Andrew M. Sugden

Using biotic interactions to forecast the consequences of global climate change

DISCUSSIONS OF GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE have tended to emphasize physical factors, the physiological responses of individual organisms and the shifting of vegetation and agricultural zones. Although we can predictfuture changes in atmospheric trace gas composition from industrial outputs, and although the physical principles of the greenhouse effect are well established, General Circulation Models (GCMs) of the atmosphere are not yet sufficiently developed to predict global weather patterns’. There has been little attention to the potential contribution of biotic interactions the dynamics of evolution, population biology and competition. It may be that we cannot anticipate the direction and consequencesof global climate change without integrating these interactions into global-change forecasting. .~&i~~&C jr: ““‘

The ecology of temperate cereal fields

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Hurricanes in tropical forests

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A Dictionary of Ecology, Evolution and Systematics (2nd edn) by R. Lincoln, G. Boxshall and P. Clark Cambridge University Press, 1998. £50.00 hbk, £17.95 pbk (ix+361 pages) ISBN 0 521 59139 2/0 521 43843 X The Encyclopedia of Ecology and Environmental Management edited by P. Calow Blackwell Science, 1998. £125.00 hbk (xv+805 pages) ISBN 0 86542 838 7.

The subsidy from nature: Palm forests, peasantry, and development on an Amazon frontier: by Anthony B. Anderson, Peter H. May and Michael J. Balick, Columbia University Press, 1991.

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