Åshild Bjørnerem

Cortical porosity identifies women with osteopenia at increased risk for forearm fractures.

Most fragility fractures arise among the many women with osteopenia, not the smaller number with osteoporosis at high risk for fracture. Thus, most women at risk for fracture assessed only by measuring areal bone mineral density (aBMD) will remain untreated. We measured cortical porosity and trabecular bone volume/total volume (BV/TV) of the ultradistal radius (UDR) using high‐resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography, aBMD using densitometry, and 10‐year fracture probability using the country‐specific fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX) in 68 postmenopausal women with forearm fractures and 70 age‐matched community controls in Olmsted County, MN, USA. Women with forearm fractures had 0.4 standard deviations (SD) higher cortical porosity and 0.6 SD lower trabecular BV/TV. Compact‐appearing cortical porosity predicted fracture independent of aBMD; odds ratio (OR) = 1.92 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.10–3.33). In women with osteoporosis at the UDR, cortical porosity did not distinguish those with fractures from those without because high porosity was present in 92% and 86% of each group, respectively. By contrast, in women with osteopenia at the UDR, high porosity of the compact‐appearing cortex conferred an OR for fracture of 4.00 (95% CI 1.15–13.90). In women with osteoporosis, porosity is captured by aBMD, so measuring UDR cortical porosity does not improve diagnostic sensitivity. However, in women with osteopenia, cortical porosity was associated with forearm fractures.

Fracture risk and height: An association partly accounted for by cortical porosity of relatively thinner cortices

Taller women are at increased risk for fracture despite having wider bones that better tolerate bending. Because wider bones require less material to achieve a given bending strength, we hypothesized that taller women assemble bones with relatively thinner and more porous cortices because excavation of a larger medullary canal may be accompanied by excavation of more intracortical canals. Three‐dimensional images of distal tibia, fibula, and radius were obtained in vivo using high‐resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HRpQCT) in a twin study of 345 females aged 40 to 61 years, 93 with at least one fracture. Cortical porosity <100 µm as well as >100 µm, and microarchitecture, were quantified using Strax1.0, a new algorithm. Multivariable linear and logistic regression using generalized estimating equation (GEE) methods quantified associations between height and microarchitecture and estimated the associations with fracture risk. Each standard deviation (SD) greater height was associated with a 0.69 SD larger tibia total cross‐sectional area (CSA), 0.66 SD larger medullary CSA, 0.50 SD higher medullary CSA/total CSA (i.e., thinner cortices relative to the total CSA due to a proportionally larger medullary area), and 0.42 SD higher porosity (all p < 0.001). Cortical area was 0.45 SD larger in absolute terms but 0.50 SD smaller in relative terms. These observations were confirmed by examining trait correlations in twin pairs. Fracture risk was associated with height, total CSA, medullary CSA/total CSA, and porosity in univariate analyses. In multivariable analyses, distal tibia, medullary CSA/total CSA, and porosity predicted fracture independently; height was no longer significant. Each 1 SD greater porosity was associated with fracture; odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are as follows: distal tibia, OR = 1.55 (95% CI, 1.11–2.15); distal fibula, OR = 1.47 (95% CI, 1.14–1.88); and distal radius, OR = 1.22 (95% CI, 0.96–1.55). Taller women assemble wider bones with relatively thinner and more porous cortices predisposing to fracture.

Remodeling markers are associated with larger intracortical surface area but smaller trabecular surface area: A twin study

All postmenopausal women become estrogen deficient but not all remodel their skeleton rapidly or lose bone rapidly. As remodeling requires a surface to be initiated upon, we hypothesized that a volume of mineralized bone assembled with a larger internal surface area is more accessible to being remodeled, and so decayed, after menopause. We measured intracortical, endocortical and trabecular bone surface area and microarchitecture of the distal tibia and distal radius in 185 healthy female twin pairs aged 40 to 61 years using high-resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography (HR-pQCT). We used generalized estimation equations to analyze (i) the trait differences across menopause, (ii) the relationship between remodeling markers and bone surface areas, and (iii) robust regression to estimate associations between within-pair differences. Relative to premenopausal women, postmenopausal women had higher remodeling markers, larger intracortical and endocortical bone surface area, higher intracortical porosity, smaller trabecular bone surface area and fewer trabeculae at both sites (all p<0.01). Postmenopausal women had greater deficits in cortical than trabecular bone mass at the distal tibia (-0.98 vs. -0.12 SD, p<0.001), but similar deficits at the distal radius (-0.45 vs. -0.39 SD, p=0.79). A 1 SD higher tibia intracortical bone surface area was associated with 0.22-0.29 SD higher remodeling markers, about half the 0.53-0.67 SD increment in remodeling markers across menopause (all p<0.001). A 1 SD higher porosity was associated with 0.20-0.30 SD higher remodeling markers. A 1 SD lower trabecular bone surface area was associated with 0.15-0.18 SD higher remodeling markers (all p<0.01). Within-pair differences in intracortical and endocortical bone surface areas at both sites and porosity at the distal tibia were associated with within-pair differences in some remodeling markers (p=0.05 to 0.09). We infer intracortical remodeling may be self perpetuating by creating intracortical porosity and so more bone surface for remodeling to occur upon, while remodeling upon the trabecular bone surface is self limiting because it removes trabeculae with their surface.

