Chenjuan Guo

Travel cost inference from sparse, spatio temporally correlated time series using Markov models

The monitoring of a system can yield a set of measurements that can be modeled as a collection of time series. These time series are often sparse, due to missing measurements, and spatiotemporally correlated, meaning that spatially close time series exhibit temporal correlation. The analysis of such time series offers insight into the underlying system and enables prediction of system behavior. While the techniques presented in the paper apply more generally, we consider the case of transportation systems and aim to predict travel cost from GPS tracking data from probe vehicles. Specifically, each road segment has an associated travel-cost time series, which is derived from GPS data. We use spatio-temporal hidden Markov models (STHMM) to model correlations among different traffic time series. We provide algorithms that are able to learn the parameters of an STHMM while contending with the sparsity, spatio-temporal correlation, and heterogeneity of the time series. Using the resulting STHMM, near future travel costs in the transportation network, e.g., travel time or greenhouse gas emissions, can be inferred, enabling a variety of routing services, e.g., eco-routing. Empirical studies with a substantial GPS data set offer insight into the design properties of the proposed framework and algorithms, demonstrating the effectiveness and efficiency of travel cost inferencing.

Stochastic skyline route planning under time-varying uncertainty

Different uses of a road network call for the consideration of different travel costs: in route planning, travel time and distance are typically considered, and green house gas (GHG) emissions are increasingly being considered. Further, travel costs such as travel time and GHG emissions are time-dependent and uncertain. To support such uses, we propose techniques that enable the construction of a multi-cost, time-dependent, uncertain graph (MTUG) model of a road network based on GPS data from vehicles that traversed the road network. Based on the MTUG, we define stochastic skyline routes that consider multiple costs and time-dependent uncertainty, and we propose efficient algorithms to retrieve stochastic skyline routes for a given source-destination pair and a start time. Empirical studies with three road networks in Denmark and a substantial GPS data set offer insight into the design properties of the MTUG and the efficiency of the stochastic skyline routing algorithms.

EcoMark: evaluating models of vehicular environmental impact

The reduction of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from transportation is essential for achieving politically agreed upon emissions reduction targets that aim to combat global climate change. So-called eco-routing and eco-driving are able to substantially reduce GHG emissions caused by vehicular transportation. To enable these, it is necessary to be able to reliably quantify the emissions of vehicles as they travel in a spatial network. Thus, a number of models have been proposed that aim to quantify the emissions of a vehicle based on GPS data from the vehicle and a 3D model of the spatial network the vehicle travels in. We develop an evaluation framework, called EcoMark, for such environmental impact models. In addition, we survey all eleven state-of-the-art impact models known to us. To gain insight into the capabilities of the models and to understand the effectiveness of the EcoMark, we apply the framework to all models.

EcoMark 2.0: empowering eco-routing with vehicular environmental models and actual vehicle fuel consumption data

Eco-routing is a simple yet effective approach to substantially reducing the environmental impact, e.g., fuel consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, of vehicular transportation. Eco-routing relies on the ability to reliably quantify the environmental impact of vehicles as they travel in a spatial network. The procedure of quantifying such vehicular impact for road segments of a spatial network is called eco-weight assignment. EcoMark 2.0 proposes a general framework for eco-weight assignment to enable eco-routing. It studies the abilities of six instantaneous and five aggregated models to estimating vehicular environmental impact. In doing so, it utilizes travel information derived from GPS trajectories (i.e., velocities and accelerations) and actual fuel consumption data obtained from vehicles. The framework covers analyses of actual fuel consumption, impact model calibration, and experiments for assessing the utility of the impact models in assigning eco-weights. The application of EcoMark 2.0 indicates that the instantaneous model EMIT and the aggregated model SIDRA-Running are suitable for assigning eco-weights under varying circumstances. In contrast, other instantaneous models should not be used for assigning eco-weights, and other aggregated models can be used for assigning eco-weights under certain circumstances.

Toward personalized, context-aware routing

A driver’s choice of a route to a destination may depend on the route’s length and travel time, but a multitude of other, possibly hard-to-formalize aspects, may also factor into the driver’s decision. There is evidence that a driver’s choice of route is context dependent, e.g., varies across time, and that route choice also varies from driver to driver. In contrast, conventional routing services support little in the way of context dependence, and they deliver the same routes to all drivers. We study how to identify context-aware driving preferences for individual drivers from historical trajectories, and thus how to provide foundations for personalized navigation, but also professional driver education and traffic planning. We provide techniques that are able to capture time-dependent and uncertain properties of dynamic travel costs, such as travel time and fuel consumption, from trajectories, and we provide techniques capable of capturing the driving behaviors of different drivers in terms of multiple dynamic travel costs. Further, we propose techniques that are able to identify a driver’s contexts and then to identify driving preferences for each context using historical trajectories from the driver. Empirical studies with a large trajectory data set offer insight into the design properties of the proposed techniques and suggest that they are effective.

