C. Di Maio

Relationships between rain and displacements of an active earthflow: a data-driven approach by EPRMOGA

Inclinometer and piezometer measurements have been carried out since 2005 in a slow active earthflow in a clay shale formation of the Italian Southern Apennines. Previous studies outlined the main geometrical and kinematic features of the landslide and the pore pressure response to rainfall. Displacement rates seem to depend on the hydrological conditions as suggested by their seasonal variations. The availability of long time series of data, in some periods recorded in continuum, allows the use of a data mining approach to evaluate the relations among displacement rates in different points of the landslide, and between displacement rates and rainfall. To define such relations, the evolutionary modelling technique EPRMOGA, based on a genetic algorithm, has been used in this paper. The results give a deeper insight into the landslide behaviour on the one hand and, on the other hand, show the reliability of the technique, also in building up management scenarios. In particular, the results show that the landslide displacement rates in different points of the slip surface, although characterized by different values, are linearly dependent and thus have the same time trend, supporting the hypothesis of a constant soil discharge mechanism of movement. Piezometric data in single points cannot be used, in the considered case, to forecast displacements. The obtained relations allow to quantify the displacement rate variations due to contemporary rainfall. The influence of past rainfall is shown to decrease exponentially with temporal distance. Furthermore, the EPRMOGA simulations seem to confirm that there are no other dominant causes, besides rainfall, responsible of displacement rate variations in time.

Electrical Resistivity Tomography and Geotechnical Techniques for the Stability Analysis of the Tricarico Landslide

An integrated approach based on the jointly application of high-resolution Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT) and geotechnical techniques has been applied to evaluate the stability analysis of an area located in Tricarico town, Southern Apennine chain (Basilicata, Italy). The subsurface geometry of the investigated area has been completely reconstructed by using 2D Electrical Resistivity Tomography (ERT). A well defined contact located at a depth of about 40 m between two different lithological formations was depicted. The results have been confirmed by the comparison with the data coming from boreholes driven in the area. The good agreement between the ERT and geotechnical data allowed us to extend the borehole data and to draw a 2D geotechnical model of the subsoil. The latter has been used to investigate the pore water pressure distribution inside the slope and to evaluate the stability of the investigated area. The paper clearly demonstrated the powerful ability of the ERT to reconstruct with accuracy the subsoil geometry, which is relevant for any geo-mechanical model. On the other side, it was quite evident the ambiguity and misjudgement connected with some geophysical interpretations carried out without a comparison with geotechnical data.