Andy Vail

Peak plasma interleukin-6 and other peripheral markers of inflammation in the first week of ischaemic stroke correlate with brain infarct volume, stroke severity and long-term outcome

BackgroundCerebral ischaemia initiates an inflammatory response in the brain and periphery. We assessed the relationship between peak values of plasma interleukin-6 (IL-6) in the first week after ischaemic stroke, with measures of stroke severity and outcome.MethodsThirty-seven patients with ischaemic stroke were prospectively recruited. Plasma IL-6, and other markers of peripheral inflammation, were measured at pre-determined timepoints in the first week after stroke onset. Primary analyses were the association between peak plasma IL-6 concentration with both modified Rankin score (mRS) at 3 months and computed tomography (CT) brain infarct volume.ResultsPeak plasma IL-6 concentration correlated significantly (p < 0.001) with CT brain infarct volume (r = 0.75) and mRS at 3 months (r = 0.72). It correlated similarly with clinical outcome at 12 months or stroke severity. Strong associations were also noted between either peak plasma C-reactive protein (CRP) concentration or white blood cell (WBC) count, and all outcome measures.ConclusionsThese data provide evidence that the magnitude of the peripheral inflammatory response is related to the severity of acute ischaemic stroke, and clinical outcome.

Mortality at 12 and 24 Months After Stroke May Be Associated With Depressive Symptoms at 1 Month

Background and Purpose— Previous studies have reported mood symptoms after stroke to be a risk factor for later mortality. The purpose of the study was to examine whether mood symptoms at 1 month after stroke may be a risk factor for mortality at 12 and 24 months. Methods— As a cohort within a randomized controlled trial, 448 hospital patients were seen at 1 month after stroke and were randomized into a trial of psychological therapy. Follow-up was at 12 and 24 months. Mood symptoms were assessed by the Present State Examination and the General Health Questionnaire (GHQ)-28. Measures of disability before and after stroke and of cognitive impairment after stroke were also taken at 1 month. Mortality was determined at 12 and 24 months after stroke. Results— In logistic regression analyses, mortality at 12 months was associated unifactorally with scoring on the GHQ-D subscale (odds ratio [OR] 2.4, 95% CI 1.3 to 4.5) and scoring in the highest quartile of the GHQ (OR 3.1, 95% CI 1.1 to 8.8). In multiple logistic regression analyses, only GHQ-D remained a significant predictor after controlling for other known predictors. At 24 months, scoring on GHQ-D (OR 2.4, 95% CI 1.4 to 4.1) and in the highest GHQ quartile (OR 2.2, 95% CI 1.0 to 4.8) was significantly associated with mortality in unifactoral analyses. Scoring on the GHQ-D remained a predictor of mortality after controlling for other variables. Psychiatric disorder, such as major depression (according to International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision), was not statistically significantly associated with increased mortality at 12 or 24 months. Conclusions— Mood symptoms on a self-reported rating scale were associated with 12- and 24-month mortality after stroke, after adjustment for factors associated with stroke severity. The result is in keeping with other evidence that depressive symptoms are a risk factor for death from vascular disease.

A randomised phase II study of interleukin-1 receptor antagonist in acute stroke patients

Objectives: The cytokine interleukin (IL)-1 mediates ischaemic brain damage in rodents. The endogenous, highly selective, IL-1 receptor antagonist (IL-1ra) protects against ischaemic cerebral injury in a range of experimental settings, and IL-1ra causes a marked reduction of cell death when administered peripherally or at a delay in transient cerebral ischaemia. We report here the first randomised, double blind, placebo controlled trial of recombinant human IL-1ra (rhIL-1ra) in patients with acute stroke. Methods: Patients within 6 hours of the onset of symptoms of acute stroke were randomised to rhIL-1ra or matching placebo. Test treatment was administered intravenously by a 100 mg loading dose over 60 seconds, followed by a 2 mg/kg/h infusion over 72 h. Adverse events and serious adverse events were recorded for up to 3 months, serial blood samples were collected for biological markers up to 3 months, and 5–7 day brain infarct volume was measured by computed tomography. Results: No adverse events were attributed to study treatment among 34 patients randomised. Markers of biological activity, including neutrophil and total white cell counts, C reactive protein, and IL-6 concentrations, were lower in rhIL-1ra treated patients. Among patients with cortical infarcts, clinical outcomes at 3 months in the rhIL-1ra treated group were better than in placebo treated. Conclusions: These data suggest that rhIL-1ra is safe and well tolerated in acute stroke. In addition, rhIL-1ra exhibited biological activity that is relevant to the pathophysiology and clinical outcome of ischaemic stroke. Our findings identify rhIL-1ra as a potential new therapeutic agent for acute stroke.

