Bryan M. McCauley

Dose-Response Association of CD8+ Tumor-Infiltrating Lymphocytes and Survival Time in High-Grade Serous Ovarian Cancer.

Importance Cytotoxic CD8+ tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) participate in immune control of epithelial ovarian cancer; however, little is known about prognostic patterns of CD8+ TILs by histotype and in relation to other clinical factors. Objective To define the prognostic role of CD8+ TILs in epithelial ovarian cancer. Design, Setting, and Participants This was a multicenter observational, prospective survival cohort study of the Ovarian Tumor Tissue Analysis Consortium. More than 5500 patients, including 3196 with high-grade serous ovarian carcinomas (HGSOCs), were followed prospectively for over 24 650 person-years. Exposures Following immunohistochemical analysis, CD8+ TILs were identified within the epithelial components of tumor islets. Patients were grouped based on the estimated number of CD8+ TILs per high-powered field: negative (none), low (1-2), moderate (3-19), and high (≥20). CD8+ TILs in a subset of patients were also assessed in a quantitative, uncategorized manner, and the functional form of associations with survival was assessed using penalized B-splines. Main Outcomes and Measures Overall survival time. Results The final sample included 5577 women; mean age at diagnosis was 58.4 years (median, 58.2 years). Among the 5 major invasive histotypes, HGSOCs showed the most infiltration. CD8+ TILs in HGSOCs were significantly associated with longer overall survival; median survival was 2.8 years for patients with no CD8+ TILs and 3.0 years, 3.8 years, and 5.1 years for patients with low, moderate, or high levels of CD8+ TILs, respectively (P value for trend = 4.2 × 10−16). A survival benefit was also observed among women with endometrioid and mucinous carcinomas, but not for those with the other histotypes. Among HGSOCs, CD8+ TILs were favorable regardless of extent of residual disease following cytoreduction, known standard treatment, and germline BRCA1 pathogenic mutation, but were not prognostic for BRCA2 mutation carriers. Evaluation of uncategorized CD8+ TIL counts showed a near-log-linear functional form. Conclusions and Relevance This study demonstrates the histotype-specific nature of immune infiltration and provides definitive evidence for a dose-response relationship between CD8+ TILs and HGSOC survival. That the extent of infiltration is prognostic, not merely its presence or absence, suggests that understanding factors that drive infiltration will be the key to unraveling outcome heterogeneity in this cancer.

Low incidence of primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) in the first‐degree relatives of PBC probands after 8 years of follow‐up

Primary biliary cirrhosis (PBC) is characterized by chronic cholestasis and disease‐specific antimitochondrial antibodies (AMA). A high prevalence of AMAs in first‐degree relatives (FDRs) of PBC probands has been reported, although the natural history of such patients has not been described. We aimed to assess the risk of developing PBC in AMA+ FDRs of patients with PBC.

Identification of unique venous thromboembolism-susceptibility variants in African-Americans

To identify novel single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) associated with venous thromboembolism (VTE) in African-Americans (AAs), we performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of VTE in AAs using the Electronic Medical Records and Genomics (eMERGE) Network, comprised of seven sites each with DNA biobanks (total ~39,200 unique DNA samples) with genome-wide SNP data (imputed to 1000 Genomes Project cosmopolitan reference panel) and linked to electronic health records (EHRs). Using a validated EHR-driven phenotype extraction algorithm, we identified VTE cases and controls and tested for an association between each SNP and VTE using unconditional logistic regression, adjusted for age, sex, stroke, site-platform combination and sickle cell risk genotype. Among 393 AA VTE cases and 4,941 AA controls, three intragenic SNPs reached genome-wide significance: LEMD3 rs138916004 (OR=3.2; p=1.3E-08), LY86 rs3804476 (OR=1.8; p=2E-08) and LOC100130298 rs142143628 (OR=4.5; p=4.4E-08); all three SNPs validated using internal cross-validation, parametric bootstrap and meta-analysis methods. LEMD3 rs138916004 and LOC100130298 rs142143628 are only present in Africans (1000G data). LEMD3 showed a significant differential expression in both NCBI Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) and the Mayo Clinic gene expression data, LOC100130298 showed a significant differential expression only in the GEO expression data, and LY86 showed a significant differential expression only in the Mayo expression data. LEMD3 encodes for an antagonist of TGF-β-induced cell proliferation arrest. LY86 encodes for MD-1 which down-regulates the pro-inflammatory response to lipopolysaccharide; LY86 variation was previously associated with VTE in white women; LOC100130298 is a non-coding RNA gene with unknown regulatory activity in gene expression and epigenetics.

