Chan-Yu Lin

Acute kidney injury classification: comparison of AKIN and RIFLE criteria.

The Acute Kidney Injury Network (AKIN) group has recently proposed modifications to the risk of renal failure, injury to kidney, failure of kidney function, loss of kidney function, and end-stage renal failure (RIFLE) classification system. The few studies that have compared the two classifications have revealed no substantial differences. This study aimed to compare the AKIN and RIFLE classifications for predicting outcome in critically ill patients. This retrospective study investigated the medical records of 291 critically ill patients who were treated in medical intensive care units of a tertiary care hospital between March 2003 and February 2006. This study compared performance of the RIFLE and AKIN criteria for diagnosing and classifying AKI and for predicting hospital mortality. Overall mortality rate was 60.8% (177/291). Increased mortality was progressive and significant (chi-square for trend; P < 0.001) based on the severity of AKIN and RIFLE classification. Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test results demonstrated good fit in both systems. The AKIN and RIFLE scoring systems displayed good areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (0.720 ± 0.030, P = 0.001; 0.738 ± 0.030, P = 0.001, respectively). Compared with RIFLE criteria, this study indicated that AKIN classification does not improve the sensitivity and ability of outcome prediction in critically ill patients.

RIFLE CLASSIFICATION FOR PREDICTING IN-HOSPITAL MORTALITY IN CRITICALLY ILL SEPSIS PATIENTS

Severe sepsis and septic shock, often complicated by acute kidney injury (AKI), are the most common causes of mortality in noncoronary intensive care units (ICUs). This study investigates the outcomes of critically ill patients with sepsis and elucidates the association between prognosis and risk of renal failure, injury to the kidney, failure of kidney function, loss of kidney function, and end-stage renal failure (RIFLE) classification. A total of 121 sepsis patients were admitted to ICU from June 2003 to January 2004. Forty-seven demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were prospectively recorded for post hoc analysis as predictors of survival on the first day of ICU admission. Overall in-hospital mortality rate was 47.9%. Mortality was significantly associated (chi-square for trend; P < 0.001) with RIFLE classification. Septic shock, RIFLE category, and number of organ system failures on the first day of ICU admission were independent predictors of hospital mortality according to forward conditional logistic regression. The severity of RIFLE classification correlated with organ system failure number and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II to IV and sequential organ failure assessment scores. Cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up after hospital discharge significantly (P < 0.05) differed between non-AKI versus RIFLE injury, non-AKI versus RIFLE failure (RIFLE-F), and RIFLE risk versus RIFLE F. At 6-month follow-up, full recovery of renal function was noted in 85% of surviving patients with AKI (RIFLE risk, RIFLE injury, and RIFLE-F). In conclusion, these findings are consistent with a role for RIFLE classification in accurately predicting in-hospital mortality and short-term prognosis in ICU sepsis patients.

Serum Sodium Predicts Prognosis in Critically Ill Cirrhotic Patients

Background End-stage liver disease is often complicated by hyponatremia. Cirrhotic patients with hyponatremia admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) have high mortality rates. This study analyzed the outcomes of critically ill cirrhotic patients and identified the prognostic value of serum sodium concentration. Methods One hundred twenty-six consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted to the ICU of a tertiary center during a 1.5-year period were enrolled in this study. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables on the first day of ICU admission were prospectively recorded for post hoc analysis. Results Overall hospital mortality was 65.1%. Comparing with serum sodium >135 mmol/L, patients with serum sodium ≤135 mmol/L had a greater frequency of ascites, illness severity scores, hepatic encephalopathy, sepsis, renal failure, and in-hospital mortality (55.9% vs. 73.1%, P=0.043). Multiple Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that serum sodium levels, hepatocellular carcinoma, and sequential organ failure assessment scores on the first day of ICU admission were independent risk factors for 6-month mortality. Cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up after hospital discharge differed significantly (P<0.05) between patients with serum sodium >135 mmol/L versus those with serum sodium ≤135 mmol/L. Conclusions Low serum sodium levels in critically ill cirrhotic patients are associated with high complications of liver cirrhosis, in-hospital mortality, and poor short-term prognosis. The serum sodium concentration is important predictor of survival among candidates for liver transplantation. Future research with sequential application of serum sodium may reflect the dynamic aspects of clinical conditions, thus providing complete data for mortality risk.

Outcome predictors and new score of critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute renal failure

