Caitlyn Marie Chiofolo

Development and validation of electronic surveillance tool for acute kidney injury: A retrospective analysis.

INTRODUCTION Timely detection of acute kidney injury (AKI) facilitates prevention of its progress and potentially therapeutic interventions. The study objective is to develop and validate an electronic surveillance tool (AKI sniffer) to detect AKI in 2 independent retrospective cohorts of intensive care unit (ICU) patients. The primary aim is to compare the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of AKI sniffer performance against a reference standard. METHODS This study is conducted in the ICUs of a tertiary care center. The derivation cohort study subjects were Olmsted County, MN, residents admitted to all Mayo Clinic ICUs from July 1, 2010, through December 31, 2010, and the validation cohort study subjects were all patients admitted to a Mayo Clinic, Rochester, campus medical/surgical ICU on January 12, 2010, through March 23, 2010. All included records were reviewed by 2 independent investigators who adjudicated AKI using the Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria; disagreements were resolved by a third reviewer. This constituted the reference standard. An electronic algorithm was developed; its precision and reliability were assessed in comparison with the reference standard in 2 separate cohorts, derivation and validation. RESULTS Of 1466 screened patients, a total of 944 patients were included in the study: 482 for derivation and 462 for validation. Compared with the reference standard in the validation cohort, the sensitivity and specificity of the AKI sniffer were 88% and 96%, respectively. The Cohen κ (95% confidence interval) agreement between the electronic and the reference standard was 0.84 (0.78-0.89) and 0.85 (0.80-0.90) in the derivation and validation cohorts. CONCLUSION Acute kidney injury can reliably and accurately be detected electronically in ICU patients. The presented method is applicable for both clinical (decision support) and research (enrollment for clinical trials) settings. Prospective validation is required.

Clinical Knowledge-Based Inference Model for Early Detection of Acute Lung Injury

Acute lung injury (ALI) is a devastating complication of acute illness and one of the leading causes of multiple organ failure and mortality in the intensive care unit (ICU). The detection of this syndrome is limited due to the complexity of the disease, insufficient understanding of its development and progression, and the large amount of risk factors and modifiers. In this preliminary study, we present a novel mathematical model for ALI detection. It is constructed based on clinical and research knowledge using three complementary techniques: rule-based fuzzy inference systems, Bayesian networks, and finite state machines. The model is developed in Matlab®’s Simulink environment and takes as input pre-ICU and ICU data feeds of critically ill patients. Results of the simulation model were validated against actual patient data from an epidemiologic study. By appropriately combining all three techniques the performance attained is in the range of 71.7–92.6% sensitivity and 60.3–78.4% specificity.