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Dive into the research topics where Carlos A. Molina is active.

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Featured researches published by Carlos A. Molina.


The New England Journal of Medicine | 2013

Endovascular Therapy after Intravenous t-PA versus t-PA Alone for Stroke

Joseph P. Broderick; Yuko Y. Palesch; Andrew M. Demchuk; Sharon D. Yeatts; Pooja Khatri; Michael D. Hill; Edward C. Jauch; Tudor G. Jovin; Bernard Yan; Frank L. Silver; Rüdiger von Kummer; Carlos A. Molina; Bart M. Demaerschalk; Ronald F. Budzik; Wayne M. Clark; Osama O. Zaidat; Tim W. Malisch; Mayank Goyal; Wouter J. Schonewille; Mikael Mazighi; Stefan T. Engelter; Craig S. Anderson; Judith Spilker; Janice Carrozzella; Karla J. Ryckborst; L. Scott Janis; Renee Martin; Lydia D. Foster; Thomas A. Tomsick

BACKGROUND Endovascular therapy is increasingly used after the administration of intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA) for patients with moderate-to-severe acute ischemic stroke, but whether a combined approach is more effective than intravenous t-PA alone is uncertain. METHODS We randomly assigned eligible patients who had received intravenous t-PA within 3 hours after symptom onset to receive additional endovascular therapy or intravenous t-PA alone, in a 2:1 ratio. The primary outcome measure was a modified Rankin scale score of 2 or less (indicating functional independence) at 90 days (scores range from 0 to 6, with higher scores indicating greater disability). RESULTS The study was stopped early because of futility after 656 participants had undergone randomization (434 patients to endovascular therapy and 222 to intravenous t-PA alone). The proportion of participants with a modified Rankin score of 2 or less at 90 days did not differ significantly according to treatment (40.8% with endovascular therapy and 38.7% with intravenous t-PA; absolute adjusted difference, 1.5 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -6.1 to 9.1, with adjustment for the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale [NIHSS] score [8-19, indicating moderately severe stroke, or ≥20, indicating severe stroke]), nor were there significant differences for the predefined subgroups of patients with an NIHSS score of 20 or higher (6.8 percentage points; 95% CI, -4.4 to 18.1) and those with a score of 19 or lower (-1.0 percentage point; 95% CI, -10.8 to 8.8). Findings in the endovascular-therapy and intravenous t-PA groups were similar for mortality at 90 days (19.1% and 21.6%, respectively; P=0.52) and the proportion of patients with symptomatic intracerebral hemorrhage within 30 hours after initiation of t-PA (6.2% and 5.9%, respectively; P=0.83). CONCLUSIONS The trial showed similar safety outcomes and no significant difference in functional independence with endovascular therapy after intravenous t-PA, as compared with intravenous t-PA alone. (Funded by the National Institutes of Health and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00359424.).


Stroke | 2007

Site of Arterial Occlusion Identified by Transcranial Doppler Predicts the Response to Intravenous Thrombolysis for Stroke

Maher Saqqur; Ken Uchino; Andrew M. Demchuk; Carlos A. Molina; Zsolt Garami; Sergio Calleja; Naveed Akhtar; Finton O. Orouk; Abdul Salam; Ashfaq Shuaib; Andrei V. Alexandrov; for Clotbust Investigators