BACKGROUND End-stage liver disease is often complicated by renal function disturbances. Cirrhotic patients with acute renal failure admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) have high mortality rates. This work seeks to identify specific predictors of hospital mortality in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute renal failure. METHODS A total of 111 patients with cirrhosis and acute renal failure were admitted to ICU from March 2003 to February 2005. Twenty-six demographic, clinical and laboratory variables were prospectively gathered as predictors of survival on the first day of ICU admission. RESULTS The overall hospital mortality rate was 81.1%. The univariate analysis identified 11 of the 32 variables as prognostically valuable. The multiple logistic regression analysis (excluding five scoring systems) indicates that the mean arterial pressure (MAP), serum bilirubin, respiratory failure and sepsis on the first day in ICU are significantly related to prognosis. The best Youden index (sensitivity + specificity - 1) yields cutoff points of 80 MAP (in mmHg) and 80 serum bilirubin (in micromol/L) (or 4.7 mg/dL) and indicates acute respiratory failure and sepsis. A simple model for mortality is developed on the basis of these four readily available parameters on Day 1 of ICU admission. The new score (MBRS score: MAP + bilirubin + respiratory failure + sepsis) displays an excellent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.898 +/- 0.031, P < 0.001). The mortality rate exceeds 90% when the MBRS (MAP + bilirubin + respiratory failure + sepsis) score is 2 or higher. CONCLUSION The MBRS score is a straightforward, reproducible and easily adopted evaluative tool with good prognostic abilities, which generates objective data for patient families and physicians and supplements a clinical judgment of prognosis.

Scoring short-term mortality after liver transplantation.

Liver transplantation can prolong survival and improve the quality of life of patients with end‐stage liver disease. This study retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 149 patients who had received liver transplants in a tertiary care university hospital from January 2000 to December 2007. Demographic, clinical, and laboratory variables were recorded. Each patient was assessed by 4 scoring systems before transplantation and on postoperative days 1, 3, 7, and 14. The overall 1‐year survival rate was 77.9%. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score had better discriminatory power than the Child‐Pugh points, Model for End‐Stage Liver Disease score, and RIFLE (risk of renal dysfunction, injury to the kidney, failure of the kidney, loss of kidney function, and end‐stage kidney disease) criteria. Moreover, the SOFA score on day 7 post–liver transplant had the best Youden index and highest overall correctness of prediction for 3‐month (0.86, 93%) and 1‐year mortality (0.62, 81%). Cumulative survival rates at the 1‐year follow‐up after liver transplantation differed significantly (P < 0.001) between patients who had SOFA scores ≤ 7 on post–liver transplant day 7 and those who had SOFA scores > 7 on post–liver transplant day 7. In conclusion, of the 4 evaluated scoring systems, only the SOFA scores calculated before liver transplantation were statistically significant predictors of 3‐month and 1‐year posttransplant mortality. SOFA on post–liver transplant day 7 had the best discriminative power for predicting 3‐month and 1‐year mortality after liver transplantation. Liver Transpl 16:138–146, 2010.

OUTCOME SCORING SYSTEMS FOR ACUTE RESPIRATORY DISTRESS SYNDROME

Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is commonly diagnosed in intensive care units (ICUs), often in association with acute kidney injury. In this study, we compared the predictive value of outcome scoring systems: Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE IV), earlier APACHE models, Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA), the Risk of renal failure, Injury to the kidney, Failure of kidney function, Loss of kidney function, and End-stage renal failure (RIFLE) classification, and Acute Lung Injury score in critically ill patients with ARDS. We retrospectively abstracted data from the medical records of 135 critically ill ARDS patients in two medical ICUs of a tertiary care hospital from December 1999 to June 2006. Overall mortality rate was 65% (88/135). Forward conditional logistic regression identified APACHE IV, alveolar-arterial O2 tension difference, age, sepsis, and maximum RIFLE (RIFLEmax) score on ICU days 1 and 3 to be independent predictors of hospital mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for the APACHE IV score revealed good fit (Hosmer and Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test results) and discriminative power (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.792 ± 0.038; P < 0.001). The cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up after hospital discharge were significantly (P < 0.001) different among ARDS patients with APACHE IV mortality rate 35% or less and APACHE IV mortality rate higher than 35%. The APACHE IV score and RIFLEmax score are predictors of hospital mortality in ARDS patients, with APACHE IV demonstrating desirable properties of prognostic accuracy.

The RIFLE Score Increases the Accuracy of Outcome Prediction in Patients with Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome Undergoing Open Lung Biopsy

Background: Acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is a common diagnosis in intensive care units (ICUs) and is frequently correlated with acute kidney injury (AKI). Objectives: To investigate the outcomes of critically ill patients with ARDS and to shed light on the association between prognosis and risk of renal failure, injury to kidney, failure of kidney function, loss of kidney function and end-stage renal failure (RIFLE) classification. Methods: This retrospective study investigated the medical records of 60 critically ill patients with ARDS who underwent open lung biopsy (OLB) in 2 medical intensive care units of a tertiary care hospital from December 1999 to May 2005. Results: The overall mortality rate was 55% (33/60). The increase in mortality was progressive and significant (χ2 for trend, p < 0.001) with increasing severity of the RIFLE classification. The Glasgow coma scale, alveolar-arterial O2 tension difference and maximum RIFLE (RIFLEmax) score for days 1 and 3 in the ICU and on the day of OLB were independent predictors of hospital mortality by forward conditional logistic regression. Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test results demonstrate that RIFLEmax has a good fit. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and RIFLEmax score indicate good discriminative power (AUROC 0.750 ± 0.063, p = 0.001). Cumulative survival rates at the 6-month follow-up following hospital discharge differed significantly (p < 0.05) for non-AKI versus RIFLEmax-risk, RIFLEmax-injury and RIFLEmax-failure patients. Conclusion: In patients with ARDS undergoing OLB, the use of the RIFLE score improves prediction of outcome.