Breastfeeding protects against hip fracture in postmenopausal women: The Tromsø study

Despite reported bone loss during pregnancy and lactation, no study has shown deleterious long‐term effects of parity or breastfeeding. Studies have shown higher bone mineral density and reduced risk for fracture in parous than in nulliparous women or no effect of parity and breastfeeding, so long‐term effects are uncertain. We studied the effect of parity and breastfeeding on risk for hip, wrist and non‐vertebral fragility fractures (hip, wrist, or proximal humerus) in 4681 postmenopausal women aged 50 to 94 years in the Tromsø Study from 1994–95 to 2010, using Coxs proportional hazard models. During 51 906 person‐years, and a median of 14.5 years follow‐up, 442, 621, and 1105 of 4681 women suffered incident hip, wrist, and fragility fractures, and the fracture rates were 7.8, 11.4, and 21.3 per 1000 person‐years, respectively. The risk for hip, wrist, and fragility fracture did not differ between parous (n = 4230, 90.4%) and nulliparous women (n = 451, 9.6%). Compared with women who did not breast‐feed after birth (n = 184, 4.9%), those who breastfed (n = 3564, 95.1%) had 50% lower risk for hip fracture (HR 0.50; 95% CI 0.32 to 0.78), and 27% lower risk for fragility fracture (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.54 to 0.99), but similar risk for wrist fracture, after adjustment for age, BMI, height, physical activity, smoking, a history of diabetes, previous fracture of hip or wrist, use of hormone replacement therapy, and length of education. Each 10 months longer total duration of breastfeeding reduced the age‐adjusted risk for hip fracture by 12% (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.78 to 0.99, p for trend = 0.03) before, and marginally after, adjustment for BMI and other covariates (HR 0.91; 95% CI 0.80 to 1.04). In conclusion, this data indicates that pregnancy and breastfeeding has no long‐term deleterious effect on bone fragility and fractures, and that breastfeeding may contribute to a reduced risk for hip fracture after menopause.

Circulating Sex Steroids, Sex Hormone-Binding Globulin, and Longitudinal Changes in Forearm Bone Mineral Density in Postmenopausal Women and Men: The Tromsø Study

Bone loss during advancing age in women and men is partly the result of sex steroid deficiency. As the contribution of circulating sex steroids and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) to bone loss remains uncertain, we sought to determine whether levels of sex steroids or SHBG predict change in bone mineral density (BMD) in women and men. A population-based study in the city of Tromsø of 6.5 years’ duration (range 5.4-7.4) included 927 postmenopausal women aged 37–80 years and 894 men aged 25–80 years. Total estradiol and testosterone, calculated free levels, and SHBG were measured at baseline, and BMD change at the distal forearm was determined using BMD measurements in 1994–1995 and 2001. Bone loss was detected in postmenopausal women and men. Free estradiol and SHBG predicted age-adjusted bone loss in postmenopausal women, but only free estradiol was associated after further adjustment for body mass index and smoking in mixed models (P < 0.05). After same adjustment, only SHBG persisted as a significant independent predictor of bone loss in men (P < 0.001). However, only 1% of the variance in bone loss was accounted for by these measurements. We therefore conclude that the relations between sex steroids and bone loss are weak and measurements of sex steroids are unlikely to assist in clinical decision making.

