Ching Kit Chen

Classic-Pattern Dyssynchrony and Electrical Activation Delays in Pediatric Dilated Cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND Progressive heart failure leading to transplantation or death is common in pediatric dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), and treatment options are limited. Select children with DCM have improved after cardiac resynchronization therapy (CRT), but predicting response is challenging. Nonetheless, considering the frequency of death or transplantation in this population, identifying any candidate would be valuable. Classic-pattern dyssynchrony (CPD) identifies mechanical dyssynchrony patterns consistent with underlying electrical activation delays and strongly predicts CRT response in adult DCM but has not been evaluated in pediatric DCM. The aim of this study was to test the hypothesis that CPD is present in a subgroup of patients with pediatric DCM and is associated with activation delays. METHODS Fifty-nine subjects with pediatric DCM (left ventricular end-diastolic diameter Z score > 2 and left ventricular ejection fraction < 40%) who underwent echocardiography with a functional protocol with apical images optimized for two-dimensional speckle-tracking strain analysis (EchoPAC) were retrospectively analyzed for CPD. Electrocardiograms were evaluated for activation delays (prolonged QRS duration and strict criteria for left bundle branch block [LBBB]). Forty control subjects with no cardiac disease and good imaging widows were also analyzed. RESULTS The mean age was 5.4 years (range, 1 day to 20 years); idiopathic DCM was most common (57%). Severe cardiomyopathy was present in 75% (end-diastolic diameter Z score > 4.6 and left ventricular ejection fraction < 32%). CPD was identified in seven subjects (12%), and prolonged QRS durations were present in 13 (22%), but only two subjects met strict criteria for LBBB. Six of seven subjects in the CPD group had prolonged QRS durations, and two of seven had LBBB. No control subjects had CPD. The CPD analysis was highly feasible and reproducible. CONCLUSIONS In this severely affected cohort, the small CPD subgroup is potentially important because their progressive disease may respond to CRT. CPD is associated with activation delays, although not necessarily strict LBBB. This has important potential implications for prospective evaluation of CRT in this disease.

Prelisting predictions of early postoperative survival in infant heart transplantation using classification and regression tree analysis

Infants listed for heart transplantation experience high waitlist and early post‐transplant mortality, and thus, optimal allocation of scarce donor organs is required. Unfortunately, the creation and validation of multivariable regression models to identify risk factors and generate individual‐level predictions are challenging. We sought to explore the use of data mining methods to generate a prediction model. CART analysis was used to create a model which, at the time of listing, would predict which infants listed for heart transplantation would survive at least 3 months post‐transplantation. A total of 48 infants were included; 13 died while waiting, and six died within 3 months of heart transplant. CART analysis identified RRT, blood urea nitrogen, and hematocrit as terminal nodes with alanine transaminase as an intermediate node predicting death. No patients listed on RRT (n = 10) survived and only three of 12 (25%) patients listed on ECLS survived >3 months post‐transplant. CART analysis overall accuracy was 83%, with sensitivity of 95% and specificity 76%. This study shows that CART analysis can be used to generate accurate prediction models in small patient populations. Model validation will be necessary before incorporation into decision‐making algorithms used to determine transplant candidacy.

The Utility of Cardiopulmonary Exercise Testing for the Prediction of Outcomes in Ambulatory Children With Dilated Cardiomyopathy

Background Unlike adult patients, the utility of cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) in children as a prognostic tool is unclear. We sought to examine the associations of CPET with outcomes in children with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Methods This was a single-center, retrospective review of children with DCM who underwent CPET. The primary endpoint for this study was a time-dependent composite outcome of hospitalization for management of decompensated heart failure, initiation of mechanical circulatory support, heart transplant, or death. Results We examined 52 children with DCM who underwent CPET at median age 12.6 years (interquartile range [IQR], 9.9-14.6 years). At first CPET, the median peak heart rate was 80% (IQR, 70-88%) of predicted, median peak oxygen consumption 62% (IQR, 45-77%) of predicted, and median minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope 34.9 (IQR, 27.9-39.4). Eighteen (35%) patients reached the composite outcome during follow-up. Univariable factors associated with the composite outcome included: lower peak heart rate predicted, lower blood pressure response, lower peak oxygen consumption predicted, and higher minute ventilation/carbon dioxide production slope. The association between exercise performance and composite outcome was linear; thus, no reliable cutoff point could be identified. Serial CPET had been performed in 30 patients; clinically, those with deterioration of exercise capacity had poorer outcomes. Conclusions Cardiopulmonary exercise testing is feasible in children with DCM and is useful to predict outcomes. The finding of lower exercise capacity and lower blood pressure response should prompt closer follow-up. In those with serial testing, a decline in exercise capacity may be a marker of clinical deterioration.