Serum interleukin-18 at commencement of renal replacement therapy predicts short-term prognosis in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury.

Background Acute kidney injury (AKI) requiring renal replacement therapy (RRT) in critically ill patients results in a high hospital mortality. Outcome prediction in this selected high-risk collective is challenging due to the lack of appropriate biomarkers. The aim of this study was to identify outcome-specific biomarkers in this patient population. Methodology/Principal Findings Serum samples were collected from 101 critically ill patients with AKI at the initiation of RRT in intensive care units (ICUs) of a tertiary care university hospital between August 2008 and March 2011. Measurements of serum levels of cystatin C (CysC), neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin, and interleukin-18 (IL-18) were performed. The primary outcome measure was hospital mortality. The observed overall mortality rate was 56.4% (57/101). Multiple logistic regression analysis indicated that the serum IL-18 and CysC concentrations and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III (ACPACHE III) scores determined on the first day of RRT were independent predictors of hospital mortality. The APACHE III score had the best discriminatory power (0.872±0.041, p<0.001), whereas serum IL-18 had the best Youden index (0.65) and the highest correctness of prediction (83%). Cumulative survival rates at 6-month follow-up following hospital discharge differed significantly (p<0.001) for serum IL-18 <1786 pg/ml vs. ≥1786 pg/ml in these critically ill patients. Conclusions In this study, we confirmed the grave prognosis for critically ill patients at the commencement of RRT and found a strong correlation between serum IL-18 and the hospital mortality of ICU patients with dialysis-dependent AKI. In addition, we demonstrated that the APACHE III score has the best discriminative power for predicting hospital mortality in these critically ill patients.

Urinary Biomarkers Improve the Diagnosis of Intrinsic Acute Kidney Injury in Coronary Care Units

AbstractAcute kidney injury (AKI) is associated with increased morbidity and mortality and is frequently encountered in coronary care units (CCUs). Its clinical presentation differs considerably from that of prerenal or intrinsic AKI. We used the biomarkers calprotectin and neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) and compared their utility in predicting and differentiating intrinsic AKI.This was a prospective observational study conducted in a CCU of a tertiary care university hospital. Patients who exhibited any comorbidity and a kidney stressor were enrolled. Urinary samples of the enrolled patients collected between September 2012 and August 2013 were tested for calprotectin and NGAL. The definition of AKI was based on Kidney Disease Improving Global Outcomes classification. All prospective demographic, clinical, and laboratory data were evaluated as predictors of AKI.A total of 147 adult patients with a mean age of 67 years were investigated. AKI was diagnosed in 71 (50.3%) patients, whereas intrinsic AKI was diagnosed in 43 (60.5%) of them. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed urinary calprotectin and serum albumin as independent risk factors for intrinsic AKI. For predicting intrinsic AKI, both urinary NGAL and calprotectin displayed excellent areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) (0.918 and 0.946, respectively). A combination of these markers revealed an AUROC of 0.946.Our result revealed that calprotectin and NGAL had considerable discriminative powers for predicting intrinsic AKI in CCU patients. Accordingly, careful inspection for medication, choice of therapy, and early intervention in patients exhibiting increased biomarker levels might improve the outcomes of kidney injury.

High-Sensitivity C-Reactive Protein Predicts Mortality and Technique Failure in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients

Introduction An elevated level of serum C-reactive protein (CRP) is widely considered an indicator of an underlying inflammatory disease and a long-term prognostic predictor for dialysis patients. This cross-sectional cohort study was designed to assess the correlation between the level of high-sensitivity CRP (HS-CRP) and the outcome of peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Methods A total of 402 patients were stratified into 3 tertiles (lower, middle, upper) according to serum HS-CRP level and and followed up from October 2009 to September 2011. During follow-up, cardiovascular events, infection episodes, technique failure, and mortality rate were recorded. Results During the 24-month follow-up, 119 of 402 patients (29.6%) dropped out from PD, including 28 patients (7.0%) who died, 81 patients (20.1%) who switched to hemodialysis, and 10 patients (2.5%) who underwent kidney transplantation. The results of Kaplan–Meier analysis and log-rank test demonstrated a significant difference in the cumulative patient survival rate across the 3 tertiles (the lowest rate in upper tertile). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, only higher HS-CRP level, older age, the presence of diabetes mellitus (DM), lower serum albumin level, and the occurrence of cardiovascular events during follow-up were identified as independent predictors of mortality. Every 1 mg/L increase in HS-CRP level was independently predictive of a 1.4% increase in mortality. Multivariate Cox regression analysis also showed that higher HS-CRP level, the presence of DM, lower hemoglobin level, lower serum albumin level, higher dialysate/plasma creatinine ratio, and the occurrence of infective episodes and cardiovascular events during follow-up were independent predictors of technique failure. Conclusions The present study shows the importance of HS-CRP in the prediction of 2-year mortality and technique survival in PD patients independent of age, diabetes, hypoalbuminemia, and the occurrence of cardiovascular events.