Antonino Di Caro

Microbial translocation predicts disease progression of HIV-infected antiretroviral-naive patients with high CD4 + cell count

Objectives:We investigated the significance of microbial translocation measured on average 3 years after HIV seroconversion in driving disease progression in HIV+ untreated patients with high CD4+ cell count. Design:We included ICONA patients with documented last HIV-negative and first HIV-positive test, at least one plasma sample stored while antiretroviral therapy (ART)-naive and CD4+ cell count greater than 200 cells/&mgr;l. Methods:Microbial translocation [lipopolysaccharide (LPS), sCD14 and EndoCAb] and immune activation (IL-6 and TNF-&agr;) were measured. Correlation between immune activation, microbial translocation, CD4+ and plasma HIV-RNA was evaluated by linear regression and nonparametric Spearmans rho. The independent predictive value of these markers on time to progression to the combined endpoint of AIDS, death, CD4+ cell count less than 200 cells/&mgr;l or start of antiretroviral therapy (ART) was assessed using survival analysis. Results:We analysed 1488 biomarker measures from 379 patients. A median of 3.1 years after the estimated seroconversion date [interquartile range (IQR) 1.6–5.4], median (IQR) markers values were LPS, 110 pg/ml (IQR 75–215), sCD14, 3.3 &mgr;g/ml (2.2–4.8), IL-6, 1.1 pg/ml (0.6–1.9) and TNF-&agr;, 2.4 pg/ml (1.8–3.4). Two hundred and sixty progression events were recorded over a median of 1.6 years from the first sample (2% AIDS, 84% ART initiation, 12% CD4+ cell count less than 200 cells/&mgr;l and 2% death). LPS was the only biomarker associated with this primary composite outcome independently of age, HIV-RNA and CD4+ (relative hazard = 1.40 per loge higher, 95% confidence interval 1.18–1.66, P < 0.001). Conclusion:Circulating LPS in the first years of chronic HIV infection is a strong predictor of disease progression independent of CD4+ cell count and HIV viraemia and may be considered a candidate biomarker for HIV monitoring and evaluation in clinical trials.

The debate on the presence of HIV-1 in human gametes

The debate about the presence of HIV-1 particles in human gametes and recent experimental results are reported in detail. Using immunocytochemistry, in situ hybridization at electron microscopy level, polymerase chain reaction and in vitro fertilization, it has been demonstrated that human spermatozoa can incorporate HIV-1 using special receptors, different from the usual CD4, and that they remain active and able to vehicle the viral particles into the oocyte, which is regularly fertilized. Moreover, by transmission electron microscopy (TEM), immunocytochemistry and PCR, we demonstrated that cell-free HIV-1 is not able to bind and penetrate the human oocyte in vitro. We attribute this behaviour to the fact that the oocyte and cumulus cells are devoid both of GalAAG and of CD4 receptors. PCR analysis indicated that mRNAs specific for CD4, CXCR4 and CCR5 proteins were absent, too.

Ebola viral load at diagnosis associates with patient outcome and outbreak evolution

BACKGROUND Ebola virus (EBOV) causes periodic outbreaks of life-threatening EBOV disease in Africa. Historically, these outbreaks have been relatively small and geographically contained; however, the magnitude of the EBOV outbreak that began in 2014 in West Africa has been unprecedented. The aim of this study was to describe the viral kinetics of EBOV during this outbreak and identify factors that contribute to outbreak progression. METHODS From July to December 2014, one laboratory in Sierra Leone processed over 2,700 patient samples for EBOV detection by quantitative PCR (qPCR). Viremia was measured following patient admission. Age, sex, and approximate time of symptom onset were also recorded for each patient. The data was analyzed using various mathematical models to find trends of potential interest. RESULTS The analysis revealed a significant difference (P = 2.7 × 10(-77)) between the initial viremia of survivors (4.02 log10 genome equivalents [GEQ]/ml) and nonsurvivors (6.18 log10 GEQ/ml). At the population level, patient viral loads were higher on average in July than in November, even when accounting for outcome and time since onset of symptoms. This decrease in viral loads temporally correlated with an increase in circulating EBOV-specific IgG antibodies among individuals who were suspected of being infected but shown to be negative for the virus by PCR. CONCLUSIONS Our results indicate that initial viremia is associated with outcome of the individual and outbreak duration; therefore, care must be taken in planning clinical trials and interventions. Additional research in virus adaptation and the impacts of host factors on EBOV transmission and pathogenesis is needed.

