Arlene M. Gallagher

Data Resource Profile: Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD)

The Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD) is an ongoing primary care database of anonymised medical records from general practitioners, with coverage of over 11.3 million patients from 674 practices in the UK. With 4.4 million active (alive, currently registered) patients meeting quality criteria, approximately 6.9% of the UK population are included and patients are broadly representative of the UK general population in terms of age, sex and ethnicity. General practitioners are the gatekeepers of primary care and specialist referrals in the UK. The CPRD primary care database is therefore a rich source of health data for research, including data on demographics, symptoms, tests, diagnoses, therapies, health-related behaviours and referrals to secondary care. For over half of patients, linkage with datasets from secondary care, disease-specific cohorts and mortality records enhance the range of data available for research. The CPRD is very widely used internationally for epidemiological research and has been used to produce over 1000 research studies, published in peer-reviewed journals across a broad range of health outcomes. However, researchers must be aware of the complexity of routinely collected electronic health records, including ways to manage variable completeness, misclassification and development of disease definitions for research.

Risks of stroke and mortality associated with suboptimal anticoagulation in atrial fibrillation patients

Atrial fibrillation (AF) carries an increased risk of ischaemic stroke, and oral anticoagulation with warfarin can reduce this risk. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between time in therapeutic International Normalised Ratio (INR) range when receiving warfarin and the risk of stroke and mortality. The study cohort included AF patients aged 40 years and older included in the UK General Practice Research Database. For patients treated with warfarin we computed the percentage of follow-up time spent within therapeutic range. Cox regression was used to assess the association between INR and outcomes while controlling for patient demographics, health status and concomitant medication. The study population included 27,458 warfarin-treated (with at least 3 INR measurements) and 10,449 patients not treated with antithrombotic therapy. Overall the warfarin users spent 63% of their time within therapeutic range (TTR). This percentage did not vary substantially by age, sex and CHA2DS2-VASc score. Patients who spent at least 70% of time within therapeutic range had a 79% reduced risk of stroke compared to patients with ≤30% of time in range (adjusted relative rate of 0.21; 95% confidence interval 0.18-0.25). Mortality rates were also significantly lower with at least 70% of time spent within therapeutic range. In conclusion, good anticoagulation control was associated with a reduction in the risk of stroke.

Initiation and persistence of warfarin or aspirin in patients with chronic atrial fibrillation in general practice: do the appropriate patients receive stroke prophylaxis?

Summary.  Background: Practice guidelines recommend long‐term stroke prophylaxis in patients with chronic atrial fibrillation (cAF). Objectives: To examine treatment initiation and persistence and factors that influence the choice of cAF treatment. Patients/methods: This study used the General Practice Research Database, including computerized medical records of general practitioners in the UK. Patients aged 40+ years with cAF after 1 January 2000 were included. Cox proportional hazards regression models evaluated initiation and treatment continuation over time of warfarin and aspirin. Treatment discontinuation was defined as no repeat prescription within a three‐month period after the expected end of the treatment course. Results: The study population included 41 910 cAF patients. Elderly patients (aged 85+) were less likely to start warfarin [relative rate (RR) = 0.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.15–0.18] and more likely to start aspirin (RR = 1.66, 95% CI 1.47–1.88) than patients aged 40–64 years. A history of dementia (RR = 0.28, 95% CI 0.17–0.44) and falls (RR = 0.76, 95% CI 0.70–0.83) also reduced the likelihood of warfarin initiation. Adjusting for age and gender, higher stroke risk (CHADS2 score) was not found to be associated with initiation of warfarin or aspirin contrary to current guidelines recommendations. One‐year persistence was 70% for warfarin and 50% for aspirin. Treatment persistence was higher in elderly patients using warfarin and aspirin. A higher CHADS2 score was associated with improved persistence only with warfarin. Conclusions: The low likelihood of patients with cAF in general practice remaining on treatment long‐term indicates that not all benefits as observed in clinical trials may be achieved in usual clinical practice.

Fracture outcomes related to persistence and compliance with oral bisphosphonates.

