995, for those whose route to diagnosis was not the screening programme, women aged ≥ 70 years, with stage IV tumours, with high grade lesions, and for women who received only palliative or symptomatic treatment. Adjusting for prognostic factors, surgeons experience did not significantly appeared to affect survival of operated women. CONCLUSIONS In this centre survival from breast cancer improved markedly from 1992 to 2005. Breast cancer prognosis was influenced by both clinical and organisational variables. The quantification of the role of such factors affords valuable knowledge to improve cancer care in settings similar to the study hospital.

The effect of smoking on prostate cancer survival: a cohort analysis in Barcelona.

The aim of this study was to analyse the effect of smoking on prostate cancer-specific mortality and all-cause mortality. A retrospective cohort study was conducted with 1109 patients with prostate cancer diagnosed from 1992 to 2008, identified through the Hospital del Mar Cancer Registry (Barcelona, Spain). Information on smoking habits was retrieved from clinical records and patients were classified into three categories: never smoker, exsmoker and current smoker. Patients were followed up until December 2011. Survival curves were plotted using Kaplan–Meier methods. Cox models were used to estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals. Median age at diagnosis was 70.6 years and 16.7% of patients had stage IV tumours. During the follow-up period, 466 deaths occurred, 36.1% of them being specifically due to prostate cancer. The median follow-up time of the censored patients was 5.8 years. There was a significant difference in disease-specific survival between never smokers, exsmokers and current smokers (P=0.0001). Current smokers presented a worse 5-year survival rate (82.9%) compared with exsmokers (88.9%) and never smokers (89.6%). In the multivariate analysis, after adjusting for age, disease stage, Gleason score and prostate-specific antigen, the hazard ratio for smokers was 1.80 (95% confidence interval: 1.04–3.13) compared with never smokers. In the exsmokers group the risk for prostate cancer-specific mortality was very similar to that of never smokers. However, the statistical difference disappeared when we stratified by stage (I–III and IV). In conclusion, smoking was identified as an independent and negative prognostic factor for prostate cancer-specific and all-cause mortality. These findings suggest that smoking-cessation programmes could be beneficial for prostate cancer patients.

Association between socioeconomic deprivation and colorectal cancer screening outcomes: Low uptake rates among the most and least deprived people

Background Screening with faecal occult blood tests reduces colorectal cancer-related mortality; however, age, sex and socioeconomic factors affect screening outcomes and could lead to unequal mortality benefits. The aim of this study was to describe the main outcomes of the population-based Barcelona colorectal cancer screening programme (BCRCSP) by deprivation. Methods Retrospective study of the eligible population of the first round of the BCRCSP. Participants’ postal addresses were linked with the MEDEA database to obtain the deprivation quintiles (Dq). Chi-squared tests were used to compare proportions across variables and logistic regression was used to estimate the adjusted effects of age, sex and deprivation on uptake, FIT positivity, colonoscopy adherence and advanced neoplasia detection rate. Results Overall uptake was 44.7%, higher in Dq2, 3 and 4 (OR 1.251, 1.250 and 1.276, respectively) than in the least deprived quintile (Dq 1), and lowest in Dq5 (OR 0.84). Faecal immunochemical test (FIT) positivity and the percentage of people with detectable faecal haemoglobin below the positivity threshold increased with deprivation. The advanced neoplasia detection rate was highest in Dq4. Conclusion Unlike most regions where inequalities are graded along the socioeconomic continuum, inequalities in the uptake of colorectal cancer screening in Spain seem to be concentrated first in the most disadvantaged group and second in the least deprived group. The correlation of deprivation with FIT-positivity and faecal haemoglobin below the positivity threshold is worrying due to its association with colorectal cancer and overall mortality.

Genetic Variants Associated with Colorectal Adenoma Susceptibility

Background Common low-penetrance genetic variants have been consistently associated with colorectal cancer risk. Aim To determine if these genetic variants are associated also with adenoma susceptibility and may improve selection of patients with increased risk for advanced adenomas and/or multiplicity (≥ 3 adenomas). Methods We selected 1,326 patients with increased risk for advanced adenomas and/or multiplicity and 1,252 controls with normal colonoscopy from population-based colorectal cancer screening programs. We conducted a case-control association study analyzing 30 colorectal cancer susceptibility variants in order to investigate the contribution of these variants to the development of subsequent advanced neoplasia and/or multiplicity. Results We found that 14 of the analyzed genetic variants showed a statistically significant association with advanced adenomas and/or multiplicity: the probability of developing these lesions increased with the number of risk alleles reaching a 2.3-fold risk increment in individuals with ≥ 17 risk alleles. Conclusions Nearly half of the genetic variants associated with colorectal cancer risk are also related to advanced adenoma and/or multiplicity predisposition. Assessing the number of risk alleles in individuals within colorectal cancer screening programs may help to identify better a subgroup with increased risk for advanced neoplasia and/or multiplicity in the general population.