Ann Marie McNeill

Association of Multiple Anthropometrics of Overweight and Obesity With Incident Heart Failure The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

Background—The association of central adiposity with incident heart failure (HF) has yet to be studied in a large population-based study. Methods and Results—The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study is an ongoing biracial population-based cohort of those aged 45 to 64 years from 4 US communities with 16 years’ median follow-up for incident, hospitalized, or fatal HF. Waist-hip ratio, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI) were measured at baseline (1987–1989). After exclusions, the sample size was 14 641. BMI was categorized as <25, 25 to 29.9, and ≥30 kg/m2. Waist circumference and waist-hip ratio were divided into gender-specific tertiles. A first occurrence of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification, codes of HF, either hospital discharge (428.0 to 428.9; n=1451) or on a death certificate (428.0 to 428.9 or I50.0 to I50.9; n=77) was considered an HF event. Cox models were adjusted for alcohol use, smoking, age, center, and educational level. The adjusted hazard ratios for the highest category (obese) compared with the lowest were well above 1.0 for all 3 anthropometric measures (hazard ratio for 3rd versus 1st tertile of waist-hip ratio: 2.27 [1.71, 3.02] for white women; 3.24 [2.25, 4.65] for black women; 2.46 [1.95, 3.09] for white men; and 2.63 [1.90, 3.65] for black men). Hazard ratios for overweight were lower in magnitude, suggesting a graded response between body size and HF. Conclusions—Obesity and overweight, as measured by 3 different anthropometrics, were associated with incident HF in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort. The current study does not support the superiority of waist-hip ratio and waist circumference over BMI for the prediction of incident HF.

Socioeconomic Status, Medicaid Coverage, Clinical Comorbidity, and Rehospitalization or Death After an Incident Heart Failure Hospitalization Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Cohort (1987 to 2004)

Background— Among patients with heart failure (HF), early readmission or death and repeat hospitalizations may be indicators of poor disease management or more severe disease. Methods and Results— We assessed the association of neighborhood median household income (nINC) and Medicaid status with rehospitalization or death in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort study (1987 to 2004) after an incident HF hospitalization in the context of individual socioeconomic status and evaluated the relationship for modification by demographic and comorbidity factors. We used generalized linear Poisson mixed models to estimate rehospitalization rate ratios and 95% CIs and Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of rehospitalization or death. In models controlling for race and study community, sex, age at HF diagnosis, body mass index, hypertension, educational attainment, alcohol use, and smoking, patients with a high burden of comorbidity who were living in low-nINC areas at baseline had an elevated hazard of all-cause rehospitalization (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.77), death (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.80), and rehospitalization or death (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.70) as well as increased rates of hospitalization compared to those with a high burden of comorbidity living in high-nINC areas. Medicaid recipients with a low level of comorbidity had an increased hazard of all-cause rehospitalization (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.36) and rehospitalization or death (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.37) and a higher rate of repeat hospitalizations compared to non-Medicaid recipients. Conclusions— Comorbidity burden appears to influence the association among nINC, Medicaid status, and rehospitalization and death in patients with HF.

Metabolic syndrome risk for cardiovascular disease and diabetes in the ARIC study

Objective:The metabolic syndrome is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular disease and diabetes. Several analyses from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study have been performed to examine the role of the metabolic syndrome and its components in predicting risk for cardiovascular disease and diabetes.Design and subjects:The large, biracial, population-based ARIC study enrolled 15 792 middle-aged Americans in four communities in the United States and has followed them for the development of cardiovascular disease and diabetes.Measurements:Outcome parameters included prevalence of the metabolic syndrome and its individual components, carotid intima-media thickness, incident coronary heart disease, incident ischemic stroke and incident diabetes.Results and conclusion:Several analyses from the ARIC study have shown that the metabolic syndrome, as well as individual metabolic syndrome components, is predictive of the prevalence and incidence of coronary heart disease, ischemic stroke, carotid artery disease and diabetes.