Background and Purpose— The objective of this study was to examine clinical outcomes and recanalization rates in a multicenter cohort of stroke patients receiving intravenous tissue plasminogen activator by site of occlusion localized with bedside transcranial Doppler. Angiographic studies with intraarterial thrombolysis suggest more proximal occlusions carry greater thrombus burden and benefit less from local therapy. Methods— Using validated transcranial Doppler criteria for specific arterial occlusion (Thrombolysis in Brain Ischemia flow grades), we compared the rate of dramatic recovery (National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤2 at 24 hours) and favorable outcomes at 3 months (modified Rankin Scale ≤1) for each occlusion site. We determined the likelihood of recanalization at various occlusion sites and its predictors. Then, stepwise logistic regression was used to determine predictors of complete recanalization. Results— Three hundred thirty-five patients had a mean age 69±13 years and 48.5% were women (median baseline National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score 16 [range, 3 to 32], mean time to transcranial Doppler 140±84 minutes, and mean time to intravenous tissue plasminogen activator 145±68 minutes). Distal middle cerebral artery occlusion had an OR of 2 for complete recanalization (50 of 113 [44.2%], 95% CI: 1.1 to 3.1, P=0.005), proximal middle cerebral artery 0.7 (49 of 163 [30%], 95% CI: 0.4 to 1.1, P=0.13), terminal internal carotid artery 0.1 (one of 17 [5.9%], 95% CI: 0.015 to 0.8, P=0.015), tandem cervical internal carotid artery/middle cerebral artery 0.7 (6 of 22 [27%], 95% CI: 0.3 to 1.9, P=0.5), and basilar artery 0.96 (3 of 10 [30%], 95% CI: 0.2 to 4, P=0.9). Prerecombinant tissue plasminogen activator National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score, systolic blood pressure, glucose, and Thrombolysis in Brain Ischemia flow grade at the occlusion site were the negative independent predictors for complete recanalization in the final model. There were no associations among time to treatment, stroke mechanisms, or recanalization rate. Patients with no flow (Thrombolysis in Brain Ischemia 0) at the occlusion site had less probability of complete recanalization than patients with dampened flow (Thrombolysis in Brain Ischemia 3) (ORadj: 0.256, 95% CI: 0.11 to 0.595, P=0.002). Continuous transcranial Doppler monitoring (exposure to ultrasound) was a positive predictor for complete recanalization (ORadj: 3.02, 95% CI: 1.396 to 6.514, P=0.005). National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale score ≤2 at 24 hours was achieved in 66 of 305 patients (22%): distal middle cerebral artery 33% (35 of 107), tandem cervical internal carotid artery/middle cerebral artery 24% (5 of 21), proximal middle cerebral artery 16% (24 of 155), basilar artery 25% (2 of 8), and none of the patients with terminal internal carotid artery had dramatic recovery (0%, n=14; P=0.003). Modified Rankin Scale score ≤1 was achieved in 90 of 260 patients (35%): distal middle cerebral artery 52% (50 of 96), proximal middle cerebral artery 25% (33 of 131), tandem cervical internal carotid artery/middle cerebral artery 21% (3 of 14), terminal internal carotid artery 18% (2 of 11), and basilar artery 25% (2 of 8) (P<0.001). Patients with distal middle cerebral artery occlusion were twice as likely to have a good long-term outcome as patients with proximal middle cerebral artery (OR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.1 to 4, P=0.025). Conclusions— Clinical response to thrombolysis is influenced by the site of occlusion. Patients with no detectable residual flow signals as well as those with terminal internal carotid artery occlusions are least likely to respond early or long term.


The Journal of Neuroscience | 2007

Synchronization of Neural Activity across Cortical Areas Correlates with Conscious Perception

Lucia Melloni; Carlos A. Molina; Marcela Peña; David Torres; Wolf Singer; Eugenio Rodriguez

Subliminal stimuli can be deeply processed and activate similar brain areas as consciously perceived stimuli. This raises the question which signatures of neural activity critically differentiate conscious from unconscious processing. Transient synchronization of neural activity has been proposed as a neural correlate of conscious perception. Here we test this proposal by comparing the electrophysiological responses related to the processing of visible and invisible words in a delayed matching to sample task. Both perceived and nonperceived words caused a similar increase of local (gamma) oscillations in the EEG, but only perceived words induced a transient long-distance synchronization of gamma oscillations across widely separated regions of the brain. After this transient period of temporal coordination, the electrographic signatures of conscious and unconscious processes continue to diverge. Only words reported as perceived induced (1) enhanced theta oscillations over frontal regions during the maintenance interval, (2) an increase of the P300 component of the event-related potential, and (3) an increase in power and phase synchrony of gamma oscillations before the anticipated presentation of the test word. We propose that the critical process mediating the access to conscious perception is the early transient global increase of phase synchrony of oscillatory activity in the gamma frequency range.