Progressively Increasing Fracture Risk With Advancing Age After Initial Incident Fragility Fracture: The Tromso Study

The risk of subsequent fracture is increased after initial fractures; however, proper understanding of its magnitude is lacking. This population‐based study examines the subsequent fracture risk in women and men by age and type of initial incident fracture. All incident nonvertebral fractures between 1994 and 2009 were registered in 27,158 participants in the Tromsø Study, Norway. The analysis included 3108 subjects with an initial incident fracture after the age of 49 years. Subsequent fracture (n = 664) risk was expressed as rate ratios (RR) and absolute proportions irrespective of death. The rates of both initial and subsequent fractures increased with age, the latter with the steepest curve. Compared with initial incident fracture rate of 30.8 per 1000 in women and 12.9 per 1000 in men, the overall age‐adjusted RR of subsequent fracture was 1.3 (95% CI, 1.2–1.5) in women, and 2.0 (95% CI, 1.6–2.4) in men. Although the RRs decreased with age, the absolute proportions of those with initial fracture who suffered a subsequent fracture increased with age; from 9% to 30% in women and from 10% to 26% in men, between the age groups 50–59 to 80+ years. The type of subsequent fracture varied by age from mostly minor fractures in the youngest to hip or other major fractures in the oldest age groups, irrespective of type and severity of initial fracture. In women and men, 45% and 38% of the subsequent hip or other major fractures, respectively, were preceded by initial minor fractures. The risk of subsequent fracture is high in all age groups. At older age, severe subsequent fracture types follow both clinically severe and minor initial incident fractures. Any fragility fracture in the elderly reflects the need for specific osteoporosis management to reduce further fracture risk.

Bone turnover markers are associated with higher cortical porosity, thinner cortices, and larger size of the proximal femur and non-vertebral fractures

Bone turnover markers (BTM) predict bone loss and fragility fracture. Although cortical porosity and cortical thinning are important determinants of bone strength, the relationship between BTM and cortical porosity has, however, remained elusive. We therefore wanted to examine the relationship of BTM with cortical porosity and risk of non-vertebral fracture. In 211 postmenopausal women aged 54-94 years with non-vertebral fractures and 232 age-matched fracture-free controls from the Tromsø Study, Norway, we quantified femoral neck areal bone mineral density (FN aBMD), femoral subtrochanteric bone architecture, and assessed serum levels of procollagen type I N-terminal propeptide (PINP) and C-terminal cross-linking telopeptide of type I collagen (CTX). Fracture cases exhibited higher PINP and CTX levels, lower FN aBMD, larger total and medullary cross-sectional area (CSA), thinner cortices, and higher cortical porosity of the femoral subtrochanter than controls (p≤0.01). Each SD increment in PINP and CTX was associated with 0.21-0.26 SD lower total volumetric BMD, 0.10-0.14 SD larger total CSA, 0.14-0.18 SD larger medullary CSA, 0.13-0.18 SD thinner cortices, and 0.27-0.33 SD higher porosity of the total cortex, compact cortex, and transitional zone (all p≤0.01). Moreover, each SD of higher PINP and CTX was associated with increased odds for fracture after adjustment for age, height, and weight (ORs 1.49; 95% CI, 1.20-1.85 and OR 1.22; 95% CI, 1.00-1.49, both p<0.05). PINP, but not CTX, remained associated with fracture after accounting for FN aBMD, cortical porosity or cortical thickness (OR ranging from 1.31 to 1.39, p ranging from 0.005 to 0.028). In summary, increased BTM levels are associated with higher cortical porosity, thinner cortices, larger bone size and higher odds for fracture. We infer that this is produced by increased periosteal apposition, intracortical and endocortical remodeling; and that these changes in bone architecture are predisposing to fracture.

Genetic and Environmental Variances of Bone Microarchitecture and Bone Remodeling Markers: A Twin Study