The effects of low persistence on fracture risk have not been fully addressed. The objectives of this study were to describe the persistence and compliance with bisphosphonates and to evaluate the association with fracture risk. The General Practice Research database was used to identify patients ≥18 yr of age prescribed alendronate or risedronate. The follow‐up was divided into periods of current and past use. Time‐dependent Cox regression was used. The study population included 44,531 patients; 58.3% of the patients continued bisphosphonate treatment for >1 yr and 23.6% for >5 yr. The risk of hip/femur fracture (adjusted relative rate [RR], 0.78; 95% CI, 0.64–0.94) and osteoporotic fracture (RR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.76–0.94) were lower with current compared with past bisphosphonate use. The largest reduction in hip/femur and osteoporotic fracture risk was observed in patients treated for at least 6 mo and no reduction in those treated for <6 mo. The risks of hip/femur and osteoporotic fractures followed the pattern of nonosteoporotic fractures in the first 6 mo but then started to reduce after 6–12 mo of treatment. Increased risks of osteoporotic and hip/femur fractures were found in patients with low compliance. Use of bisphosphonates was associated with fracture risk reductions after 6–12 mo of treatment, but only 58% of the patients were treated for at least 1 year. Improvement in long‐term persistence to bisphosphonate treatment may be important to reduce the impact of osteoporosis‐related fractures.

Cancer recording and mortality in the General Practice Research Database and linked cancer registries

Large electronic datasets are increasingly being used to evaluate healthcare delivery. The aim of this study was to compare information held by cancer registries with that of the General Practice Research Database (GPRD).

How effective are dose-adjusted warfarin and aspirin for the prevention of stroke in patients with chronic atrial fibrillation? An analysis of the UK General Practice Research Database.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the rate of stroke associated with aspirin and warfarin in routine clinical practice. The study included patients aged 40+ with chronic atrial fibrillation (cAF) registered in the UK General Practice Research Database. The outcome was the rate of stroke during current, past and no use of aspirin and warfarin. The study included 51,807 cAF patients. There was no difference in the rate of stroke between current and past use of aspirin (relative rate [RR] = 1.04 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.94 - 1.15]), while the rate of stroke was reduced during current warfarin use compared to past use (RR = 0.62 [95% CI 0.54 - 0.71]). For warfarin, a pattern of lower rates of stroke during current exposure and higher rates with past exposure was seen only in patients treated for at least 6-12 months. For aspirin, no changes in the rates of stroke were observed with discontinuation of aspirin. The effectiveness of warfarin was dependent on the level of anticoagulation, with optimal risk reduction occurring within the recommended international normalised ratio (INR) range of 2.0 to 3.0. The proportion of patients achieving a stable INR within the target therapeutic range was at its lowest during the first three months of warfarin treatment. In conclusion, the results of this study support the effectiveness of warfarin treatment to reduce the rate of stroke in cAF patients in the general clinical practice setting, however the risk reduction is lower than that reported in clinical trials.

Risk of Fracture with Thiazolidinediones: An Individual Patient Data Meta-Analysis

Background: The use of thiazolidinediones (TZDs) has been associated with increased fracture risks. Our aim was to estimate the risk of fracture with TZDs in three different healthcare registries, using exactly the same study design, and to perform an individual patient data meta-analysis of these three studies. Methods: Population-based cohort studies were performed utilizing the British General Practice Research Database (GPRD), the Dutch PHARMO Record Linkage System (RLS), and the Danish National Health Registers. In all three databases, the exposed cohort consisted of all patients (aged 18+) with at least one prescription of antidiabetic (AD) medication. Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of fracture. The total period of follow-up for each patient was divided into periods of current exposure and past exposure, with patients moving between current and past use. Results: In all three registries, the risk of fracture was increased for women who were exposed to TZDs: HR 1.48 (1.37–1.60) in GPRD, HR 1.35 (1.15–1.58) in PHARMO, and HR 1.22 (1.03–1.44) in Denmark. Combining the data in an individual patient data meta-analysis resulted, for women, in a 1.4-fold increased risk of any fracture for current TZD users versus other AD drug users [adj. HR 1.44 (1.35–1.53)]. For men, there was no increased fracture risk [adj. HR 1.05 (0.96–1.14)]. Risks were increased for fractures of the radius/ulna, humerus, tibia/fibula, ankle, and foot, but not for hip/femur or vertebral fractures. Current TZD users with more than 25 TZD prescriptions ever before had a 1.6-fold increased risk of fracture compared with other AD drug users [HR 1.59 (1.46–1.74)]. Conclusion: In this study, we consistently found a 1.2- to 1.5-fold increased risk of fractures for women using TZDs, but not for men, across three different healthcare registries. TZD users had an increased risk for fractures of the extremities, and risks further increased for prolonged users of TZDs.