Circulation | 2003

Matrix Metalloproteinase-9 Pretreatment Level Predicts Intracranial Hemorrhagic Complications After Thrombolysis in Human Stroke

Joan Montaner; Carlos A. Molina; Jasone Monasterio; Sònia Abilleira; Juan F. Arenillas; Marc Ribo; Manolo Quintana; José Alvarez-Sabín

Background—Matrix metalloproteinase (MMP) expression is related to blood brain barrier disruption after cerebral ischemia. Moreover, MMP inhibitors reduce hemorrhagic transformation (HT) after embolic ischemia in tissue plasminogen activator (t-PA)–treated animals. We aimed to correlate plasmatic MMP levels with the appearance of intracranial bleeding complications in stroke patients treated with t-PA. Methods and Results—Serial MMP-2 and MMP-9 determinations were performed (ELISA, ng/mL) in 41 strokes involving the middle cerebral artery territory in patients who received t-PA within 3 hours of stroke onset. Blood samples were obtained at baseline (pretreatment) and at 12 and 24 hours after symptom onset. Hemorrhagic events were classified according to CT criteria (petechial hemorrhagic infarctions [HI, 1 to 2] and large parenchymal hemorrhages [PH, 1 to 2]). Brain CT scan was obtained at 48 hours or when a neurological worsening occurred. HT was present in 36.5% of the patients (24.4% HI and 12.1% PH). MMP-2 values were unrelated to any subtype of HT. The highest baseline MMP-9 level (normal range <97 ng/mL) corresponded to patients who later developed a PH (PH: 270.2±87.8, non-HT: 126.3±127.5, HI: 94.6±88.7;P =0.047). A graded response was found between mean baseline MMP-9 levels and the degree of bleeding (HI-1=37.4; HI-2=111.0; PH-1=202.5; PH-2=337.8). Baseline MMP-9 was the most powerful predictor of PH appearance in the multiple logistic regression model (OR= 9.62; CI 1.31 to 70.26;P =0.025). Conclusions—Baseline MMP-9 level predicts PH appearance after t-PA treatment. Therefore, we suggest that MMP determination may increase the safety profile for thrombolysis and, in the future, anti-MMP drugs might be combined with t-PA to prevent hemorrhagic complications.


Stroke | 2006

Microbubble Administration Accelerates Clot Lysis During Continuous 2-MHz Ultrasound Monitoring in Stroke Patients Treated With Intravenous Tissue Plasminogen Activator

Carlos A. Molina; Marc Ribo; Marta Rubiera; Joan Montaner; Esteban Santamarina; Raquel Delgado-Mederos; Juan F. Arenillas; Rafael Huertas; Francisco Purroy; Pilar Delgado; José Alvarez-Sabín

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE We sought to evaluate the effects of administration of microbubbles (MBs) on the beginning, speed, and degree of middle cerebral artery (MCA) recanalization during systemic thrombolysis and continuous 2-MHz pulsed-wave transcranial Doppler (TCD) monitoring. METHODS We evaluated 111 patients with acute stroke attributable to MCA occlusion treated with intravenous tissue plasminogen activator (tPA). Thirty-eight patients were treated with tPA plus continuous 2-hour TCD monitoring plus 3 doses of 2.5 g (400 mg/mL) of galactose-based MBs given at 2, 20, and 40 minutes after tPA bolus (MB group). These patients were compared with 73 patients who were allocated to receive tPA plus continuous 2-hour TCD ultrasound (US) monitoring (tPA/US group) or tPA plus placebo monitoring (tPA group), most of whom were enrolled in a previous study of US-enhanced thrombolysis. The beginning, degree, and time to maximum completeness of recanalization during the first 2 hours of tPA bolus were recorded. RESULTS Median prebolus National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) score was 18. Eighty patients (72%) had a proximal and 31 (28%) a distal MCA occlusion on TCD. Thirty-seven patients (33%) received tPA/US, 38 (34%) received tPA/US/MB, and 36 (32%) were treated with tPA alone. Stroke severity, time to treatment, location of MCA occlusion, and presence of carotid artery disease were similar among groups. Two-hour recanalization was seen in 14 (39%), 25 (68%), and 27 patients (71%) in the tPA, tPA/US, and tPA/US/MB groups, respectively (P=0.004). Two-hour complete recanalization rate was significantly (P=0.038) higher in the tPA/US/MB group (54.5%) compared with tPA/US (40.8%) and tPA (23.9%) groups. The time to beginning of recanalization after tPA bolus was 26+/-18 minutes in the tPA/US group and 19+/-12 minutes in the tPA/US/MB group (P=0.12). Four patients (3.6%) experienced symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage: 2 (5.5%), 1 (2.7%), and 1 patient (2.6%) who received tPA only, tPA/US, and tPA/US/MB, respectively, experienced symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. At 24 hours, 31%, 41%, and 55% of tPA, tPA/US, and tPA/US/MB improved >4 points in the NIHSS score. CONCLUSIONS Administration of MBs induces further acceleration of US-enhanced thrombolysis in acute stroke, leading to a more complete recanalization and to a trend toward better short- and long-term outcome.


