Charles Jenkins

Safe storage and effective monitoring of CO2 in depleted gas fields

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is vital to reduce CO2 emissions to the atmosphere, potentially providing 20% of the needed reductions in global emissions. Research and demonstration projects are important to increase scientific understanding of CCS, and making processes and results widely available helps to reduce public concerns, which may otherwise block this technology. The Otway Project has provided verification of the underlying science of CO2 storage in a depleted gas field, and shows that the support of all stakeholders can be earned and retained. Quantitative verification of long-term storage has been demonstrated. A direct measurement of storage efficiency has been made, confirming that CO2 storage in depleted gas fields can be safe and effective, and that these structures could store globally significant amounts of CO2.

Atmospheric tomography: a bayesian inversion technique for determining the rate and location of fugitive emissions

A Bayesian inversion technique to determine the location and strength of trace gas emissions from a point source in open air is presented. It was tested using atmospheric measurements of N(2)O and CO(2) released at known rates from a source located within an array of eight evenly spaced sampling points on a 20-m radius circle. The analysis requires knowledge of concentration enhancement downwind of the source and the normalized, three-dimensional distribution (shape) of concentration in the dispersion plume. The influence of varying background concentrations of ∼1% for N(2)O and ∼10% for CO(2) was removed by subtracting upwind concentrations from those downwind of the source to yield only concentration enhancements. Continuous measurements of turbulent wind and temperature statistics were used to model the dispersion plume. The analysis localized the source to within 0.8 m of the true position and the emission rates were determined to better than 3% accuracy. This technique will be useful in assurance monitoring for geological storage of CO(2) and for applications requiring knowledge of the location and rate of fugitive emissions.

Locating and quantifying greenhouse gas emissions at a geological CO2 storage site using atmospheric modeling and measurements

The Cooperative Research Centre for Greenhouse Gas Technologies (CO2CRC) Otway Project is Australias first demonstration of the geological storage of carbon dioxide (CO2), where about 65,000 metric tons of fluid consisting of 92% CO2 and 8% methane (CH4) by mass have been injected underground. As part of the project objective of developing methodologies to detect, locate, and quantify potential leakage of the stored fluid into the atmosphere, we formulate an inverse atmospheric model based on a Bayesian probabilistic framework coupled to a state-of-the-art backward Lagrangian particle dispersion model. A Markov chain Monte Carlo method is used for efficiently sampling the posterior probability distribution of the source parameters. Controlled experiments used to test the model involved releases of the injected fluid from one of the nearby wells and were staggered over 1 month. Atmospheric measurements of CO2 and CH4 concentrations were taken at two stations installed in an upwind-downwind configuration. Modeling both the emission rate and the source location using the concentration measurements from only two stations is difficult, but the fact that the emission rate was constant, which is not an unrealistic scenario for potential geological leakage, allows us to compute both parameters. The modeled source parameters compare reasonably well with the actual values, with the CH4 tracer constraining the source better than CO2, largely as a result of its 6 times higher signal-to-noise ratio. The results lend confidence in the ability of atmospheric techniques to quantify potential leakage from CO2 storage as well as other source types.