Carlo Merkel

Nutrition and survival in patients with liver cirrhosis

Although the effect of malnutrition on survival has been demonstrated by a number of studies, it is not clear whether malnutrition represents an independent risk factor in patients with liver disease. We studied 212 hospitalized patients with liver cirrhosis who were followed clinically for 2 y or until death. Body fat and muscle mass were evaluated by triceps skinfold thickness (TSF) and midarm muscle circumference (MAMC), respectively. Multivariate analysis according to Coxs model assessed the predictive power of nutritional parameters on survival. Thirty-four percent of patients had severe malnutrition as determined by MAMC and/or TSF below the 5th percentile and 20% had moderate malnutrition (MAMC and/or TSF < 10th percentile). Twenty-six percent of patients were overnourished (MAMC and/or TSF > 75th percentile). Severely and moderately malnourished patients had lower survival rates than normal and overnourished patients. When analyzed with Coxs regression analysis, severe depletion of muscle mass and body fat were found to be independent predictors of survival. The inclusion of MAMC and TSF in the Child-Pugh score, the prognostic score used most with liver disease, improved its prognostic accuracy. The prognostic power of MAMC was higher than that of TSF. These data demonstrate that malnutrition is an independent predictor of survival in patients with liver cirrhosis. The inclusion of anthropometric measures in the assessment of these patients might provide better prognostic information.

Incidence and natural history of small esophageal varices in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS The incidence and natural history of small esophageal varices (EV) in cirrhotics may influence the frequency of endoscopies and the decision to start a pharmacological treatment in these patients. METHODS We prospectively evaluated 206 cirrhotics, 113 without varices and 93 with small EV, during a mean follow-up of 37+/-22 months. Patients with previous gastrointestinal bleeding or receiving any treatment for portal hypertension were excluded. Endoscopy was performed every 12 months. RESULTS The rate of incidence of EV was 5% (95%CI: 0.8-8.2%) at 1 year and 28% (21.0-35.0%) at 3 years. The rate of EV progression was 12% (5.6-18.4%) at 1 year and 31% (21.2-40.8%) at 3 years. Post-alcoholic origin of cirrhosis, Child-Pughs class (B or C) and the finding of red wale marks at first examination were predictors for the variceal progression. The two-years risk of bleeding from EV was higher in patients with small varices upon enrollment than in those without varices: 12% (95% CI: 5.2-18.8%) vs. 2% (0.1-4.1%); (P<0.01). Predictor for bleeding was the presence of red wale marks at first endoscopy. CONCLUSIONS In patients with no or small EV, endoscopy surveillance should be planned taking into account cause and degree of liver dysfunction.

Prevalence and prognostic value of quantified electroencephalogram (EEG) alterations in cirrhotic patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS The electroencephalogram (EEG) is frequently altered in cirrhotic patients. We, therefore, performed a study to ascertain the features and the prognosis of cirrhotic patients without current overt hepatic encephalopathy (OHE) who have EEG alterations. METHODS A series of 296 consecutive cirrhotic patients who had undergone quantified-EEG was studied. The median follow-up was 442 days, 128 patients had bouts of OHE and 78 patients died from liver-related causes. Another group of 124 cirrhotic patients with a median follow-up of 223 days was examined to validate the prognostic model. RESULTS EEG alterations were detected in 38% of the patients. The prevalence of EEG alterations was associated with the severity of cirrhosis (class B: odds ratio (OR) = 2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.2-4.7; class C: OR = 3.5, 95% CI = 1.6-7.7), but not with the aetiology (alcoholic vs. non-alcoholic: OR = 0.9; 95% CI = 0.5-1.5). The EEG predicted the occurrence of OHE (chi2 = 26; P < 0.001) and mortality (chi2 = 34; P < 0.001), also adjusting for Child-Pugh class by a multivariate analysis. In the patients with a Child-Pugh score of > or = 8, the EEG discriminated between those patients with a higher 1-year risk of OHE (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.3, 95% CI = 1.8-6.1) and death (HR = 3.1, 95% CI = 1.7-5.6). CONCLUSIONS In conclusion, quantified-EEG had a prognostic value for the occurrence of bouts of OHE and mortality in cirrhotic patients.