JAMA | 2016

Time to Treatment With Endovascular Thrombectomy and Outcomes From Ischemic Stroke: A Meta-analysis

Jeffrey L. Saver; Mayank Goyal; Aad van der Lugt; Bijoy K. Menon; Charles B. L. M. Majoie; Diederik W.J. Dippel; Bruce C.V. Campbell; Raul G. Nogueira; Andrew M. Demchuk; Alejandro Tomasello; Pere Cardona; Thomas Devlin; Donald Frei; Richard du Mesnil de Rochemont; Olvert A. Berkhemer; Tudor G. Jovin; Adnan H. Siddiqui; Wim H. van Zwam; Stephen M. Davis; Carlos Castaño; Biggya Sapkota; Puck S.S. Fransen; Carlos A. Molina; Robert J. van Oostenbrugge; Ángel Chamorro; Hester F. Lingsma; Frank L. Silver; Geoffrey A. Donnan; Ashfaq Shuaib; Scott Brown

IMPORTANCE Endovascular thrombectomy with second-generation devices is beneficial for patients with ischemic stroke due to intracranial large-vessel occlusions. Delineation of the association of treatment time with outcomes would help to guide implementation. OBJECTIVE To characterize the period in which endovascular thrombectomy is associated with benefit, and the extent to which treatment delay is related to functional outcomes, mortality, and symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PATIENTS Demographic, clinical, and brain imaging data as well as functional and radiologic outcomes were pooled from randomized phase 3 trials involving stent retrievers or other second-generation devices in a peer-reviewed publication (by July 1, 2016). The identified 5 trials enrolled patients at 89 international sites. EXPOSURES Endovascular thrombectomy plus medical therapy vs medical therapy alone; time to treatment. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES The primary outcome was degree of disability (mRS range, 0-6; lower scores indicating less disability) at 3 months, analyzed with the common odds ratio (cOR) to detect ordinal shift in the distribution of disability over the range of the mRS; secondary outcomes included functional independence at 3 months, mortality by 3 months, and symptomatic hemorrhagic transformation. RESULTS Among all 1287 patients (endovascular thrombectomy + medical therapy [n = 634]; medical therapy alone [n = 653]) enrolled in the 5 trials (mean age, 66.5 years [SD, 13.1]; women, 47.0%), time from symptom onset to randomization was 196 minutes (IQR, 142 to 267). Among the endovascular group, symptom onset to arterial puncture was 238 minutes (IQR, 180 to 302) and symptom onset to reperfusion was 286 minutes (IQR, 215 to 363). At 90 days, the mean mRS score was 2.9 (95% CI, 2.7 to 3.1) in the endovascular group and 3.6 (95% CI, 3.5 to 3.8) in the medical therapy group. The odds of better disability outcomes at 90 days (mRS scale distribution) with the endovascular group declined with longer time from symptom onset to arterial puncture: cOR at 3 hours, 2.79 (95% CI, 1.96 to 3.98), absolute risk difference (ARD) for lower disability scores, 39.2%; cOR at 6 hours, 1.98 (95% CI, 1.30 to 3.00), ARD, 30.2%; cOR at 8 hours,1.57 (95% CI, 0.86 to 2.88), ARD, 15.7%; retaining statistical significance through 7 hours and 18 minutes. Among 390 patients who achieved substantial reperfusion with endovascular thrombectomy, each 1-hour delay to reperfusion was associated with a less favorable degree of disability (cOR, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.76 to 0.93]; ARD, -6.7%) and less functional independence (OR, 0.81 [95% CI, 0.71 to 0.92], ARD, -5.2% [95% CI, -8.3% to -2.1%]), but no change in mortality (OR, 1.12 [95% CI, 0.93 to 1.34]; ARD, 1.5% [95% CI, -0.9% to 4.2%]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE In this individual patient data meta-analysis of patients with large-vessel ischemic stroke, earlier treatment with endovascular thrombectomy + medical therapy compared with medical therapy alone was associated with lower degrees of disability at 3 months. Benefit became nonsignificant after 7.3 hours.