Association of Multiple Anthropometrics of Overweight and Obesity With Incident Heart FailureCLINICAL PERSPECTIVE

Background—The association of central adiposity with incident heart failure (HF) has yet to be studied in a large population-based study. Methods and Results—The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study is an ongoing biracial population-based cohort of those aged 45 to 64 years from 4 US communities with 16 years’ median follow-up for incident, hospitalized, or fatal HF. Waist-hip ratio, waist circumference, and body mass index (BMI) were measured at baseline (1987–1989). After exclusions, the sample size was 14 641. BMI was categorized as <25, 25 to 29.9, and ≥30 kg/m2. Waist circumference and waist-hip ratio were divided into gender-specific tertiles. A first occurrence of International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision, Clinical Modification, codes of HF, either hospital discharge (428.0 to 428.9; n=1451) or on a death certificate (428.0 to 428.9 or I50.0 to I50.9; n=77) was considered an HF event. Cox models were adjusted for alcohol use, smoking, age, center, and educational level. The adjusted hazard ratios for the highest category (obese) compared with the lowest were well above 1.0 for all 3 anthropometric measures (hazard ratio for 3rd versus 1st tertile of waist-hip ratio: 2.27 [1.71, 3.02] for white women; 3.24 [2.25, 4.65] for black women; 2.46 [1.95, 3.09] for white men; and 2.63 [1.90, 3.65] for black men). Hazard ratios for overweight were lower in magnitude, suggesting a graded response between body size and HF. Conclusions—Obesity and overweight, as measured by 3 different anthropometrics, were associated with incident HF in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort. The current study does not support the superiority of waist-hip ratio and waist circumference over BMI for the prediction of incident HF.

Socioeconomic Status, Medicaid Coverage, Clinical Comorbidity, and Rehospitalization or Death After an Incident Heart Failure HospitalizationClinical Perspective

Background— Among patients with heart failure (HF), early readmission or death and repeat hospitalizations may be indicators of poor disease management or more severe disease. Methods and Results— We assessed the association of neighborhood median household income (nINC) and Medicaid status with rehospitalization or death in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort study (1987 to 2004) after an incident HF hospitalization in the context of individual socioeconomic status and evaluated the relationship for modification by demographic and comorbidity factors. We used generalized linear Poisson mixed models to estimate rehospitalization rate ratios and 95% CIs and Cox regression to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of rehospitalization or death. In models controlling for race and study community, sex, age at HF diagnosis, body mass index, hypertension, educational attainment, alcohol use, and smoking, patients with a high burden of comorbidity who were living in low-nINC areas at baseline had an elevated hazard of all-cause rehospitalization (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.77), death (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.02 to 1.80), and rehospitalization or death (HR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.08 to 1.70) as well as increased rates of hospitalization compared to those with a high burden of comorbidity living in high-nINC areas. Medicaid recipients with a low level of comorbidity had an increased hazard of all-cause rehospitalization (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.36) and rehospitalization or death (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.37) and a higher rate of repeat hospitalizations compared to non-Medicaid recipients. Conclusions— Comorbidity burden appears to influence the association among nINC, Medicaid status, and rehospitalization and death in patients with HF.

Airflow obstruction, lung function, and incidence of atrial fibrillation: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

Background— Reduced low forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) is reportedly associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Extant reports do not provide separate estimates for never smokers or for blacks, who incongruously have lower AF incidence than whites. Methods and Results— We examined 15 004 middle-aged blacks and whites enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study. Standardized spirometry data were collected at the baseline examination. Incident AF was identified from the first among the following: International Classification of Diseases codes for AF on hospital discharge records or death certificates or 12-lead ECGs performed during 3 triennial follow-up visits. Over an average follow-up of 17.5 years, a total of 1691 participants (11%) developed new-onset AF. The rate of incident AF was inversely associated with FEV1 in each of the 4 race and sex groups. After multivariable adjustment for traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors and height, hazard ratios of AF comparing the lowest with the highest quartile of FEV1 were 1.37 (95% confidence interval, 1.02–1.83) for white women, 1.49 (95% confidence interval, 1.16–1.91) for white men, 1.63 (95% confidence interval, 1.00–2.66) for black women, and 2.36 (95% confidence interval, 1.30–4.29) for black men. The above associations were observed across all smoking status categories. Moderate/severe airflow obstruction (FEV1/forced vital capacity <0.70 and FEV1 < 80% of predicted value) was also associated with higher AF incidence. Conclusions— In this large population-based study with a long-term follow-up, reduced FEV1 and obstructive respiratory disease were associated with a higher AF incidence after adjustment for measured confounders.