Utilization Characteristics and Treatment Persistence in Patients Prescribed Low-Dose Buprenorphine Patches in Primary Care in the United Kingdom: A Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND The 7-day, low-dose buprenorphine patch has been available in the United Kingdom since 2005 for the treatment of chronic nonmalignant pain that is unresponsive to nonopioid analgesics. Osteo-arthritis pain, a significant cause of pain and disability in the elderly, is a common reason for prescribing bu-prenorphine patches. OBJECTIVES The goals of this study were to investigate utilization and treatment persistence in patients receiving low-dose buprenorphine patches and the expected patterns of treatment 12 months after the initiation of treatment. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort study of patients who were prescribed low-dose buprenorphine patches in general practice in the United Kingdom. Patients in this cohort were matched by age, sex, and practice with comparator cohorts prescribed oral codeine, dihydrocodeine, or tramadol. Data on baseline characteristics, utilization, and adverse events were obtained from the General Practice Research Database, which contains computerized medical records from UK general practice. Treatment persistence was determined based on repeat prescribing within 90 days after the expected end of a prescription; rates of persistence were compared between the buprenorphine and comparator cohorts. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare the incidence of typical opioid adverse effects (constipation, dizziness, and nausea and/or vomiting) between cohorts. RESULTS The study cohort included 4968 patients who were prescribed low-dose buprenorphine patches. The majority of patients (64.2%) were aged >65 years, and the most frequently recorded indication for low-dose buprenorphine patches was osteoarthritis (48.7%). Most patients (76.1%) started treatment at the lowest patch strength (5 microg/h). The mean patch strength prescribed over time stabilized at 10 to 12 microg/h. Persistence with low-dose buprenorphine patches over 6 months was significantly higher than with codeine, dihydrocodeine, and tramadol (28.9%, 22.4%, 24.4%, and 23.8%, respectively; P < 0.01). Persistence over 12 months also was significantly higher with low-dose buprenorphine patches compared with the comparators (18.5%, 16.1%, 18.0%, and 17.6%; P < 0.01). After 12 months, the difference in persistence levels between cohorts was not statistically significant. In the Cox proportional hazards regression models, patients using buprenorphine patches had an increased incidence of constipation, dizziness, and nausea and vomiting compared with those who used the comparator opioids (P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS Significantly more patients receiving low-dose buprenorphine patches in this study persisted with treatment at 6 and 12 months compared with those receiving other opioid analgesics. Treatment with low-dose buprenorphine patches was most frequently initiated at the lowest patch strength and stabilized at a mean of 10 to 12 microg/h.

Risk of Death and Cardiovascular Outcomes with Thiazolidinediones: A Study with the General Practice Research Database and Secondary Care Data

Objective To describe the likely extent of confounding in evaluating the risks of cardiovascular (CV) events and mortality in patients using diabetes medication. Methods The General Practice Research Database was used to identify inception cohorts of insulin and different oral antidiabetics. An analysis of bias and incidence of mortality, acute coronary syndrome, stroke and heart failure were analysed in GPRD, Hospital Episode Statistics and death certificates. Results 206,940 patients were identified. The bias analysis showed that past thiazolidinedione users had a lower mortality risk compared to past metformin users. There were no differences between past users of rosiglitazone and pioglitazone (adjusted RR of 1.04; 95% CI 0.93–1.18). Current rosiglitazone users had an increased risk of death (adjusted RR 1.20; 95% CI 1.08–1.34) and of hospitalisation for heart failure (adjusted RR of 1.73; 95% CI 1.19–2.51) compared to current pioglitazone users. Risk of mortality was increased two-fold shortly after starting rosiglitazone. Excess risk of death over 3 years with rosiglitazone was 0.3 per 100 in those aged 50–64 years, 2.0 aged 65–74, 3.0 aged 75–84, and 7.0 aged 85+. The cause of death with rosiglitazone was more likely to be due to a disease of the circulatory system. Conclusions Higher risks for death (overall and due to cardiovascular disease) and heart failure were found for rosiglitazone compared to pioglitazone. These excess risks were largest in patients aged 65 years or older. The European regulatory decision to suspend rosiglitazone is supported by this study.

Use of thiazolidinediones and risk of osteoporotic fracture: disease or drugs?†

Clinical and observational studies suggest that use of thiazolidinediones (TZDs) is associated with an increased fracture risk. In addition, type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a risk factor for osteoporotic fracture. Our aim was to estimate fracture risks in TZD users and users of other antidiabetic drugs, classified according to proxies of disease severity.