Lancet Neurology | 2009

Treatment and outcomes of acute basilar artery occlusion in the Basilar Artery International Cooperation Study (BASICS): a prospective registry study.

Wouter J. Schonewille; Christine A.C. Wijman; Patrik Michel; Christina Rueckert; Christian Weimar; Heinrich P. Mattle; Stefan T. Engelter; David Tanne; Keith W. Muir; Carlos A. Molina; Vincent Thijs; Heinrich J. Audebert; Thomas Pfefferkorn; Kristina Szabo; Perttu J. Lindsberg; Gabriel R. de Freitas; L. Jaap Kappelle; Ale Algra

BACKGROUND Treatment strategies for acute basilar artery occlusion (BAO) are based on case series and data that have been extrapolated from stroke intervention trials in other cerebrovascular territories, and information on the efficacy of different treatments in unselected patients with BAO is scarce. We therefore assessed outcomes and differences in treatment response after BAO. METHODS The Basilar Artery International Cooperation Study (BASICS) is a prospective, observational registry of consecutive patients who presented with an acute symptomatic and radiologically confirmed BAO between November 1, 2002, and October 1, 2007. Stroke severity at time of treatment was dichotomised as severe (coma, locked-in state, or tetraplegia) or mild to moderate (any deficit that was less than severe). Outcome was assessed at 1 month. Poor outcome was defined as a modified Rankin scale score of 4 or 5, or death. Patients were divided into three groups according to the treatment they received: antithrombotic treatment only (AT), which comprised antiplatelet drugs or systemic anticoagulation; primary intravenous thrombolysis (IVT), including subsequent intra-arterial thrombolysis; or intra-arterial therapy (IAT), which comprised thrombolysis, mechanical thrombectomy, stenting, or a combination of these approaches. Risk ratios (RR) for treatment effects were adjusted for age, the severity of neurological deficits at the time of treatment, time to treatment, prodromal minor stroke, location of the occlusion, and diabetes. FINDINGS 619 patients were entered in the registry. 27 patients were excluded from the analyses because they did not receive AT, IVT, or IAT, and all had a poor outcome. Of the 592 patients who were analysed, 183 were treated with only AT, 121 with IVT, and 288 with IAT. Overall, 402 (68%) of the analysed patients had a poor outcome. No statistically significant superiority was found for any treatment strategy. Compared with outcome after AT, patients with a mild-to-moderate deficit (n=245) had about the same risk of poor outcome after IVT (adjusted RR 0.94, 95% CI 0.60-1.45) or after IAT (adjusted RR 1.29, 0.97-1.72) but had a worse outcome after IAT compared with IVT (adjusted RR 1.49, 1.00-2.23). Compared with AT, patients with a severe deficit (n=347) had a lower risk of poor outcome after IVT (adjusted RR 0.88, 0.76-1.01) or IAT (adjusted RR 0.94, 0.86-1.02), whereas outcomes were similar after treatment with IAT or IVT (adjusted RR 1.06, 0.91-1.22). INTERPRETATION Most patients in the BASICS registry received IAT. Our results do not support unequivocal superiority of IAT over IVT, and the efficacy of IAT versus IVT in patients with an acute BAO needs to be assessed in a randomised controlled trial. FUNDING Department of Neurology, University Medical Center Utrecht.


