Chinmay Jena

Reductions in India's crop yield due to ozone

This bottom-up modeling study, supported by emission inventories and crop production, simulates ozone on local to regional scales. It quantifies, for the first time, potential impact of ozone on district-wise cotton, soybeans, rice, and wheat crops in India for the first decade of the 21st century. Wheat is the most impacted crop with losses of 3.5 ± 0.8 million tons (Mt), followed by rice at 2.1 ± 0.8 Mt, with the losses concentrated in central and north India. On the national scale, this loss is about 9.2% of the cereals required every year (61.2 Mt) under the provision of the recently implemented National Food Security Bill (in 2013) by the Government of India. The nationally aggregated yield loss is sufficient to feed about 94 million people living below poverty line in India.

Premature mortality in India due to PM2.5 and ozone exposure

This bottom-up modeling study, supported by new population census 2011 data, simulates ozone (O3) and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure on local to regional scales. It quantifies, present-day premature mortalities associated with the exposure to near-surface PM2.5 and O3 concentrations in India using a regional chemistry model. We estimate that PM2.5 exposure leads to about 570,000 (CI95: 320,000–730,000) premature mortalities in 2011. On a national scale, our estimate of mortality by chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) due to O3 exposure is about 12,000 people. The Indo-Gangetic region accounts for a large part (~42%) of the estimated mortalities. The associated lost life expectancy is calculated as 3.4 ± 1.1 years for all of India with highest values found for Delhi (6.3 ± 2.2 years). The economic cost of estimated premature mortalities associated with PM2.5 and O3 exposure is about 640 (350–800) billion USD in 2011, which is a factor of 10 higher than total expenditure on health by public and private expenditure.

Anomalous low tropospheric column ozone over Eastern India during the severe drought event of monsoon 2002: a case study

Background, aim, and scopeThe present study is an attempt to examine some of the probable causes of the unusually low tropospheric column ozone observed over eastern India during the exceptional drought event in July 2002.MethodWe examined horizontal wind and omega (vertical velocity) anomalies over the Indian region to understand the large-scale dynamical processes which prevailed in July 2002. We also examined anomalies in tropospheric carbon monoxide (CO), an important ozone precursor, and observed low CO mixing ratio in the free troposphere in 2002 over eastern India.Results and discussionIt was found that instead of a normal large-scale ascent, the air was descending in the middle and lower troposphere over a vast part of India. This configuration was apparently responsible for the less convective upwelling of precursors and likely caused less photochemical ozone formation in the free troposphere over eastern India in July 2002.ConclusionThe insight gained from this case study will hopefully provide a better understanding of the process controlling the distribution of the tropospheric ozone over the Indian region.

Estimation of the lifetime of nitrogen oxides over India using SCIAMACHY observations

The NOx lifetime is needed to determine NOx source strength and allow for source apportionment studies. Satellite observations of tropospheric column NO2 may be used to estimate the NOx lifetime by analysing tropospheric NO2 decay in the outflow region. In this study, we used Scanning Imaging Absorption Spectrometer for Atmospheric Cartography (SCIAMACHY) observations of tropospheric NO2 to quantify the lifetime of NOx, ‘’, over the Indian region. We analysed a tropospheric NO2 plume that originated over the city of Mumbai and its downwind evolution over the Arabian Sea as a function of distance (decay curve). The observed pattern of decay curve is fitted with the exponential decay fit model, which gives an e-folding distance of 107 km. The fit result yields a mean lifetime of NOx of about = 10.2 h based on SCIAMACHY observations. In addition, we quantified using CHIMERE chemical mechanisms and compared the result with the satellite-based estimation. The estimated for India, based on CHIMERE simulation, is about 11.9 h, comparable to the calculated by satellite observations.