EcoSky: Reducing vehicular environmental impact through eco-routing

Reduction in greenhouse gas emissions from transportation attracts increasing interest from governments, fleet managers, and individual drivers. Eco-routing, which enables drivers to use eco-friendly routes, is a simple and effective approach to reducing emissions from transportation. We present EcoSky, a system that annotates edges of a road network with time dependent and uncertain eco-weights using GPS data and that supports different types of eco-routing. Basic eco-routing returns the most eco-friendly routes; skyline eco-routing takes into account not only fuel consumption but also travel time and distance when computing eco-routes; and personalized eco-routing considers each drivers past behavior and accordingly suggests different routes to different drivers.

Towards Total Traffic Awareness

A combination of factors render the transportation sector a highly desirable area for data management research. The transportation sector receives substantial investments and is of high societal interest across the globe. Since there is limited room for new roads, smarter use of the existing infrastructure is of essence. The combination of the continued proliferation of sensors and mobile devices with the drive towards open data will result in rapidly increasing volumes of data becoming available. The data management community is well positioned to contribute to building a smarter transportation infrastructure. We believe that efficient management and effective analysis of big transportation data will enable us to extract transportation knowledge, which will bring significant and diverse benefits to society. We describe the data, present key challenges related to the extraction of thorough, timely, and trustworthy traffic knowledge to achieve total traffic awareness, and we outline services that may be enabled. It is thus our hope that the paper will inspire data management researchers to address some of the many challenges in the transportation area.

Path cost distribution estimation using trajectory data

With the growing volumes of vehicle trajectory data, it becomes increasingly possible to capture time-varying and uncertain travel costs in a road network, including travel time and fuel consumption. The current paradigm represents a road network as a weighted graph; it blasts trajectories into small fragments that fit the under-lying edges to assign weights to edges; and it then applies a routing algorithm to the resulting graph. We propose a new paradigm, the hybrid graph, that targets more accurate and more efficient path cost distribution estimation. The new paradigm avoids blasting trajectories into small fragments and instead assigns weights to paths rather than simply to the edges. We show how to compute path weights using trajectory data while taking into account the travel cost dependencies among the edges in the paths. Given a departure time and a query path, we show how to select an optimal set of weights with associated paths that cover the query path and such that the weights enable the most accurate joint cost distribution estimation for the query path. The cost distribution of the query path is then computed accurately using the joint distribution. Finally, we show how the resulting method for computing cost distributions of paths can be integrated into existing routing algorithms. Empirical studies with substantial trajectory data from two different cities offer insight into the design properties of the proposed method and confirm that the method is effective in real-world settings.

Risk-aware path selection with time-varying, uncertain travel costs: a time series approach

We address the problem of choosing the best paths among a set of candidate paths between the same origin–destination pair. This functionality is used extensively when constructing origin–destination matrices in logistics and flex transportation. Because the cost of a path, e.g., travel time, varies over time and is uncertain, there is generally no single best path. We partition time into intervals and represent the cost of a path during an interval as a random variable, resulting in an uncertain time series for each path. When facing uncertainties, users generally have different risk preferences, e.g., risk-loving or risk-averse, and thus prefer different paths. We develop techniques that, for each time interval, are able to find paths with non-dominated lowest costs while taking the users’ risk preferences into account. We represent risk by means of utility function categories and show how the use of first-order and two kinds of second-order stochastic dominance relationships among random variables makes it possible to find all paths with non-dominated lowest costs. We report on empirical studies with large uncertain time series collections derived from a 2-year GPS data set. The study offers insight into the performance of the proposed techniques, and it indicates that the best techniques combine to offer an efficient and robust solution.

Finding Frequently Visited Indoor POIs Using Symbolic Indoor Tracking Data

Indoor tracking data is being amassed due to the deployment of indoor positioning technologies. Analysing such data discloses useful insights that are otherwise hard to obtain. For example, by studying tracking data from an airport, we can identify the shops and restaurants that are most popular among passengers. In this paper, we study two query types for finding frequently visited Points of Interest (POIs) from symbolic indoor tracking data. The snapshot query finds those POIs that were most frequently visited at a given time point, whereas the interval query finds such POIs for a given time interval. A typical example of symbolic tracking is RFID-based tracking, where an object with an RFID tag is detected by an RFID reader when the object is in the reader’s detection range. A symbolic indoor tracking system deploys a limited number of proximity detection devices, like RFID readers, at preselected locations, covering only part of the host indoor space. Consequently, symbolic tracking data is inherently uncertain and only enables the discrete capture of the trajectories of indoor moving objects in terms of coarse regions. We provide uncertainty analyses of the data in relation to the two kinds of queries. The outcomes of the analyses enable us to design processing algorithms for both query types. An experimental evaluation with both real and synthetic data suggests that the framework and algorithms enable efficient and scalable query processing.