Stroke | 2006

Increased Brain Expression of Matrix Metalloproteinase-9 After Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Human Stroke

Anna Rosell; Arantxa Ortega-Aznar; José Alvarez-Sabín; Israel Fernandez-Cadenas; Marc Ribo; Carlos A. Molina; Eng H. Lo; Joan Montaner

Background and Purpose— Abnormal expression of some matrix metalloproteinases (MMP) has shown to play a deleterious role in brain injury in experimental models of cerebral ischemia. We aimed to investigate MMP-2 (gelatinase A) and MMP-9 (gelatinase B) in brain parenchyma in both ischemic and hemorrhagic strokes. Methods— Postmortem fresh brain tissue from 6 ischemic and 8 hemorrhagic stroke patients was obtained within the first 6 hours after death. Finally, 78 brain tissue samples from different areas (infarct, peri-infarct, perihematoma and contralateral hemisphere) were studied. To quantify gelatinase content we performed gelatin zymograms that were confirmed by Western Blot Analysis, immunohistochemistry to localize MMP source, and in situ zymography to detect gelatinase activity. Results— Among ischemic cases, gelatin zymography showed increased MMP-9 content in infarct core although peri-infarct tissue presented also higher levels than contralateral hemisphere (P<0.0001 and P=0.042, respectively). Within infarct core, MMP-9 was mainly located around blood vessels, associated to neutrophil infiltration and activated microglial cells. In peri-infarct areas the major source of MMP-9 were microglial cells. Tissue around intracranial hemorrhage also displayed higher MMP-9 levels than contralateral hemisphere (P=0.008) in close relationship with glial cells. MMP-2 was constitutively expressed and remained invariable in different brain areas. Conclusions— Our results demonstrate in situ higher levels of MMP-9 in human brain tissue after ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, suggesting a contribution of MMP-9 to ischemic brain injury and perihematoma edema.


Stroke | 2001

Matrix Metalloproteinase Expression After Human Cardioembolic Stroke Temporal Profile and Relation to Neurological Impairment

Joan Montaner; José Alvarez-Sabín; Carlos A. Molina; Ana María Angles; Sònia Abilleira; Juan F. Arenillas; Miguel Angel González; Jasone Monasterio

Background and Purpose— Uncontrolled expression of matrix metalloproteinases (MMPs) can result in tissue injury and inflammation. In animal models of cerebral ischemia, the expression of MMP-2 and MMP-9 was significantly increased. However, their role in human stroke in vivo remains unknown. Therefore, we sought to determine the temporal profile of MMP expression in patients with acute ischemic stroke and to investigate its relationship to stroke severity, location of arterial occlusion, and total infarct volume. Methods— Serial MMP-2 and MMP-9 determinations were made in 39 patients with cardioembolic strokes that involved the middle cerebral artery territory by means of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. Blood samples, transcranial Doppler recordings, and National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores were obtained at baseline and at 12, 24, and 48 hours after stroke onset. Infarct volume was measured with CT scanning at 48 hours. Results— No correlation was found between MMP-2 and NIHSS score at any time point, although a close relation appeared between mean MMP-9 and final NIHSS score (r =0.486, P =0.002). MMP-9 value was the only factor associated with the final NIHSS score in the multiple logistic regression model (OR 4.54, 95% CI 1.5 to 13.75). A cut-point of MMP-9 142.18 ng/mL had a positive predictive value of 94.4% to assess a patient’s NIHSS (<8 or ≥8) by the end of the study. Final MMP-2 and MMP-9 levels were significantly lower when recanalization occurred (528±144.3 versus 681.4±239.2 ng/mL, P =0.031 for MMP-2; 110.2±100.9 versus 244.8±130 ng/mL, P =0.004 for MMP-9). A positive correlation was found between mean MMP-9 and infarct volume (r =0.385, P =0.022). Conclusions— MMPs are involved in the acute phase of human ischemic stroke. MMP-9 levels are associated with neurological deficit, middle cerebral artery occlusion, and infarct volume.