Virus genomes reveal factors that spread and sustained the Ebola epidemic

The 2013–2016 West African epidemic caused by the Ebola virus was of unprecedented magnitude, duration and impact. Here we reconstruct the dispersal, proliferation and decline of Ebola virus throughout the region by analysing 1,610 Ebola virus genomes, which represent over 5% of the known cases. We test the association of geography, climate and demography with viral movement among administrative regions, inferring a classic ‘gravity’ model, with intense dispersal between larger and closer populations. Despite attenuation of international dispersal after border closures, cross-border transmission had already sown the seeds for an international epidemic, rendering these measures ineffective at curbing the epidemic. We address why the epidemic did not spread into neighbouring countries, showing that these countries were susceptible to substantial outbreaks but at lower risk of introductions. Finally, we reveal that this large epidemic was a heterogeneous and spatially dissociated collection of transmission clusters of varying size, duration and connectivity. These insights will help to inform interventions in future epidemics.

Unique human immune signature of Ebola virus disease in Guinea

Despite the magnitude of the Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak in West Africa, there is still a fundamental lack of knowledge about the pathophysiology of EVD. In particular, very little is known about human immune responses to Ebola virus. Here we evaluate the physiology of the human T cell immune response in EVD patients at the time of admission to the Ebola Treatment Center in Guinea, and longitudinally until discharge or death. Through the use of multiparametric flow cytometry established by the European Mobile Laboratory in the field, we identify an immune signature that is unique in EVD fatalities. Fatal EVD was characterized by a high percentage of CD4+ and CD8+ T cells expressing the inhibitory molecules CTLA-4 and PD-1, which correlated with elevated inflammatory markers and high virus load. Conversely, surviving individuals showed significantly lower expression of CTLA-4 and PD-1 as well as lower inflammation, despite comparable overall T cell activation. Concomitant with virus clearance, survivors mounted a robust Ebola-virus-specific T cell response. Our findings suggest that dysregulation of the T cell response is a key component of EVD pathophysiology.

Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever, southwestern Bulgaria.

To the Editor: Crimean-Congo hemorrhagic fever virus (CCHFV) causes a severe multisystem disease characterized by profuse bleeding with a case-fatality rate as high as 30%. The infection is endemic to the Balkans (1,2). In Bulgaria, most cases are reported from the central and eastern parts of the country (3,4). We report a cluster of cases observed in early spring 2008 in southwestern Bulgaria, an area considered at low risk for CCHF outbreaks.