Variations in Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis Across the Age Spectrum.

Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) typically develops in middle‐age adults. Little is known about phenotypic differences when PSC is diagnosed at various ages. Therefore, we sought to compare the clinical characteristics of a large PSC cohort based on the age when PSC was diagnosed.

Identification of Genetic Interaction with Risk Factors Using a Time-To-Event Model

Background: Certain diseases can occur with and without a trigger. We use Venous Thromboembolism (VTE) as our example to identify genetic interaction with pregnancy in women with VTE during pre- or postpartum. Pregnancy is one of the major risk factors for VTE as it accounts for 10% of maternal deaths. Methods: We performed a whole genome association analysis using the Cox Proportional Hazard (CoxPH) model adjusted for covariates to identify genetic variants associated with the time-to-event of VTE related to pre- or postpartum during the childbearing age of 18–45 years using a case-only design in a cohort of women with VTE. Women with a VTE event after 45 years of age were censored and contributed only follow-up time. Results: We identified two intragenic single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) at genome-wide significance in the PURB gene located on chromosome 7, and two additional intragenic SNPs, one in the LINGO2 gene on chromosome 9 and one in RDXP2 on chromosome X. Conclusions: We showed that the time-to-event model is a useful approach for identifying potential hazard-modification of the genetic variants when the event of interest (VTE) occurs due to a risk factor (pre- or post-partum).

Analyses of germline variants associated with ovarian cancer survival identify functional candidates at the 1q22 and 19p12 outcome loci

We previously identified associations with ovarian cancer outcome at five genetic loci. To identify putatively causal genetic variants and target genes, we prioritized two ovarian outcome loci (1q22 and 19p12) for further study. Bioinformatic and functional genetic analyses indicated that MEF2D and ZNF100 are targets of candidate outcome variants at 1q22 and 19p12, respectively. At 19p12, the chromatin interaction of a putative regulatory element with the ZNF100 promoter region correlated with candidate outcome variants. At 1q22, putative regulatory elements enhanced MEF2D promoter activity and haplotypes containing candidate outcome variants modulated these effects. In a public dataset, MEF2D and ZNF100 expression were both associated with ovarian cancer progression-free or overall survival time. In an extended set of 6,162 epithelial ovarian cancer patients, we found that functional candidates at the 1q22 and 19p12 loci, as well as other regional variants, were nominally associated with patient outcome; however, no associations reached our threshold for statistical significance (p<1×10-5). Larger patient numbers will be needed to convincingly identify any true associations at these loci.We previously identified associations with ovarian cancer outcome at five genetic loci. To identify putatively causal genetic variants and target genes, we prioritized two ovarian outcome loci (1q22 and 19p12) for further study. Bioinformatic and functional genetic analyses indicated that MEF2D and ZNF100 are targets of candidate outcome variants at 1q22 and 19p12, respectively. At 19p12, the chromatin interaction of a putative regulatory element with the ZNF100 promoter region correlated with candidate outcome variants. At 1q22, putative regulatory elements enhanced MEF2D promoter activity and haplotypes containing candidate outcome variants modulated these effects. In a public dataset, MEF2D and ZNF100 expression were both associated with ovarian cancer progression-free or overall survival time. In an extended set of 6,162 epithelial ovarian cancer patients, we found that functional candidates at the 1q22 and 19p12 loci, as well as other regional variants, were nominally associated with patient outcome; however, no associations reached our threshold for statistical significance (p<1×10-5). Larger patient numbers will be needed to convincingly identify any true associations at these loci.