Prognostic Usefulness of Hepatic Vein Catheterization in Patients With Cirrhosis and Esophageal Varices

Clinical and anamnestic data, Pugh score, and size of esophageal varices were obtained in 129 cirrhotics. Hepatic vein catheterization was performed to measure hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), indocyanine green (ICG) intrinsic hepatic clearance, and hepatic plasma flow. During a follow-up period of up to 60 months, 44 patients experienced gastrointestinal bleeding and 54 died. Applying Cox regression analysis, ICG intrinsic hepatic clearance, Pugh score, previous variceal bleeding, and HVPG were the only significant prognostic determinants of survival. In addition, Coxs regression analysis showed that HVPG, Pugh score, size of varices, and previous variceal bleeding all contained significant prognostic information regarding risk of gastrointestinal bleeding. The models were validated using a split-sample technique, and prognostic indexes for death and gastrointestinal bleeding were calculated. The prognostic index predicting death had significantly improved prognostic accuracy over a prognostic index calculated excluding the data obtained from hepatic vein catheterization (P less than 0.05). In conclusion, prognostic accuracy in cirrhosis with portal hypertension is significantly improved by information obtained from hepatic vein catheterization.

Hepatic arterial resistance in cirrhosis with and without portal vein thrombosis: Relationships with portal hemodynamics☆

BACKGROUND/AIMS Little information is available on hepatic arterial hemodynamics in cirrhosis because of the invasiveness of methods. Hepatic arterial resistance indexes were evaluated noninvasively by Doppler ultrasonography and were correlated with portal hemodynamics evaluated both noninvasively and invasively. METHODS Hepatic arterial resistance indexes, portal blood flow velocity and volume, and portal vein congestion index were evaluated in 31 controls and 171 cirrhotic patients with (n = 13) or without (n = 158) portal vein thrombosis. Resistance to portal blood flow was also calculated in 15 patients from hepatic venous pressure gradient, measured by hepatic vein catheterization, and portal blood flow. RESULTS Resistance indexes were significantly higher in cirrhotics without portal thrombosis than in controls (pulsatility index, 1.30 +/- 0.29 vs. 0.89 +/- 0.09; P < 0.001; resistive index, 0.71 +/- 0.07 vs. 0.59 +/- 0.04; P < 0.001). In patients with portal thrombosis, the pulsatility index (1.86 +/- 0.39) and resistive index (0.81 +/- 0.06) were significantly higher than in controls (P < 0.001) and in patients without thrombosis (P < 0.001). Resistance indexes directly correlated with portal resistance (P < 0.01), the congestion index (P < 0.01), and the degree of esophageal varices (P < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS Hepatic arterial resistance indexes increase in cirrhosis, particularly with portal vein thrombosis. The pathophysiology of the increase in hepatic arterial resistance seems to be parallel to that of portal resistance.

Randomised trial of nadolol alone or with isosorbide mononitrate for primary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding in cirrhosis

BACKGROUND The risk of having a first cirrhosis-associated variceal bleed is lowered by about 50% by beta-blockers. Use of beta-blockers is currently recommended for patients with cirrhosis and oesophageal varices that are at risk of bleeding. We aimed to test the effectiveness of isosorbide mononitrate as an adjunct to the beta-blocker nadolol in the prophylaxis of first variceal bleeding in these patients. METHODS We did a randomised multicentre study to compare the non-selective beta-blocker, nadolol, with nadolol plus isosorbide mononitrate in 146 relatively well (Child-Pugh score < or = 11) patients who had oesophageal varices at risk of bleeding. Patients on nadolol alone received a single oral 40 mg daily dose. Every second day the dose was titrated to achieve 20-25% decrease in resting heart rate (maximum dose 160 mg daily). Patients receiving both drugs received nadolol as above then isosorbide mononitrate was added starting with 10 mg orally twice daily, which was increased to 20 mg unless hypotension or severe headache occurred. The main endpoint was the occurrence of variceal bleeding of any severity. Patients were followed up for up to 40 months. FINDINGS During the study period 11 of 74 patients from the nadolol alone group and four of 72 from the nadolol plus isosorbide mononitrate group had variceal bleeding (log-rank test p = 0.03). Cumulative risk of variceal bleeding was 18% in the nadolol group and 7.5% in the combined treatment group (95% CI for difference 1-25%). Two patients in each group had a non-variceal bleed related to portal hypertension. 14 patients from the nadolol only group and eight from the combined treatment group died during the study period (log-rank test p = 0.09). Four and eight patients, respectively, had to discontinue one of the drugs because of side-effects. INTERPRETATION Nadolol plus isosorbide mononitrate is significantly more effective than nadolol alone in the primary prophylaxis of variceal bleeding in relatively well patients with cirrhosis, and has few side-effects.

Role of spleen enlargement in cirrhosis with portal hypertension

The possible relationships between splenomegaly and portal hypertension have been analysed in patients with cirrhosis. In this condition, splenomegaly is not only caused by portal congestion, but it is mainly due to tissue hyperplasia and fibrosis. The increase in spleen size is followed by an increase in splenic blood flow, which participates in portal hypertension actively congesting the portal system.