Blood kinetics of Ebola virus in survivors and nonsurvivors

BACKGROUND Infection with Ebola virus (EBOV) results in a life-threatening disease, with reported mortality rates between 50%-70%. The factors that determine patient survival are poorly understood; however, clinical observations indicate that EBOV viremia may be associated with fatal outcome. We conducted a study of the kinetics of Zaire EBOV viremia in patients with EBOV disease (EVD) who were managed at an Ebola Treatment Centre in Sierra Leone during the recent West African outbreak. METHODS Data from 84 EVD patients (38 survivors, 46 nonsurvivors) were analyzed, and EBOV viremia was quantified between 2 and 13 days after symptom onset. Time since symptom onset and clinical outcome were used as independent variables to compare EBOV viral kinetics in survivors and nonsurvivors. RESULTS In all patients, EBOV viremia kinetics was a quadratic function of time; however, EBOV viremia was 0.94 logarithm (log) copies per ml (cp/ml) (P = 0.011) higher in nonsurvivors than in survivors from day 2 after the onset of symptoms. Survivors reached peak viremia levels at an earlier time after symptom onset than nonsurvivors (day 5 versus day 7) and had lower mean peak viremia levels compared with nonsurvivors (7.46 log cp/ml; 95% CI, 7.17-7.76 vs. 8.60 log cp/ml; 95% CI, 8.27-8.93). Before reaching peak values, EBOV viremia similarly increased both in survivors and nonsurvivors; however, the decay of viremia after the peak was much stronger in survivors than in nonsurvivors. CONCLUSION Our results demonstrate that plasma concentrations of EBOV are markedly different between survivors and nonsurvivors at very early time points after symptom onset and may be predicative of outcome. Further studies focused on the early phase of the disease will be required to identify the causal and prognostic factors that determine patient outcome. FUNDING Italian Ministry of Health; Italian Ministry of Foreign Affairs; EMERGENCYs private donations; and Royal Engineers for DFID-UK.

Are adaptive randomised trials or non-randomised studies the best way to address the Ebola outbreak in west Africa?

Summary The Ebola outbreak that has devastated parts of west Africa represents an unprecedented challenge for research and ethics. Estimates from the past three decades emphasise that the present effort to contain the epidemic in the three most affected countries (Guinea, Liberia, and Sierra Leone) has been insufficient, with more than 24 900 cases and about 10 300 deaths, as of March 25, 2015. Faced with such an exceptional event and the urgent response it demands, the use of randomised controlled trials (RCT) for Ebola-related research might be both unethical and infeasible and that potential interventions should be assessed in non-randomised studies on the basis of compassionate use. However, non-randomised studies might not yield valid conclusions, leading to large residual uncertainty about how to interpret the results, and can also waste scarce intervention-related resources, making them profoundly unethical. Scientifically sound and rigorous study designs, such as adaptive RCTs, could provide the best way to reduce the time needed to develop new interventions and to obtain valid results on their efficacy and safety while preserving the application of ethical precepts. We present an overview of clinical studies registered at present at the four main international trial registries and provide a simulation on how adaptive RCTs can behave in this context, when mortality varies simultaneously in either the control or the experimental group.

Phylogenetic analysis of West Nile virus isolates, Italy, 2008-2009.

To determine the lineage of West Nile virus that caused outbreaks in Italy in 2008 and 2009, several West Nile virus strains were isolated from human specimens and sequenced. On the basis of phylogenetic analyses, the strains isolated constitute a distinct group within the western Mediterranean cluster.

Correlation between Epstein Barr virus antibodies, serum IgE and atopic disease

It is currently accepted that vinil infections may influence the development of atopy. In the present study we evaluated serum IgE levels as well as the prevalence of symptom‐, indicative of utopic disease and EBV antibodies in 353 children aged from I month to 19 years. Antibodies against EBV were detected by immunofluorescence. IgE levels in serum were measured by en/. yme imimmoassay. Dividing ihe study population according to EBV seropositivity and age, we noted that the prevalence of high IgE levels (> 2 s. d.) was, in total, more frequent in the EBV negative (32. 9%) than in the positive subjects (27. 6%). Interestingly, this higher prevalence was found only in the groups aged under six, especially in the 7 to 29 month group, where it was statistically significant (p=0.037), whereas in the 6‐19 year group the situation was reversed. Furthermore, selecting only the atopic children younger than 3 years of age with high IgE levels and clinical symptoms of atopy (wheezing and/or dermatitis) it was possible to demonstrate lower EBV seropositivity compared with the normal IgE controls for each group, even though these differences were not statistically significant. In conclusion, the results of our study suggest that, in our selected population, EBV infection in the first years of life is associated with a lower prevalence of high IgE levels.