Kind and distribution of cutaneous sensation loss in hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis with polyneuropathy

OBJECTIVE Report on the kind and distribution of somatotopic sensation loss and its utility in assessing severity of sensation loss in study of a large international cohort of patients with hereditary transthyretin amyloidosis with polyneuropathy (hATTR-PN). METHODS Smart Somatotopic Quantitative Sensation Testing (S ST QSTing) using Computer Assisted Sensation Evaluator IVc (CASE IVc) was used to assess the somatotopic distribution of touch pressure (TP) and heat pain (HP) sensation loss twice of untreated hATTR-PN patients in the Ionis NEURO-TTR trial (www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT01737398). RESULTS Of the studied cohort of 169 patients, 163 (97%) had sensation loss, both TP and HP in 121/169 (75%), TP only in 39/169 (23%), and HP only in 3/169 (2%). Sensation loss typically affected both lower (152/169-90%) and upper limb (135/169-82%), and overall TP sensation loss was greater than HP loss, except for early-onset Val30Met patients in which HP exceeded TP loss. CONCLUSION Using S ST QSTing, a highly quantitated, standardized, referenced, and automated QSTing approach of the bodys surface distribution of sensation loss we have shown that: 1) reliable and useful measurement of the body surface distribution of sensation loss is possible; 2) this measure is abnormal in most patients with hATTR-PN and is an indication of polyneuropathy severity; and 3) cutaneous sensation loss involves both large and small sensory fibers in this disease but slightly more small fibers in early onset Val30Met patients.

External validation of the United Kingdom‐primary biliary cholangitis risk scores of patients with primary biliary cholangitis treated with ursodeoxycholic acid

The United Kingdom‐Primary Biliary Cholangitis (UK‐PBC) risk scores are a set of prognostic models that estimate the risk of end‐stage liver disease in patients with PBC at 5‐, 10‐ and 15‐year intervals. They have not been externally validated outside the United Kingdom. In this retrospective, external validation study, data were abstracted from outpatient charts and discrimination and calibration of the UK‐PBC risk scores were assessed. A total of 464 patients with PBC treated with ursodeoxycholic acid were included. The median diagnosis age was 52.4 years, and 88% were female patients. The cumulative incidence of events was 6%, 9%, and 15% at 5, 10, and 15 years, respectively. Concordance (c‐statistic) was 0.88, 0.85, and 0.84 using the 5‐, 10‐ and 15‐year risk scores, respectively, which was slightly lower than values observed in the United Kingdom validation cohort. Using the 5‐year risk score, more events were observed than predicted (25 versus 16.8; P = 0.046); using the 10‐year risk score, there was no difference between the observed and predicted number of events (35 versus 44.9; P = 0.14); conversely, using the 15‐year risk score, fewer events were observed than predicted (46 versus 67.5; P = 0.009). Limiting evaluation by the 15‐year UK‐PBC risk score to those with >10 years of follow‐up demonstrated no difference between observed and predicted events. Using the 5‐year risk score, patients within the highest quartile had statistically significant worse event‐free survival compared to the rest of the cohort: 82% versus 98% at 5 years, 73% versus 97% at 10 years, and 58% versus 93% at 15 years. Conclusion: In patients assessed at a North American tertiary medical center, the UK‐PBC risk score had excellent discrimination and was reasonably calibrated both in the short and long term. (Hepatology Communications 2018;2:676‐682)

Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis Risk Estimate Tool (PREsTo) Predicts Outcomes in PSC: A Derivation & Validation Study Using Machine Learning

Improved methods are needed to risk stratify and predict outcomes in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). Therefore, we sought to derive and validate a prediction model and compare its performance to existing surrogate markers. The model was derived using 509 subjects from a multicenter North American cohort and validated in an international multicenter cohort (n = 278). Gradient boosting, a machine‐based learning technique, was used to create the model. The endpoint was hepatic decompensation (ascites, variceal hemorrhage, or encephalopathy). Subjects with advanced PSC or cholangiocarcinoma (CCA) at baseline were excluded. The PSC risk estimate tool (PREsTo) consists of nine variables: bilirubin, albumin, serum alkaline phosphatase (SAP) times the upper limit of normal (ULN), platelets, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), hemoglobin, sodium, patient age, and number of years since PSC was diagnosed. Validation in an independent cohort confirms that PREsTo accurately predicts decompensation (C‐statistic, 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.84‐0.95) and performed well compared to Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (C‐statistic, 0.72; 95% CI, 0.57‐0.84), Mayo PSC risk score (C‐statistic, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.77‐0.92), and SAP <1.5 × ULN (C‐statistic, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.55‐0.73). PREsTo continued to be accurate among individuals with a bilirubin <2.0 mg/dL (C‐statistic, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.82‐0.96) and when the score was reapplied at a later course in the disease (C‐statistic, 0.82; 95% CI, 0.64‐0.95). Conclusion: PREsTo accurately predicts hepatic decompensation (HD) in PSC and exceeds the performance among other widely available, noninvasive prognostic scoring systems.