Socioeconomic status and the trajectory of self-rated health

BACKGROUND self-rated health (SRH) likely reflects both mental and physical health domains, and is assessed by asking individuals to describe their health status. Poor SRH is associated with disease incidence and subsequent mortality. Changes in SRH across time in persons with different incident diseases are uncharacterised. METHODS SRH was assessed in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study via annual telephone interviews over a median of 17.6 years. Individual quadratic growth models were used for repeated measures of SRH in persons who remained disease-free during follow-up (n = 11,188), as well as among those who were diagnosed with myocardial infarction (MI; n = 1,071), stroke (n = 809), heart failure (HF; n = 1,592) or lung cancer (n = 433) and those who underwent a cardiac revascularisation procedure (n = 1,340) during follow-up. RESULTS among disease-free participants and across time, there was a trend for lowest mean SRH among persons living in low socioeconomic areas and highest mean SRH among persons living in high socioeconomic areas. Factors contributing to the decline in SRH over time included advanced age, lower educational attainment, smoking and obesity. CONCLUSION addressing factors related to poor SRH trajectories among patients pre- and post-incident disease may favourably affect health outcomes among patients regardless of type of disease.

HDL-cholesterol and the incidence of lung cancer in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

SUMMARY This study examined prospectively the association of baseline plasma HDL-cholesterol levels with incidence of lung cancer in 14,547 members of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort. There were 259 cases of incident lung cancer identified during follow-up from 1987 through 2000. Results of this study indicated a relatively weak inverse association of HDL-cholesterol with lung cancer that was dependent on smoking status. The hazard ratio of lung cancer incidence in relation to low HDL-cholesterol, adjusted for race, gender, exercise, alcohol consumption, body mass index, triglycerides, age, and cigarette pack-years of smoking, was 1.45 (95% confidence interval 1.10, 1.92). This association was observed among former smokers (hazard ratio: 1.77, 95% confidence interval 1.05, 2.97), but not current smokers. The number of cases among never smokers in this study was too small (n=13) for meaningful interpretation of effect estimates. Excluding cases occurring within 5 years of baseline did not appreciably change the point estimates, suggesting lack of reverse causality. The modest association of low plasma HDL-cholesterol with greater incident lung cancer observed in this study is in agreement with existing case-control studies.

Airflow Obstruction, Lung Function, and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation

Background— Reduced low forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) is reportedly associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Extant reports do not provide separate estimates for never smokers or for blacks, who incongruously have lower AF incidence than whites. Methods and Results— We examined 15 004 middle-aged blacks and whites enrolled in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort study. Standardized spirometry data were collected at the baseline examination. Incident AF was identified from the first among the following: International Classification of Diseases codes for AF on hospital discharge records or death certificates or 12-lead ECGs performed during 3 triennial follow-up visits. Over an average follow-up of 17.5 years, a total of 1691 participants (11%) developed new-onset AF. The rate of incident AF was inversely associated with FEV1 in each of the 4 race and sex groups. After multivariable adjustment for traditional cardiovascular disease risk factors and height, hazard ratios of AF comparing the lowest with the highest quartile of FEV1 were 1.37 (95% confidence interval, 1.02–1.83) for white women, 1.49 (95% confidence interval, 1.16–1.91) for white men, 1.63 (95% confidence interval, 1.00–2.66) for black women, and 2.36 (95% confidence interval, 1.30–4.29) for black men. The above associations were observed across all smoking status categories. Moderate/severe airflow obstruction (FEV1/forced vital capacity <0.70 and FEV1 < 80% of predicted value) was also associated with higher AF incidence. Conclusions— In this large population-based study with a long-term follow-up, reduced FEV1 and obstructive respiratory disease were associated with a higher AF incidence after adjustment for measured confounders.

The Potentially Modifiable Burden of Incident Heart Failure Due to Obesity The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

The authors estimated the generalized impact fraction (GIF) for heart failure (HF) related to obesity, representing the proportion of incident HF events that could be prevented from reductions in obesity and/or overweight. The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study is a biracial population-based cohort study of persons aged 45-64 years from 4 US communities with a median 14 years of follow-up (1987-2003) for incident, hospitalized, or fatal HF. Body mass index (BMI; weight (kg)/height (m)(2)) was measured at baseline (1987-1989) and categorized as normal weight (BMI <25), overweight (BMI 25-29.9), or obese (BMI ≥30). After exclusion of prevalent HF, missing BMI, and poorly represented racial groups, the sample size was 14,642. The GIF and attributable fraction were calculated using a case-load weighted-sum method. A 95% distribution of the GIF was estimated from bootstrapped data sets. A 30% hypothetical reduction in obesity/overweight would potentially prevent 8.5% (95% simulation interval: 6.1, 10.7) of incident HF events. The attributable fraction, which assumes complete elimination of obesity/overweight, was 28% (95% simulation interval: 20, 36)-approximately 3 times larger than the most optimistic GIF calculated here. Investigators studying exposures that are unlikely to be eradicated given current prevention efforts, such as obesity, should consider estimating the GIF to avoid overestimates of population impact.