All genetic and environmental factors contributing to differences in bone structure between individuals mediate their effects through the final common cellular pathway of bone modeling and remodeling. We hypothesized that genetic factors account for most of the population variance of cortical and trabecular microstructure, in particular intracortical porosity and medullary size – void volumes (porosity), which establish the internal bone surface areas or interfaces upon which modeling and remodeling deposit or remove bone to configure bone microarchitecture. Microarchitecture of the distal tibia and distal radius and remodeling markers were measured for 95 monozygotic (MZ) and 66 dizygotic (DZ) white female twin pairs aged 40 to 61 years. Images obtained using high‐resolution peripheral quantitative computed tomography were analyzed using StrAx1.0, a nonthreshold‐based software that quantifies cortical matrix and porosity. Genetic and environmental components of variance were estimated under the assumptions of the classic twin model. The data were consistent with the proportion of variance accounted for by genetic factors being: 72% to 81% (standard errors ∼18%) for the distal tibial total, cortical, and medullary cross‐sectional area (CSA); 67% and 61% for total cortical porosity, before and after adjusting for total CSA, respectively; 51% for trabecular volumetric bone mineral density (vBMD; all p < 0.001). For the corresponding distal radius traits, genetic factors accounted for 47% to 68% of the variance (all p ≤ 0.001). Cross‐twin cross‐trait correlations between tibial cortical porosity and medullary CSA were higher for MZ (rMZ = 0.49) than DZ (rDZ = 0.27) pairs before (p = 0.024), but not after (p = 0.258), adjusting for total CSA. For the remodeling markers, the data were consistent with genetic factors accounting for 55% to 62% of the variance. We infer that middle‐aged women differ in their bone microarchitecture and remodeling markers more because of differences in their genetic factors than differences in their environment.

External Validation of the Garvan Nomograms for Predicting Absolute Fracture Risk: The Tromsø Study

Background Absolute risk estimation is a preferred approach for assessing fracture risk and treatment decision making. This study aimed to evaluate and validate the predictive performance of the Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator in a Norwegian cohort. Methods The analysis included 1637 women and 1355 aged 60+ years from the Tromsø study. All incident fragility fractures between 2001 and 2009 were registered. The predicted probabilities of non-vertebral osteoporotic and hip fractures were determined using models with and without BMD. The discrimination and calibration of the models were assessed. Reclassification analysis was used to compare the models performance. Results The incidence of osteoporotic and hip fracture was 31.5 and 8.6 per 1000 population in women, respectively; in men the corresponding incidence was 12.2 and 5.1. The predicted 5-year and 10-year probability of fractures was consistently higher in the fracture group than the non-fracture group for all models. The 10-year predicted probabilities of hip fracture in those with fracture was 2.8 (women) to 3.1 times (men) higher than those without fracture. There was a close agreement between predicted and observed risk in both sexes and up to the fifth quintile. Among those in the highest quintile of risk, the models over-estimated the risk of fracture. Models with BMD performed better than models with body weight in correct classification of risk in individuals with and without fracture. The overall net decrease in reclassification of the model with weight compared to the model with BMD was 10.6% (p = 0.008) in women and 17.2% (p = 0.001) in men for osteoporotic fractures, and 13.3% (p = 0.07) in women and 17.5% (p = 0.09) in men for hip fracture. Conclusions The Garvan Fracture Risk Calculator is valid and clinically useful in identifying individuals at high risk of fracture. The models with BMD performed better than those with body weight in fracture risk prediction.

Architecture of cortical bone determines in part its remodelling and structural decay

Bone remodelling accelerates and becomes unbalanced after menopause; less bone is deposited than resorbed from the surface of canals traversing the cortex. The canals enlarge so the intracortical surface area enlarges. We hypothesized that cortical bone with a larger internal surface area, due to more or larger canals, is more liable to being remodelled, further enlarging the internal surface area and facilitating more remodelling and structural deterioration. For 95 monozygotic twin pairs aged 40-61 years, we measured internal cortical surface areas and structure of the distal tibia using high resolution peripheral computed tomography, and three circulating bone remodelling markers. Using principal component (PC) analyses, we identified one summary measure of intracortical and endocortical bone surface areas, cortical porosity and volumetric bone mineral density (structure PC), and one summary measure of bone remodelling markers (remodelling PC). We applied a twin regression analysis (Inference on Causation by Examination of Familial Confounding; ICE FALCON) to assess consistency with a causal component in the association between a predictor (X) and an outcome (Y) by testing if the regression coefficient for the X value of the co-twin decreases after adjusting for the X value of the twin herself. With Y = remodelling PC, the regression coefficient for structure PC in the co-twin was 0.29 (p < 0.001) before, and 0.18 (p = 0.03) after, adjusting for her own structure PC (40% lower; p = 0.06). With Y = structure PC, the regression coefficient for remodelling PC in the co-twin was 0.17 (p = 0.01) before, and 0.20 (p < 0.001) after, adjusting for her own remodelling PC (22% higher; p = 0.7). The structure of bone, its surface area to bone matrix volume configuration, might contribute in part to its own remodelling and deterioration, but not vice versa.