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Featured researches published by Beyzanur Cayir Ervural.


Intelligence Systems in Environmental Management | 2017

Cumulative Belief Degrees Approach for Assessment of Sustainable Development

Hazal Ünlüçay; Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Bilal Ervural; Özgür Kabak

Over the past decades, sustainable development has emerged as one of the most prominent issues at all levels of society, from the global to the local level. To achieve a better balance between the economic, social and environmental dimensions of sustainable development in all countries of the world, starting from underdeveloped countries to developed countries, the right implementation of the sustainable development principles has a strategic significance that shapes the future of the countries. In this respect, measurement of sustainable development performance of countries is necessary in order to apply right sustainable development strategies, track the process, investigate the interactions between sustainability aspects, etc. The main purpose of this chapter is to demonstrate a new approach for measuring sustainable development levels of the countries using a cumulative belief degree approach. The approach enables the use of an incomplete data that is one of the critical problems in measuring sustainability of countries. Twenty-seven indicators for measuring 20 themes are selected based on the recommendations of United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and data availability. Finally, the proposed approach is applied to rank 138 countries according to their sustainable development performances based on the most recent data available.


Archive | 2018

Overview of Cyber Security in the Industry 4.0 Era

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Bilal Ervural

The global development industry is in the midst of a transformation to meet today’s more complex and highly competitive industry demands. With the rapid advances in technology, a new phenomenon has emerged in the current era, Industry 4.0. The integration of information technology and operational technology brings newer challenges, especially cyber security. In this chapter, one of the most popular topics of recent times, cyber security issue, has been investigated. The occurrence of the Internet of Things (IoT), has also dramatically altered the appearance of cyber threat. Security threats and vulnerabilities of IoT, industrial challenges, main reasons of cyber-attacks, cyber security requirement and some cyber security measures/methods are discussed with a global perspective involving both the public and private sector in the IoT context.


Archive | 2017

Constructive Algorithms for the Cumulative Vehicle Routing Problem with Limited Duration

Didem Cinar; Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Konstantinos Gakis; Panos M. Pardalos

In this chapter, several constructive algorithms developed for the cumulative vehicle routing problem with limited duration are used as an initial solution generator algorithm for various metaheuristics. Their performance on the solution quality obtained by solution-based and population-based metaheuristics is investigated. Data sets from the literature are used for the computational tests. The computational experiments show that the performance of simulated annealing is significantly affected by the initial solution generator. Although initial solution generators do not affect the performance of genetic algorithms as much as simulated annealing, choosing the best initial solution generator is still an important issue to obtain high-quality solutions in a proper computational time.


Journal of intelligent systems | 2017

Evaluation of Flexible Manufacturing Systems Using a Hesitant Group Decision Making Approach

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Bilal Ervural; Özgür Kabak

Abstract Flexible manufacturing systems (FMS) are capable of processing various parts, styles, and quantities of production in manufacturing systems. It is a quite complex process for companies to decide the appropriate FMS design as it involves multiple and conflicting criteria and multiple decision makers under various uncertainties. The fuzzy set theory offers an efficient tool to cope with vagueness and to define performance measurement of FMS in a multi-attribute group decision making (MAGDM) framework. In this study, we present a MAGDM approach based on hesitant fuzzy sets to evaluate FMS in a fuzzy environment. A practical example is provided to demonstrate the proposed methodology. In addition, the performance of the method is assessed by a comparative study and sensitivity analysis. The results of the analysis show that the MAGDM approach is a useful tool for experts in terms of evaluation of FMS.


Fuzzy Logic in Its 50th Year | 2016

Fuzzy Sets in the Evaluation of Socio-Ecological Systems: An Interval-Valued Intuitionistic Fuzzy Multi-criteria Approach

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Bilal Ervural; Cengiz Kahraman

In recent days, the use of the fuzzy set theory to deal with social complexity has become more attractive as a research area to academics who wish to contribute to sustainable development. The socio-ecological systems are one of the well-known sub-disciplines of social science which is very critical issue to maintain sustainability and this concept basically concerns with the human-environment interactions. These systems involve various stakeholders with different levels of knowledge and experience from diverse social platforms. The basic characteristic of these systems is identified as having high level of uncertainty and incomplete information. The main purpose of this chapter is to demonstrate how to incorporate fuzzy sets theory into social sciences. In this chapter, an illustrative example which consists of a wide variety of social actors is used to evaluate sustainable management options utilizing the extended technique for order preference by similarity to ideal solution (TOPSIS) method for interval valued intuitionistic fuzzy multi-criteria group decision making.


Renewable & Sustainable Energy Reviews | 2018

An ANP and fuzzy TOPSIS-based SWOT analysis for Turkey’s energy planning

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Selim Zaim; Omer F. Demirel; Zeynep Aydın; Dursun Delen


Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences | 2016

Model Estimation of ARMA Using Genetic Algorithms: A Case Study of Forecasting Natural Gas Consumption☆

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Ömer Faruk Beyca; Selim Zaim


Renewable Energy | 2018

A multi-objective decision-making approach for sustainable energy investment planning

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Ramazan Evren; Dursun Delen


Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems | 2018

Improvement of grey prediction models and their usage for energy demand forecasting

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Bilal Ervural


Energy | 2018

A two-stage analytical approach to assess sustainable energy efficiency

Beyzanur Cayir Ervural; Selim Zaim; Dursun Delen

Collaboration


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Bilal Ervural

Istanbul Technical University

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Selim Zaim

Istanbul Technical University

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Cengiz Kahraman

Istanbul Technical University

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Özgür Kabak

Istanbul Technical University

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Didem Cinar

Istanbul Technical University

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Hazal Ünlüçay

Istanbul Technical University

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S. Ceren Öner

Istanbul Technical University

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Veysel Çoban

Istanbul Technical University

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