Infant wellbeing at 2 years of age in the Growth Restriction Intervention Trial (GRIT): Multicentred randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND Although delivery is widely used for preterm babies failing to thrive in utero, the effect of altering delivery timing has never been assessed in a randomised controlled trial. We aimed to compare the effect of delivering early with delaying birth for as long as possible. METHODS 548 pregnant women were recruited by 69 hospitals in 13 European countries. Participants had fetal compromise between 24 and 36 weeks, an umbilical-artery doppler waveform recorded, and clinical uncertainty about whether immediate delivery was indicated. Before birth, 588 babies were randomly assigned to immediate delivery (n=296) or delayed delivery until the obstetrician was no longer uncertain (n=292). The main outcome was death or disability at or beyond 2 years of age. Disability was defined as a Griffiths developmental quotient of 70 or less or the presence of motor or perceptual severe disability. Analysis was by intention-to-treat. This trial has been assigned the International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number ISRCTN41358726. FINDINGS Primary outcomes were available on 290 (98%) immediate and 283 (97%) deferred deliveries. Overall rate of death or severe disability at 2 years was 55 (19%) of 290 immediate births, and 44 (16%) of 283 delayed births. With adjustment for gestational age and umbilical-artery doppler category, the odds ratio (95% CrI) was 1.1 (0.7-1.8). Most of the observed difference was in disability in babies younger than 31 weeks of gestation at randomisation: 14 (13%) immediate versus five (5%) delayed deliveries. No important differences in the median Griffiths developmental quotient in survivors was seen. INTERPRETATION The lack of difference in mortality suggests that obstetricians are delivering sick preterm babies at about the correct moment to minimise mortality. However, they could be delivering too early to minimise brain damage. These results do not lend support to the idea that obstetricians can deliver before terminal hypoxaemia to improve brain development.

An early and sustained peripheral inflammatory response in acute ischaemic stroke: relationships with infection and atherosclerosis

Central nervous system and peripheral inflammation is important in the responses to ischaemic stroke, and may also predispose to its development. We aimed to identify (1) the extent to which a peripheral inflammatory response is activated in patients following acute stroke, and (2) whether there was evidence for preexisting peripheral inflammation. Thirty-six patients with ischaemic stroke within 12 h of onset of symptoms had serial blood samples taken up to 12 months for analysis of markers of inflammation. Thirty-six control subjects, individually matched for age, sex and degree of atherosclerosis, were also studied. Median C-reactive protein (CRP) was elevated, relative to controls (2.08 mg/l), from admission (4.31 mg/l) (p</=0.001) until 3 months (2.90 mg/l) (p</=0.01), the greatest elevation occurring at 5-7 days (17.67 mg/l) (p</=0.001). Elevations were also seen in erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR) and white blood cell (WBC) count until 3 months. Median plasma IL-6 was also elevated, relative to controls (9 pg/ml), by 24 h after onset of symptoms (22 pg/ml) (p</=0.01), and remained elevated at 5-7 days (23 pg/ml) (p</=0.01), but not at 3 months. Less marked elevations in these markers were seen in patients without evidence of infection except for IL-6, which was not increased in the absence of infection. These data provide evidence of an early and sustained peripheral inflammatory response to acute ischaemic stroke in patients with or without evidence of infection. The very early increase in concentrations of inflammatory markers after stroke may either be induced by stroke itself, or may indicate a preexisting inflammatory condition in stroke patients which may contribute to the development of stroke.

How practical are recommendations for dietary control in phenylketonuria

In patients with phenylketonuria, blood phenylalanine concentration during childhood is the major determinant of cognitive outcome. Guidelines provide age-related recommendations for treatment. To ascertain the extent to which these aims are achievable, we audited results from four centres for the years 1994-2000. The median proportion of samples with phenylalanine concentrations above those recommended was less than 30% for those younger than age 10 years but almost 80% for those aged 15 years and older. Similarly, the median frequency of blood sampling, expressed as a proportion of that recommended, was more than 80% for patients younger than 10 years but less than 50% by age 15 years. Our results indicate the difficulty of maintaining control in phenylketonuria, especially in older rather than younger children.

Ten year follow up of ulcerative colitis patients with and without low grade dysplasia.