Lancet Neurology | 2012

Prediction of haematoma growth and outcome in patients with intracerebral haemorrhage using the CT-angiography spot sign (PREDICT): a prospective observational study

Andrew M. Demchuk; Dar Dowlatshahi; David Rodriguez-Luna; Carlos A. Molina; Yolanda Silva Blas; Imanuel Dzialowski; Adam Kobayashi; Jean-Martin Boulanger; Cheemun Lum; Gord Gubitz; Vasantha Padma; Jayanta Roy; Carlos S. Kase; Jayme C. Kosior; Rohit Bhatia; Sarah Tymchuk; Suresh Subramaniam; David J. Gladstone; Michael D. Hill; Richard I. Aviv

BACKGROUND In patients with intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH), early haemorrhage expansion affects clinical outcome. Haemostatic treatment reduces haematoma expansion, but fails to improve clinical outcomes in many patients. Proper selection of patients at high risk for haematoma expansion seems crucial to improve outcomes. In this study, we aimed to prospectively validate the CT-angiography (CTA) spot sign for prediction of haematoma expansion. METHODS PREDICT (predicting haematoma growth and outcome in intracerebral haemorrhage using contrast bolus CT) was a multicentre prospective observational cohort study. We recruited patients aged 18 years or older, with ICH smaller than 100 mL, and presenting at less than 6 h from symptom onset. Using two independent core laboratories, one neuroradiologist determined CTA spot-sign status, whereas another neurologist masked for clinical outcomes and imaging measured haematoma volumes by computerised planimetry. The primary outcome was haematoma expansion defined as absolute growth greater than 6 mL or a relative growth of more than 33% from initial CT to follow-up CT. We reported data using standard descriptive statistics stratified by the CTA spot sign. Mortality was assessed with Kaplan-Meier survival analysis. FINDINGS We enrolled 268 patients. Median time from symptom onset to baseline CT was 135 min (range 22-470), and time from onset to CTA was 159 min (32-475). 81 (30%) patients were spot-sign positive. The primary analysis included 228 patients, who had a follow-up CT before surgery or death. Median baseline ICH volume was 19·9 mL (1·5-80·9) in spot-sign-positive patients versus 10·0 mL (0·1-102·7) in spot-sign negative patients (p<0·001). Median ICH expansion was 8·6 mL (-9·3 to 121·7) for spot-sign positive patients and 0·4 mL (-11·7 to 98·3) for spot-negative patients (p<0·001). In those with haematoma expansion, the positive predictive value for the spot sign was61% (95% CI 47–73) for the positive predictive value and 78% (71–84) for the negative predictive value, with 51% (39–63) sensitivity and 85% (78–90) specificity[corrected]. Median 3-month modified Rankin Scale (mRS) was 5 in CTA spot-sign-positive patients, and 3 in spot-sign-negative patients (p<0·001). Mortality at 3 months was 43·4% (23 of 53) in CTA spot-sign positive versus 19·6% (31 of 158) in CTA spot-sign-negative patients (HR 2·4, 95% CI 1·4-4·0, p=0·002). INTERPRETATION These findings confirm previous single-centre studies showing that the CTA spot sign is a predictor of haematoma expansion. The spot sign is recommended as an entry criterion for future trials of haemostatic therapy in patients with acute ICH. FUNDING Canadian Stroke Consortium and NovoNordisk Canada.

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Marc Ribo

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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José Alvarez-Sabín

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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Joan Montaner

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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Marta Rubiera

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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Jorge Pagola

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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David Rodriguez-Luna

Ottawa Hospital Research Institute

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Pilar Delgado

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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Alan Flores

Autonomous University of Barcelona

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