Left Ventricular Diastolic Function in Liver Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND Left ventricular systolic abnormalities have been reported in liver cirrhosis (LC). Diastolic function in cirrhotics, on the contrary, does not seem to have been studied so far. METHODS Diastolic function was evaluated in 42 cirrhotic patients and in 16 controls by means of Doppler echocardiography. RESULTS Compared with the controls, cirrhotics had increased left ventricular end-diastolic and left atrial volume, stroke volume, late diastolic flow velocity (peak A) (71 + or - 17 cm/sec versus 56 +/- 18; p <0.01), time from onset of mitral inflow to the early peak (time E) (86 + or - 11 msec versus 72 +/- 14; p < 0.003), and deceleration time (DT) (194 +/- 40 msec versus 159 +/- 27; p < 0.001) and decreased ratio of peak E to peak A filling velocities (1.02 +/ - 0.35 versus 1.22 +/- 0.25; p < 0.02). Patients with tense ascites had a higher E/A ratio (p < 0.03) and a shorter DT (p < 0.03) than patients with mild or no ascites. CONCLUSIONS The impaired left ventricular relaxation in the presence of high stroke volume suggests a myocardial involvement in LC. The pseudo normalization of the E/A ratio and DT in patients with tense ascites could reflect loading conditions masking the relaxation abnormality.

Interobserver and interequipment variability of hepatic, splenic, and renal arterial Doppler resistance indices in normal subjects and patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND/AIMS Doppler arterial resistance indices are used to evaluate alterations in arterial hemodynamics in the liver, spleen, and kidney. The purpose of this study was to determine the interobserver and interequipment variability of hepatic, splenic, and renal arterial Doppler resistance indices, and the influence of a cooperative training program of the operators on the reproducibility of the results. METHODS In the first part of the study, hepatic (PI-L, RI-L), splenic (PI-S, RI-S), and renal (PI-K, RI-K) pulsatility and resistive indices were measured by echo-color-Doppler in eight control subjects and ten patients with cirrhosis by three operators using three different machines. In the second part of the study, measurements were taken by the three operators in nine controls and nine patients with cirrhosis, after cooperative training, with a single machine. RESULTS Significant interobserver variability was present for all parameters except RI-L. Significant interequipment variability was present for all parameters except PI-S and RI-S. Only 0-3% of variance was equipment- or operator-related, while 58-72% was patient-related. Hepatic and renal coefficients of variation were similar in patients with cirrhosis and controls, while splenic coefficients of variation were higher in patients with cirrhosis than in controls. After training, differences among operators disappeared for all variables except RI-K, and the operator-related component of variance nearly disappeared for all parameters. CONCLUSIONS Hepatic, splenic, and renal arterial resistance indices show small but significant interobserver and interequipment variability. Interobserver variability can be decreased to non-significant levels by a common training program. Thus, these indices can be widely applied to the study of arterial circulation in these organs.

Prognostic indicators of risk for first variceal bleeding in cirrhosis: a multicenter study in 711 patients to validate and improve the North Italian Endoscopic Club (NIEC) index

OBJECTIVE:The best known indicator of risk for first bleeding in patients with cirrhosis without previous bleeding is the index devised by the North Italian Endoscopic Club for the Study and Treatment of Esophageal Varices (NIEC index), which results from the combination of size of esophageal varices, severity of red wale marks, and Child-Pugh class. Its efficiency is far from optimal, and validation studies have reported sensitivities and specificities markedly lower than those reported in the original study. In the present study we analyzed the efficiency of NIEC index in a large series of cirrhotic patients with varices without previous bleeding. In addition, we tried to improve the effectiveness of the index by modifying it, and to validate the modifications in an independent group of patients.METHODS:A total of 627 patients were enrolled and followed until either a variceal bleeding or for a maximum of 2 yr. During this time, 117 experienced a first variceal bleeding.RESULTS:Using Coxs regression analysis, size of varices, severity of red wale marks, and Child-Pugh score were significant and independent predictors of first bleeding, as already noted in the original report of the NIEC group. However, coefficients and standard errors were markedly different, and the importance of size of esophageal varices in the regression was much larger, whereas that of Child-Pugh score was much lower. According to these data, a revised index was developed (Rev-NIEC). Using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, the revised index showed a larger efficiency, and the area under the curve was significantly larger (0.80 ± 0.02 vs 0.74 ± 0.02; p < 0.01). In particular, the curve showed that for a specificity of 75%, the new index had a sensitivity of 72% compared to that of 55% of the NIEC index. Validation in an independent sample of 84 patients showed good agreement between predicted and observed risk for bleeding. Validation with the bootstrap technique also showed adequate stability of the results.CONCLUSIONS:The revised index seems to be superior to the traditional index, and may turn out to be more useful in the selection of patients for different therapeutic procedures and in the stratification of patients in clinical trials.