Background and aims: Low grade dysplasia (LGD) is believed to predispose to colorectal cancer (CRC), and proctocolectomy has been advocated when this is identified. Between 1978 and 1990, 160 patients with longstanding extensive ulcerative colitis (UC) were recruited for annual colonoscopic surveillance and 40 developed LGD at some stage. We report the outcome of this cohort 10 years after the original study ended. Methods: Retrospective cohort study and histopathological review of the original diagnoses of LGD. The outcome of 158/160 (98.8%) patients was established in 2000. Results: Of the 128 patients still alive and with an intact colon at the end of 1990, two were not traceable, 29 had LGD, and 97 had no dysplasia (controls). After 10 years, high grade dysplasia (HGD) or CRC developed in 3/29 LGD (10%) and in 4/97 controls (4.0%). Kaplan-Meier analysis from 1991 to death or colectomy did not show a statistically significant difference between the two groups (log rank test p=0.63). Histopathological review demonstrated the unreliability of LGD diagnosis. Agreement between pathologists was uniformly poor: kappa <0.4 for all comparisons. Conclusion: LGD diagnosis is not sufficiently reliable to justify prophylactic colectomy. Conservative management of established LGD cases should not be ruled out.

Detection of Atrial Fibrillation After Ischemic Stroke or Transient Ischemic Attack A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Background and Purpose— Atrial fibrillation (AF) confers a high risk of recurrent stroke, although detection methods and definitions of paroxysmal AF during screening vary. We therefore undertook a systematic review and meta-analysis to determine the frequency of newly detected AF using noninvasive or invasive cardiac monitoring after ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack. Methods— Prospective observational studies or randomized controlled trials of patients with ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, or both, who underwent any cardiac monitoring for a minimum of 12 hours, were included after electronic searches of multiple databases. The primary outcome was detection of any new AF during the monitoring period. We prespecified subgroup analysis of selected (prescreened or cryptogenic) versus unselected patients and according to duration of monitoring. Results— A total of 32 studies were analyzed. The overall detection rate of any AF was 11.5% (95% confidence interval, 8.9%–14.3%), although the timing, duration, method of monitoring, and reporting of diagnostic criteria used for paroxysmal AF varied. Detection rates were higher in selected (13.4%; 95% confidence interval, 9.0%–18.4%) than in unselected patients (6.2%; 95% confidence interval, 4.4%–8.3%). There was substantial heterogeneity even within specified subgroups. Conclusions— Detection of AF was highly variable, and the review was limited by small sample sizes and marked heterogeneity. Further studies are required to inform patient selection, optimal timing, methods, and duration of monitoring for detection of AF/paroxysmal AF.

Design, analysis, and presentation of crossover trials.

ObjectiveAlthough crossover trials enjoy wide use, standards for analysis and reporting have not been established. We reviewed methodological aspects and quality of reporting in a representative sample of published crossover trials.MethodsWe searched MEDLINE for December 2000 and identified all randomized crossover trials. We abstracted data independently, in duplicate, on 14 design criteria, 13 analysis criteria, and 14 criteria assessing the data presentation.ResultsWe identified 526 randomized controlled trials, of which 116 were crossover trials. Trials were drug efficacy (48%), pharmacokinetic (28%), and nonpharmacologic (30%). The median sample size was 15 (interquartile range 8–38). Most (72%) trials used 2 treatments and had 2 periods (64%). Few trials reported allocation concealment (17%) or sequence generation (7%). Only 20% of trials reported a sample size calculation and only 31% of these considered pairing of data in the calculation. Carry-over issues were addressed in 29% of trials methods. Most trials reported and defended a washout period (70%). Almost all trials (93%) tested for treatment effects using paired data and also presented details on by-group results (95%). Only 29% presented CIs or SE so that data could be entered into a meta-analysis.ConclusionReports of crossover trials frequently omit important methodological issues in design, analysis, and presentation. Guidelines for the conduct and reporting of crossover trials might improve the conduct and reporting of studies using this important trial design.

Conclusions of the corneal transplant follow-up study

AIM On the basis of finalised data from the Corneal Transplant Follow up Study to identify and quantify factors influencing corneal graft outcome in terms of graft survival, rejection, visual acuity, and astigmatism. METHODS Multifactorial analysis of 2777 grafts registered by the UK Transplant Support Service from July 1987 to June 1991. RESULTS Several recipient factors influencing graft survival, rejection, and visual acuity were identified, but no donor factors. Of the operative factors amenable to change, mixed suturing was associated with reduced graft survival, and larger grafts with increased risk of rejection but better visual acuity when surviving. There was increased risk of rejection with poor matching at HLA class I antigens, but mismatched HLA-DR grafts suffered less rejection than those with zero HLA-DR mismatches. Recipient age below 10 years was associated with increased risk of both rejection and graft failure. However, whereas increasing age above 10 years was not associated with differential graft survival, it was significantly associated with decreasing risk of rejection. CONCLUSIONS While confirming possible benefits of HLA-A and B matching, the expense and delay involved in awaiting matched HLA-DR tissue is unlikely to be justified. Other donor factors are unrelated to graft outcome following screening of tissue by eye banks. The highest rates of graft failure and rejection happen in the early postoperative period, and factors influencing visual outcome are also apparent at this stage.